The Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves on September 6, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NBC/Peacock.
The Phillies are favored by -110 on the moneyline and are +1.5 on the run line. The Braves are -106 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Braves vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Braves vs Phillies Prediction
- Braves vs Phillies Pick: Braves ML (-106) | Ronald Acuña Jr. Over 1.5 HRR (-120) | Ronald Acuña Jr. 1+ HR (+410)
My Braves vs Phillies best bet is on Atlanta to win outright, and these two Ronald Acuña Jr. props. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Braves vs Phillies Odds
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +152 | 8 -115o / -105u | -106 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -184 | 8 -115o / -105u | -110 |
- Braves vs Phillies moneyline: Braves -106, Phillies -110
- Braves vs Phillies over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- Braves vs Phillies spread: Braves -1.5 (+152), Phillies +1.5 (-184)
Braves vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
| Tyler Mahle (RHP, ATL) | Stat | Aaron Nola (RHP, PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-10 | W-L | 6-10 |
| 1.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 4.25 / 4.18 | ERA / xERA | 4.93 / 4.10 |
| 4.01 / 3.80 | FIP / xFIP | 4.84 / 3.79 |
| 15.2 | K-BB% | 16.6 |
| 42.6 | GB% | 40.2 |
| .302 | BABIP | .312 |
| 88 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 109 | Location+ | 103 |
Braves vs Phillies MLB Betting Preview
The Phillies will host the Braves on Sunday afternoon in the third of a four-game homestand at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.
The 31-year-old righty Tyler Mahle will take the mound for Atlanta, and longtime Phils veteran Aaron Nola will start for the home team.
While the Braves’ Mahle has recorded a largely unimpressive 4.25 ERA on the season thus far, a deeper dive reveals that the former Giant is in scorching form on the mound heading into Sunday’s matchup.
Since being acquired at the deadline via San Francisco, the Braves’ vet has been a completely different pitcher, having recorded a quality start (QS) in four of his five outings with Atlanta.
Across those five appearances on the mound, Mahle has recorded an exceptional 1.48 ERA along with a 0.96 WHIP.
While the Braves’ Mahle has recorded a largely unimpressive 4.25 ERA on the season thus far, a deeper dive reveals that the former Giant is in scorching form on the mound heading into Sunday’s matchup.
Since being acquired at the deadline via San Francisco, the Braves’ vet has been a completely different pitcher, having recorded a quality start (QS) in four of his five outings with Atlanta.
Across those five appearances on the mound, Mahle has recorded an exceptional 1.48 ERA along with a 0.96 WHIP.
On the other hand, Nola is currently posting a 4.93 ERA and has been dominated by this Braves lineup for years, given he has pitched in the NL East his entire professional career.
Though Nola has greatly improved over his recent outings as well, this is a spot I expect Philadelphia’s righty to really struggle given his previous encounters with the majority of hitters in an absolutely loaded Braves lineup. I expect this to be a clear regression spot for Nola.
Given my fondness for Mahle’s current form and Nola’s career struggles versus Atlanta, I favor backing the Braves on their moneyline as my first of three handicaps ahead of Sunday’s divisional showdown.
Braves vs Phillies Pick, Betting Analysis
For my next two wagers, I will be looking to target Braves superstar OF Ronald Acuña Jr. to have a monster day at the plate.
Across 60 previous at-bats (AB) versus Nola, Ronnie has recorded 21 hits, with ten of them having been for extra bases — six doubles & four homers, while having driven in eight runners (RBIs) in the process.
Given Acuña’s established edge over Nola with an extensive sample size extending several years, I feel confident backing the former NL MVP winner to exceed his 1.5 HRR (Hits + Runs + RBIs) on Sunday afternoon.
Nola also leads all starting pitchers in the entire MLB in home run rate (HR/9) at 2.08 per BARTOLO — a new statistical baseball model generated by the Action Network’s Sean Zerillo.
Given Nola’s susceptibility to allowing dingers, and with Acuña having already done so off of Nola in the past, I'm willing to take a shot on Ronald to smash another on Sunday afternoon.
Picks: Braves ML (-106) | Ronald Acuña Jr Over 1.5 HRR (-120) | Ronald Acuña Jr 1+ HR (+410)
