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Wimbledon 2022 Odds, Picks, Analysis: Best Bets for Women’s Draw (June 27)

Wimbledon 2022 Odds, Picks, Analysis: Best Bets for Women’s Draw (June 27) article feature image
Credit:

Justin Setterfield/Getty. Pictured: Maddison Inglis.

The opening round from The Championships is upon us!

With 128 singles matches set to take place over the course of the next two days, there are plenty of opportunities to make some money in the betting markets.

Let’s take a look at a pair of matches on Monday from the women’s draw.

Note: Match times are subject to change. Read here for tips on viewing tennis matches.

Dalma Galfi (-255) vs. Maddison Inglis (+205)

9 a.m. ET

The first match pits Dalma Galfi up against Maddison Inglis in a battle that doesn’t seem to be nearly as lopsided as the odds would suggest.

In the grand scheme of things, Galfi is certainly a deserved favorite and probably the better player if we’re taking a look from the macro-level across surfaces.

If we zoom in and take a look at quicker courts in particular, however, the gap between these two diminishes significantly.

The Australian has found the vast majority of her success on courts that are medium-fast, or just plain fast. From finding several wins down under during the Australian swing to snapping a lengthy losing skid once the grass season came along.

With her only two losses on the grass season both coming in three-setters to players better than Galfi, it’s hard to justify making her an underdog north of +200 unless you’re including results from matches that have little to no relevance to the grass courts of Wimbledon.

Galfi has been playing some strong tennis as well, winning the Ilkley title leading into Wimbledon, it must be said.

She’ll also be able to dictate her fair share of points, especially from the forehand wing, but I make her closer to -155 than -255 in this situation against a strong flat hitter that prefers quicker surfaces.

Pick: Inglis ML (+205 via FanDuel)

Daria Saville (-215) vs. Viktoriya Tomova (+175)

11:30 a.m. ET

I’ll gladly lay the games in this one, with Daria Saville being about 4.5 to 5 games better than Viktoriya Tomova off of slow courts for me.

Tomova’s style profiles much better on slower courts, where her grinding, defensive baseline style can wait out unforced errors from her opposition. Surfaces that reward aggression and shorter points aren’t her forte.

To make matters worse, Saville is also a grinding baseliner that won’t give away as many points as Tomova would normally need from her opponents to win matches.

With Saville also possessing the bigger forehand and being the player more likely to seize control of points, there’s very little that Tomova does better than the Aussie.

If we take a look at her last two seasons on grass, Tomova has also struggled, with her most of her wins this season coming as a lucky loser.

While taking Saville to win in straights is also intriguing, the 3.5 games is a low enough number that can be covered if Saville does drop one of the two opening sets and needs a decider to pull away from the Bulgarian.

Pick:  Saville -3.5 games (-120 via PointsBet)

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