Premier League Week 11 Betting Preview: Where’s the Value Between Arsenal and Liverpool?
- Premier League Week 11 is highlighted by a marquee matchup Saturday afternoon between Arsenal and Liverpool (1 p.m. ET on NBC).
- The three most profitable clubs on the season (Brighton, Watford and Bournemouth) are all plus-money underdogs this weekend.
- After analyzing the betting market for all ten EPL matches, I've picked out three value plays to make including Arsenal-Liverpool.
It’s another big weekend in the Premier League, highlighted by Arsenal and Liverpool squaring off on Saturday at 1:30 p.m. ET.
There are also critical games toward the bottom of the table between Huddersfield-Fulham and Burnley-West Ham.
2018-19 Season Trends
Draws were finally profitable in Week 10, but sportsbooks have been thrilled with the overall results so far this season: home teams, road teams and draws are all in the red.
Watford (+10.95 units), Bournemouth (+6.60 u) and Brighton (+5.97 u) have been the most profitable clubs to bet this year.
Newcastle and Huddersfield have been the least profitable, costing bettors a combined 20 units on the moneyline, and neither club has a victory in the Premier League yet.
There still hasn’t been a big upset as teams closing +500 or higher on the moneyline are winless in 47 matches.
Will we finally see a surprise in EPL Week 11? After breaking down the betting market I’ve picked out three value plays (10-22-1 season record, -3.83 units).
Brighton at Everton (Saturday, 11 a.m. ET, NBC Sports Gold)
- Brighton Odds: +595
- Everton Odds: -170
- Draw Odds: +305
- Over/Under: 2.5 (o-110)
Despite being one of the most profitable clubs this season, Brighton find themselves as hefty +595 underdogs to beat Everton on Saturday. Those odds are way too enticing to pass up, in my opinion.