Daria Kasatkina vs. Veronika Kudermetova French Open Odds, Pick, Preview (June 1)
Ian MacNicol/Getty. Pictured: Daria Kasatkina.
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Kasatkina vs. Kudermetova Odds
|Time||6 a.m. ET|
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Just eight matches remain at the French Open as the second and final day of the quarterfinal round is upon us.
The first match on court features a battle between two Russian women in Daria Kasatkina and Veronika Kudermetova.
The duo will battle for a spot in the semis against either top-seed Iga Swiatek or American Jessica Pegula.
Let’s break this one down and see where the best bet lies.
Kasatkina Crushing Opposition
It has been some kind of French Open for Kasatkina. Backing up solid form from Madrid (third round) and Rome (close third-set loss in the semis), the rock-solid baseliner has really found her game on the clay courts in 2022.
Her defensive, consistent game always profiled well on the dirt, but the added spins to her game in 2022 have really made a difference.
Already having the ability to make her opponents run back and forth along the baseline as she moved the ball around the court from both wings, the topspin addition has made her less-powerful groundstrokes tougher to attack.
Players must now respect those deep shots, and overhitting may cause the balls to sail.
That is huge for Kasatkina, as it masks one of her biggest weaknesses. The topspin also means the balls bounce through the court and higher into the air, meaning players must stay back and wait to hit their shots.
Kudermetova Bookending Clay Season in Style
As for Kudermetova, it’s been an interesting clay season to this point. She started her campaign on the red dirt in style. She reached the Istanbul final, losing only to an Anastasia Potapova who was in scintillating form that week.
Madrid and Rome, however, saw her thumped by Paula Badosa and blowing a 6-3 lead to Aliaksandra Sasnovich.
Her game is a good combination of consistency and power and her net game is strong, primarily due to her success in doubles.
Kudermetova’s path to the quarters hasn’t been as impressive, though. She needed three sets to come back from 1-6 down against Madison Keys before getting a retirement from Badosa and needing three sets against Lin Zhu in the opening round.
Ultimately, the form and consistency favor Kasatkina in this one, and with the ability to blunt opposition offense on clay added to her game, it’s hard to come to the conclusion that this spread shouldn’t be closer to four games.
Kasatkina’s last 52 weeks have seen her hold plus break percentage at 109%, and that doesn’t yet include this year’s French Open data, where she hasn’t dropped more than three games in a set.
Kudermetova hasn’t been quite as impressive to this point at Roland Garros, she doesn’t have the power to hit through Kasatkina and while pretty solid from the baseline, she is still the more likely player to commit unforced errors.
Laying the games with Kasatkina seems like a solid position in this quarterfinal matchup.
Pick: Kasatkina -2.5 Games (-125 via DraftKings)