The Cleveland Guardians host the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Rockies TV and Guardians TV.
On Monday, the Rockies won the first game of this series thanks to a ninth-inning rally, and they'll send Tanner Gordon to the mound today against the Guardians' Logan Allen.
Find our MLB betting preview and Rockies vs Guardians prediction for Tuesday night below.
Rockies vs Guardians Prediction & Pick
- Rockies vs Guardians pick: Under 8.5 (-105, DraftKings)
My Rockies vs Guardians best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -126 | 8.5 -118o / -104u | +166 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +105 | 8.5 -118o / -104u | -198 |
Rockies vs Guardians Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Tanner Gordon (COL) | Stat | LHP Logan Allen (CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | W-L | 6-9 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 3.13 / 4.01 | ERA / xERA | 4.16 / 4.44 |
| 3.87 / 4.43 | FIP / xFIP | 4.33 / 4.58 |
| 1.30 | WHIP | 1.37 |
| 7.4 | K-BB% | 9.0 |
| 42.7 | GB% | 43.6 |
| 84 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 103 | Location+ | 98 |
Rockies vs Guardians Preview, Prediction
After a rough season debut on May 8, Gordon has been an outstanding starter for Colorado, and that's water in the desert for such a team.
Gordon only allowed two runs in his next two starts and excelled in his last one on July 23. The right-hander threw six scoreless innings against the Cardinals, conceding only four hits while striking out three batters.
Today, he faces a Guardians offense that ranks 26th in wRC+ in the MLB and is 28th in slugging (.373) and last in average (.226) this season.
Allen also has a nice matchup against the worst offense in the majors, as the Rockies have merely a 76 wRC+ rating in 2025 and do even worse when facing left-handed pitchers (68 wRC+).
If both bullpens can hold up — unlike yesterday — this should be a good opportunity to go with the under, as our Bet Labs recommends for this game.
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting. It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity — ranging from 45 to 95 — intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has also subtly corrected, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest, between six and 29.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-105, DraftKings)
