Best International Feature Odds | Oscar Predictions, Favorites, 2026 Academy Awards Betting Guide

Best International Feature Odds | Oscar Predictions, Favorites, 2026 Academy Awards Betting Guide article feature image
4 min read
Credit:

Andy Abeyta/The Desert Sun / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images. Pictured: Stellan Skarsgard, Renate Reinsve, Elle Fanning, and Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas.

Who is favored to win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars? Current odds list Sentimental Value as the betting favorite to win the Academy Award for Best International Feature at 67%.

The Academy Awards are set to take place on Sunday, March 15 at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles. It will get started at 7 p.m. ET on ABC and hosted by Conan O'Brien.

Here's everything you need to know about the Best International Feature race at the 2026 Academy Awards.

If you want to get in on the action and make a prediction about the Academy Awards, Kalshi allows users in most of the 50 U.S. states to make predictions and win real money. We wrote a full explainer on how it works here and have a Kalshi promo code to help you get started.

Best International Feature Odds

Sentimental Value is the favorite to win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars at 67%.

Next up on the odds board is The Secret Agent, which is at 29%. That's followed by It Was Just an Accident at 7%.

The long-shot nominees to win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars are The Voice of Hind Rajab and Sirat, which are both at 2%.

Best International Feature Predictions

Collin Whitchurch: Most of my analysis is rooted in projections but this is at least somewhat vibes-based. Both Sentimental Value and The Secret Agent were nominated for Best Picture so they’re the clear frontrunners here. There’s nothing super obvious for why Sentimental Value should be so far ahead.

Both films have their share of wins on the precursor circuit, and Sentimental Value’s lead in this market likely has to do with total nominations (9 vs. 4), but The Secret Agent’s nominations mostly come in major categories.

The tiebreaker for me here is this: The Secret Agent is a very political movie. It’s about an oppressive governmental regime. It resonates with non-Brazilian audiences.

Sentimental Value isn’t political and has a father-daughter story that can resonate with people of any nationality as well, but I think given the current climate, we could see the film with a real striking message come through.

With what seems like such a tight race between The Secret Agent and Sentimental Value, I’ll be looking to bet the underdog. In this case, it’s The Secret Agent.

Best Bet: The Secret Agent (+225 or better)

How to Bet the 2026 Oscars

If you're thinking of placing wagers on the Oscars, a new operator in the marketplace allows you to place money on the Oscars in most of the 50 U.S. states. Kalshi blends traditional financial systems with innovative prediction markets. Learn more here.

Kalshi offers a variety of Oscars categories, including Best Picture and Best Actor, but also more niche markets such as "How many Oscars will 'Sinners' Win?"

Betting markets for the Oscars are also made available at sportsbooks such as DraftKings and FanDuel in select states, including Arizona, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Indiana, Kansas and Louisiana. It is also available in Ontario, Canada.

2026 Oscars FAQ

When are the 2026 Oscars?

The 2026 Oscars (98th Academy Awards) are scheduled for this Sunday, March 15, 2025.

Where are the 2026 Oscars held?

The 2026 Oscars will be held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.

Where to watch the 2026 Oscars?

The 2026 Oscars will be broadcast on ABC.

Who is hosting the 2026 Oscars?

The 2026 Oscars will be hosted by Conan O'Brien.

Who is nominated for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

The films nominated for Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars are One Battle After Another, Sinners, Hamnet, Marty Supreme, Bugonia, F1, Frankenstein, The Secret Agent, Sentimental Value, and Train Dreams.

Who is favored to win at the 2026 Oscars?

One Battle After Another is the favorite for Best Picture, Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) is the favorite for Best Director, Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) is favored to win Best Actor, Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) is favored to win Best Actress, Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) is favored to win Best Supporting Actor, and Amy Madigan (Weapons) is favored to win Best Supporting Actress.

Who won at the 2025 Oscars?

Sean Baker's film "Anora" was the big winner at the 2025 Oscars. The film won Best Picture and had the most overall wins (5). It also won Best Director (Baker), Best Actress (Mikey Madison), Best Original Screenplay, and Best Film Editing. Adrien Brody won Best Actor for his role in "The Brutalist," Kieran Culkin won Best Supporting Actor for his role in "A Real Pain," and Zoe Saldana won Best Supporting Actress for her role in "Emilia Perez."

More 2026 Oscars Coverage

Author Profile
About the Author

Collin Whitchurch is the manager of cross-platform content at Action Network, working directly with on-air talent, editors, and producers on efficient prioritization of coverage across the editorial, video, and audio mediums. Prior to his current role, Collin was the senior MLB editor at Action, managing the day-to-day content produced about baseball.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.