Don’Tale Mayes vs. Hamdy Abdelwahab UFC 277 Odds, Pick & Prediction: Fade the Mystery Newcomer? (Saturday, July 30)

Don’Tale Mayes vs. Hamdy Abdelwahab UFC 277 Odds, Pick & Prediction: Fade the Mystery Newcomer? (Saturday, July 30) article feature image

Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: UFC heavyweights Don’Tale Mayes and Hamdy Abdelwahab

Mayes vs. Abdelwahab Odds

Mayes Odds
Abdelwahab Odds
1.5 (-165 / +135)
American Airlines Center (Dallas)
Approx. 8:30 p.m. ET
Odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings.

One of Saturday's more-intriguing UFC 277 matchups pits heavyweight Don'Tale Mayes against promotional newcomer Hamdy Abdelwahab, who's a bit of a mystery to fight fans.

Mayes (9-4) looks for his third straight win when he takes on Abdelwahab, a late replacement who's also an Olympic Greco-Roman wrestler for Egypt. He's currently 5-0 with five knockouts in his young MMA career.

Let's dig into a preliminary-card matchup that has a lot of unknowns.

Tale of the Tape

Avg. Fight Time11:20n/a
Weight (pounds)260 lbs.264 lbs.
Reach (inches)81"72"
Date of birth1/16/19921/22/1993
Sig Strikes Per Min3.750.00
SS Accuracy46%0%
SS Absorbed Per Min3.830.0
SS Defense42%0%
Take Down Avg.1.320.0
TD Acc53%0%
TD Def62%0%
Submission Avg0.00.0

Abdelwahab is fighting in place of Justin Tafa as a short-notice debutant. The Olympic wrestler obviously has limited MMA experience.

Mayes has faced better competition and made significant strides as a fighter, particularly in his wrestling and grappling. And he should be the cleaner striker in this matchup while standing 4 inches taller, with a nine-inch reach advantage.

If Mayes can deny the takedowns (62% career takedown defense) and keep this fight standing, he should pour damage on Abdelwahab. And even if he's on the wrong end of some wrestling exchanges, I expect him to land the shots when these two eventually return to their feet.

Abdelwahab carries power, and Mayes needs to keep this fight at range and use his length to avoid eating a knockout blow.

Mayes vs. Abdelwahab Pick

Ultimately, I expect the more experienced and well-rounded fighter to pull away and Mayes to secure another attritional-based stoppage.

I projected Mayes as a 70% favorite in this fight and would bet his moneyline up to -215 at a two percent edge compared to my number.

Moreover, I projected Mayes to win inside the distance 49% of the time (70% of his win condition), and I would bet his odds to win inside the distance down to +125.

The Picks:

  • Don'Tale Mayes (-180, 0.75u) at Caesars
  • Don'Tale Mayes Wins Inside the Distance (+160, 0.25u) at FanDuel

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.