Happy Monday to all! We have a smaller 10-game slate for tonight, and there are plenty of homers to be had and money to be won.
Read on for my 3 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
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| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 6:40 PM | ||
| 7:40 PM | ||
| 8:40 PM | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Dodgers vs Reds Best Bet
Look at the Dodgers lineup. This is the pick of the litter for Dodgers' right-handers.
Nick Lodolo of the Reds has been crushed by righty power this season, allowing a massive 1.95 HR/9.
Great American Ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and although the weather isn't great for hitting, it isn't bad either. I have the true odds for Teoscar Hernandez at around +400.
I'm also targeting Will Smith and Mookie Betts, who seem like solid value picks, but I like Hernandez's value the most.
Pick: Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Home Runs (+500)
Braves vs Cubs Best Bet
This is a great spot for Bregman, and these odds are too high.
Braves pitcher Reynaldo Lopez has been a matchup that is slightly above average for righty power this season (1.24 HR/9), and while it's not a huge sample size, he's been in rough form recently and grades out as a plus matchup.
The wind will mostly be crossing to left field in Wrigley, but it's blowing out slightly and should be a positive for righty power overall.
To top it off, Bregman has been one of the hottest hitters in the league since the All-Star Break, and I have his true odds here around +450.
Pick: Alex Bregman 1+ Home Run (+514)
Padres vs Rockies Best Bet
This is a spot for Merrill that's too hard to ignore.
Rockies pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano has been one of the biggest gas cans in the league for lefty power this season, allowing a massive 2.43 HR/9.
Coors Field is one of the best in the league for power, and I have the true odds here around +270.
Pick: Jackson Merrill o0.5 Home Runs (+325)










































