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Aaron Judge Home Run Props Continue Record Betting Activity as 61st Looms

Aaron Judge Home Run Props Continue Record Betting Activity as 61st Looms article feature image
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Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees

Aaron Judge to homer is — once again — MLB’s most bet prop of the night as his American League record-tying 61st home run looms large.

Judge to homer vs. the Red Sox on Thursday is drawing seven times as many bets at Caesars as any other player’s home run prop. At DraftKings Judge makes up 72% of all bets on the prop (Albert Pujols and Mike Trout are the next closest at 2% each).

Every single bet on Judge yes/no home runs at WynnBet is on him tying Roger Maris’ AL record tonight — highly unusual for any bet.

Bettors have flocked to sportsbooks all year to bet on Judge — who hit his 60th homer on Tuesday. Since opening day, BetRivers has taken three times as much money on Judge’s home run props as it has on Shohei Ohtani’s, the next closet player.

If you’re betting Judge ties Maris tonight. Here are the best odds:

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Best Aaron Judge Home Run Odds for Thursday

DratKings is offering the best price for Judge Over 0.5 home runs at +313, though that’s after an odds boost that’s limited to $50.

The sportsbook ran similar promotions over Judge’s past few games. To access it, “opt-in” and apply the 61% boost to your bet.

PointsBet is offering the second best odds at +245, via an odds boost in its “MLB Boosters” tab.

Points Bet reporting 95% of bets and 72% of money on the over.

PointsBet is also offering several “Judgement Day Specials”, like Judge to homer in his first at bat (+800) and Judge to break the record with 2+ home runs (+2200). 

Judge’s last multi-homer game was less than a week ago.

FanDuel is offering the third best odds at +235, followed by WynnBet at +205 and Caesars at +200.

Of course, you can bet Judge doesn’t homer too. Here’re the best odds for Judge to stay at 60 home runs tonight:

Best Odds Aaron Judge Doesn’t Homer Thursday

BetRivers is offering the best odds on Judge Under 0.5 home runs at -250, which has 89% of the money, despite only 8% of bets.

That suggests a lot of professional action on him staying at 60 tonight.

DraftKings and BetMGM are tied for the second best odds on his under at -275.

Bettors Strike Out Against Pirates

Over 75% of the money BetRivers handled on Judge’s home run prop in last night’s game against the Pittsburgh Pirates was on his over. At FanDuel, Judge to homer drew 87% of the money.

Judge notched two doubles as the Yankees routed the Pirates 14-2, but he didn’t homer.

Bettors at BetMGM were a little sharper, placing 57% of the money on Judge’s home run under.

First pitch for tonight’s game against the Red Sox is at 7:15 p.m. ET.

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