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Jason Kubler vs. James Duckworth Odds, Pick & Prediction: How to Bet Friday’s ATP Newport Match (July 15)

Jason Kubler vs. James Duckworth Odds, Pick & Prediction: How to Bet Friday’s ATP Newport Match (July 15) article feature image
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Ryan Pierse/Getty Images. Pictured: Jason Kubler.

  • Jason Kubler takes on James Duckworth at the ATP Newport Hall of Fame Open on Friday afternoon.
  • Kubler enters as a big favorite, and our expert is betting that he dominates.
  • Read our full breakdown for Kubler vs. Duckworth below.

Kubler vs. Duckworth Odds

Kubler Odds -210
Duckworth Odds +175
Over/Under 23.5
Time | How to Watch  1:30 p.m. ET | Tennis Channel
Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

With an odd tournament schedule at the Hall of Fame Open in Newport, Rhode Island, quarterfinal Friday will only see a pair of matches take place. Americans Maxime Cressy and John Isner booked their tickets to the semifinals Thursday.

Let’s dive into one of the two remaining quarters set to play out in New England!

Duckworth Having a Middling Grass Season

After a tough start to the season, the elder of the two Australians has finally managed to win a match at the ATP Tour level. The thing is, he’s beaten two Challenger-caliber players to do so in Liam Broady and Quentin Halys.

Though Duckworth does enjoy quicker courts and has a decent game, a few Challenger wins and a pair of three-set wins this week don’t exactly indicate that he’s about to find a run of solid form.

With a hold plus break percentage of about 100% (pretty average number) and an Elo rating of about 1,570, Duckworth doesn’t stand out statistically either.

Taking on his compatriot in Kubler is a big step up in quality of competition. It’ll be intriguing to see how he handles the occasion.

Kubler in Dominant Form

The former top junior, Kubler has been on one heck of a run since May 10.

Now 24-4 in his last 28 matches across all surfaces and levels, Kubler is also 8-1 on the slick, quick grass courts. With his serve playing up and gaining potency thanks to faster courts, his athletic abilities and return of serves have helped him gain an edge on the service-oriented lawn courts.

The 29-year-old has improved his ace rate, points won on first serve, points won on second serve, hold percentage and break percentage on the surface in 2022. In doing so, his hold plus break metric is over 110% — a big lead on Duckworth despite playing tougher competition to date.

I don’t think opposing Kubler in this position is a wise choice. He has the requisite ability on return to pressure Duckworth, finds himself in nearly-unstoppable form and has really found a rhythm on serve.

Kubler vs. Duckworth Betting Value & Pick

It’s tough to justify betting against Kubler in this spot.

Not only is his form red-hot, but without a top-tier opponent on the other side of the net, laying three games isn’t all that concerning for me.

With his serve playing up so much and him being the more athletic and capable returner in this all-Australian matchup, I’m going to back the favorite.

Pick: Kubler -2.5 (-122)

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