Who is favored to win Best Cinematography at the 2026 Oscars? Current odds list One Battle After Another as the betting favorite to win the Academy Award for Best Cinematography at 76%.
The Academy Awards are set to take place on Sunday, March 15 at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles. It will get started at 7 p.m. ET on ABC and hosted by Conan O'Brien.
Here's everything you need to know about the Best Cinematography race at the 2026 Academy Awards.
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Best Cinematography Odds
One Battle After Another is the favorite to win Best Cinematography at the 2026 Oscars at 76%.
Next up on the odds board behind One Battle After Another is Sinners, which is at 21%. That's followed by Train Dreams at 4%.
The long-shot nominees to win Best Cinematography at the 2026 Oscars are Frankenstein and Marty Supreme, which are both at 1%.
Best Cinematography Predictions
Chris Raybon: This is a great spot here where we’re betting the numbers, and the numbers say that One Battle After Another should not be as prohibitive a favorite as it is in the market.
Gold Derby has Sinners at 46% here and One Battle After Another at 37%, while Train Dreams is at 17%.
In the market, we’re still looking at One Battle After Another as the favorite, while Sinners is an underdog at north of 2/1.
This is massive value. I think this is a smash spot for Sinners, and I’d also sprinkle in some Train Dreams here as well.
Bets: Sinners +335 | Train Dreams +669 | One Battle After Another 'No' +257
Collin Whitchurch: One Battle After Another won the American Society of Cinematographers’ top award last week and jumped out to a huge lead in a race that was seen as closer to a toss-up a month ago.
The ASC is a notable data point, but it’s worth nothing that the Academy’s voting base is significantly more international than a national guild.
As such, I think the value has moved to Sinners as the market has overvalued some of the OBAA buzz in the lead-up to showtime.
Best Bet: Sinners (+350 or better)
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2026 Oscars FAQ
When are the 2026 Oscars?
The 2026 Oscars (98th Academy Awards) are scheduled for this Sunday, March 15, 2025.
Where are the 2026 Oscars held?
The 2026 Oscars will be held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.
Where to watch the 2026 Oscars?
The 2026 Oscars will be broadcast on ABC.
Who is hosting the 2026 Oscars?
The 2026 Oscars will be hosted by Conan O'Brien.
Who is nominated for Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
The films nominated for Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars are One Battle After Another, Sinners, Hamnet, Marty Supreme, Bugonia, F1, Frankenstein, The Secret Agent, Sentimental Value, and Train Dreams.
Who is favored to win at the 2026 Oscars?
One Battle After Another is the favorite for Best Picture, Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) is the favorite for Best Director, Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) is favored to win Best Actor, Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) is favored to win Best Actress, Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) is favored to win Best Supporting Actor, and Amy Madigan (Weapons) is favored to win Best Supporting Actress.
Who won at the 2025 Oscars?
Sean Baker's film "Anora" was the big winner at the 2025 Oscars. The film won Best Picture and had the most overall wins (5). It also won Best Director (Baker), Best Actress (Mikey Madison), Best Original Screenplay, and Best Film Editing. Adrien Brody won Best Actor for his role in "The Brutalist," Kieran Culkin won Best Supporting Actor for his role in "A Real Pain," and Zoe Saldana won Best Supporting Actress for her role in "Emilia Perez."
More 2026 Oscars Coverage
- Chris Raybon's 2025 Academy Awards Betting Card
- Collin Whitchurch's 2025 Oscars Best Bets & Predictions
- Best Picture Odds, Predictions
- Best Director Odds, Predictions
- Best Actor Odds, Predictions
- Best Actress Odds, Predictions
- Best Supporting Actor Odds, Predictions
- Best Supporting Actress Odds, Predictions
- Best Original Screenplay Odds, Predictions
- Best Adapted Screenplay Odds, Predictions
- Best Casting Odds, Predictions
- Best Costume Design Odds, Predictions
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling Odds, Predictions
- Best Production Design Odds, Predictions
- Best Original Song Odds, Predictions
- Best Visual Effects Odds, Predictions
- Best Animated Feature Odds, Predictions
- Best International Feature Odds, Predictions
- Best Film Editing Odds, Predictions
- Best Original Score Odds, Predictions
- Best Sound Odds, Predictions
- Best Documentary Feature Odds, Predictions
- Best Animated Short Odds, Predictions
- Best Documentary Short Odds, Predictions
- Best Live Action Short Odds, Predictions
