Promotion Banner

UFC 260 Odds, Pick & Prediction: Shane Young vs. Omar Morales (Saturday, March, 27)

UFC 260 Odds, Pick & Prediction: Shane Young vs. Omar Morales (Saturday, March, 27) article feature image

Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: Shane Young (left) and Omar Morales.

Shane Young vs. Omar Morales Odds

Young odds
Morales odds
UFC APEX, Las Vegas
Approx. 9 p.m. ET
Odds as of Thursday and via DraftKings

UFC Featherweights Shane Young and Omar Morales will face off on the undercard of Saturday’s UFC 260 event. Both men are looking to bounce back after recent losses in 2020 — Young was stopped by Ludovit Klein in September and Morales lost by decision to Giga Chikadze in October.

Below I preview the matchup and odds for tonight’s fight. For more analysis on the rest of the card, you can check out my projections for the entire slate here.

Tale of the Tape

Avg. Fight Time10:1412:47
Weight (pounds)145 lbs.145 lbs.
Reach (inches)72″73″
Date of birth7/31/9310/17/85
Sig Strikes Per Min6.013.39
SS Accuracy40%34%
SS Absorbed Per Min5.152.99
SS Defense56%65%
Take Down Avg.73.29
TD Acc25%100%
TD Def64%100%
Submission Avg00
Sweet 16 Offers: Bet $1+, Get $200 FREE Instantly!

See all MM promos for 10+ books

Bet $1, Win $100 on a 3-pointer

Over $4,500 total for the tourney

Young vs. Morales Pick

Morales is one of two moneyline plays (along with Stipe Miocic) that show actionable value on the card. He’s the larger man (3-inch height and 1-inch reach advantage) and owns significantly more power than Young, whose best hope is to win this fight on output (6.01 to 3.39 strikes landed per minute, +6% accuracy).

Young is very hittable (-9% striking defense) and Morales is much more likely to find a finish here — if this bout does go the distance, judges may have to weigh Young’s volume against Morales’ damage — which makes me hesitant to lay the juice on the favorite.

I was surprised that Morales, who secured his only takedown and held six minutes of control against Dong Hyun Ma, didn’t try to grapple with Giga Chikadze in his last fight. That may be a more optimal strategy against Young since the City Kickboxing team — aside from Alexander Volkanovski — has shown little development in that area.

Thinking about it logistically, that does give Morales three paths to a victory compared to one for his opponent. Considering that I make him a 70% moneyline favorite, I would lay the chalk — albeit tentatively — up to -200.

The Pick: Morales ML (-182)

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.