Aaron Judge Home Run Odds | Bettors Still Hammering Away Despite Seven-Game Drought

Aaron Judge Home Run Odds | Bettors Still Hammering Away Despite Seven-Game Drought article feature image

Cole Burston/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Judge

Aaron Judge Home Run Odds for Wednesday


Odds as of Wednesday afternoon

The money continues to pour in on Aaron Judge's home run props as he looks to snap his seven-game home run drought with an AL record-tying 61st blast against the Blue Jays.

Judge to homer is the most popular MLB player prop Wednesday at DraftKings — as its been for the last seven Yankees games aka Judge home run watch. That's only happened five other times this year.

At BetMGM, 99% of bets on Judge over/under 0.5 home runs is on the over.

Judge has failed to homer in 30 at-bats since hitting his 60th last week against the Pirates, which moved him just one shy of the AL record. That's tied with a seven-game stretch in April for his second longest home run drought of the season. (His longest stretch without a homer was a nine-game span in August.)

Probability Rising But Pitching, Rest Are Factors

Judge has homered every 2.7 games this season.

Unsurprisingly opposing pitchers have been skittish to throw him strikes and he's walked 11 times since hitting his 60th.

Caesars is offering a bet $10 to win $10 promotion on Judge to walk at any point tonight. DraftKings doesn't offer fixed odds on walk props, but allows you to live bet them during the game.

With the Yankees clinching their division Tuesday night, there's also the possibility they look to rest players like Judge.

Action Network's Sean Zerillo recommends staying away from any Judge to homer props below +233 odds (a 30% implied chance).

Betting Appetite for 61st

Most sportsbooks have stopped offering promotions on his homer prop, as bettors continue to hammer it anyway, which has lowered his odds over the last few games.

BetMGM opened Judge over 0.5 home runs at +230, though 97% of money coming in on the over moved the line down to +225 midday, before shooting back to +250, likely to compete with other books. For context, Matt Olson has the second-shortest odds of any player to homer tonight at BetMGM (+270).

DraftKings is offering a boost on Judge to record a hit (+100), though it's pulled the offer it ran all last week that boosted his home run odds as high as +322.

WynnBet's boosted Judge to homer to +240 under a promo, but that's less than some other books are offering straight up. It's reporting more bets on Judge than on the game's over/under total.

This story will be updated with more handle and ticket information from sportsbooks as it becomes available.

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