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UFC 279 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf: Back This Fighter to Win Inside the Distance (Saturday, September 10)

UFC 279 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf: Back This Fighter to Win Inside the Distance (Saturday, September 10) article feature image
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Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: UFC women’s featherweight Norma Dumont

  • Norma Dumont meets big underdog Danyelle Wolf to close out the early prelims at UFC 279.
  • Wolf is just 1-0 as a pro but will look to pull off the upset in the UFC's shallowest division.
  • Sean Zerillo has two prop bets for the women's featherweight fight.

Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf Odds

Dumont Odds
-375
Wolf Odds
+290
Over/Under
2.5 (-225 / +160)
Venue
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Time
7:30 p.m. ET
Channel
ESPN+
Odds as of Friday and via BetMGM.

The early prelims close out with a women’s featherweight bout between Norma Dumont and big underdog Danyelle Wolf.

Wolf, a boxer, won her lone MMA fight – at a recent Contender Series event – to punch her ticket to the UFC, where she’ll fight Dumont in the organization’s shallowest weight class.

How do break down a fight with so many unknowns? Let’s give it a shot.

Tale of the Tape

Dumont Wolf
Record 7-2 1-0
Avg. Fight Time 14:42 15:00
Height 5’7″ 5’11”
Weight (pounds) 145 lbs. 145 lbs.
Reach (inches) 67″ 70″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Date of birth 10/1/1990 9/8/1983
Sig Strikes Per Min 3.67 3.40
SS Accuracy 50% 28%
SS Absorbed Per Min 2.19 5.67
SS Defense 67% 44%
Take Down Avg 1.02 0.00.
TD Acc 45% 0%
TD Def 70% 100%
Submission Avg 0.0 1.0

Wolf, a decorated amateur boxing champion, has extremely limited MMA experience: that one win at a Dana White’s Contender Series event in 2020. She’s 38, and her current skill level – besides her boxing – is a complete mystery.

While Wolf should have success both at distance (three-inch reach advantage) and in the pocket against Dumont, her ground game is likely extremely underdeveloped, and her opponent may only need one takedown to finish the fight.

Dumont isn’t much of a finisher, but she does carry fairly significant power and has strong top pressure. Unfortunately, she’s not always reliable to wrestle (2.2 takedown attempts per 15 minutes), and she’s a relatively low-volume striker.

Dumont must pursue the grappling and look for a finish on the mat to justify her steep pricetag.

Dumont vs. Wolf Pick

While I don’t see value in either side of the moneyline or the total, Dumont to win by submission (projected +325, listed +420 at FanDuel) will absolutely make my card.

And depending upon the price, I would also bet Dumont to win Inside the Distance (projected +220, listed +240 at FanDuel) since a positional TKO is a likely possibility.

The Picks: Norma Dumont wins Inside the Distance (+240, 0.25u at FanDuel) | Norma Dumont wins by Submission (+420, 0.1u at FanDuel)

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