The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Athletics on September 19, 2025. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
Find my MLB betting preview and Athletics vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Athletics vs Pirates Prediction
- Athletics vs Pirates pick: Under 8.5
My Athletics vs Pirates best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Athletics vs Pirates Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -220 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -110 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +180 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -110 |
Athletics vs Pirates Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Luis Severino (ATH) | Stat | RHP Mitch Keller (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | W-L | 6-14 |
| 2.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.7 |
| 4.82/4.67 | ERA /xERA | 4.13/4.22 |
| 4.26/4.66 | FIP / xFIP | 3.86/4.12 |
| 1.32 | WHIP | 1.25 |
| 10.3% | K-BB% | 13.4% |
| 40.7% | GB% | 44.4% |
| 109 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 98 | Location+ | 100 |
Athletics vs Pirates Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Athletics and Pittsburgh Pirates open a three-game series Friday night. Neither club has postseason hopes—Athletics sits fourth in the AL West, while Pittsburgh is last in the NL Central—but bettors can still find value on the total.
Oddsmakers set the over/under at 8.5 runs, with the line tightening after early movement. The road team sends Luis Severino to the mound, while Pittsburgh counters with Mitch Keller.
This game fits squarely into Evan Abrams’ “Steam Unders with Low OU Support” system, which has produced long-term profits in the MLB betting market. Sharp money has pushed the line down while the public leans toward the over, creating an edge on the under. With mild conditions and both teams playing around posted totals lately, the setup points to a lower-scoring game.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-105, bet365)
Athletics vs Pirates Betting Trends
