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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Dodgers vs Reds, Braves vs Cubs, More for Monday, September 14

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Dodgers vs Reds, Braves vs Cubs, More for Monday, September 14 article feature image
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Aug 29, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Cubs third baseman Alex Bregman (3) and right fielder Seiya Suzuki (27) reacts after they score on his two-run home run during the first inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images

Happy Monday to all! We have a smaller 10-game slate for tonight, and there are plenty of homers to be had and money to be won.

Read on for my 3 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

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GameTime (ET)Pick
Los Angeles Dodgers LogoCincinnati Reds Logo
6:40 PM
Atlanta Braves LogoChicago Cubs Logo
7:40 PM
San Diego Padres LogoColorado Rockies Logo
8:40 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Dodgers vs Reds Best Bet

Dodgers Logo
Monday, Sep 14
6:40 p.m. ET
SportsNet LA
Reds Logo
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Home Runs (+500)
bet365 Logo

Look at the Dodgers lineup. This is the pick of the litter for Dodgers' right-handers.

Nick Lodolo of the Reds has been crushed by righty power this season, allowing a massive 1.95 HR/9.

Great American Ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and although the weather isn't great for hitting, it isn't bad either. I have the true odds for Teoscar Hernandez at around +400.

I'm also targeting Will Smith and Mookie Betts, who seem like solid value picks, but I like Hernandez's value the most.

Pick: Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Home Runs (+500)



Braves vs Cubs Best Bet

Braves Logo
Monday, Sep 14
7:40 p.m. ET
BravesVsn
Cubs Logo
Alex Bregman 1+ Home Runs (+514)
DraftKings Logo

This is a great spot for Bregman, and these odds are too high.

Braves pitcher Reynaldo Lopez has been a matchup that is slightly above average for righty power this season (1.24 HR/9), and while it's not a huge sample size, he's been in rough form recently and grades out as a plus matchup.

The wind will mostly be crossing to left field in Wrigley, but it's blowing out slightly and should be a positive for righty power overall.

To top it off, Bregman has been one of the hottest hitters in the league since the All-Star Break, and I have his true odds here around +450.

Pick: Alex Bregman 1+ Home Run (+514)



Padres vs Rockies Best Bet

Padres Logo
Monday, Sep 14
8:40 p.m. ET
COLR
Rockies Logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Home Runs (+325)
Hard Rock Logo

This is a spot for Merrill that's too hard to ignore.

Rockies pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano has been one of the biggest gas cans in the league for lefty power this season, allowing a massive 2.43 HR/9.

Coors Field is one of the best in the league for power, and I have the true odds here around +270.

Pick: Jackson Merrill o0.5 Home Runs (+325)



Author Profile
About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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