UFC 280 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Katlyn Chookagian vs. Manon Fiorot: An Underrated Underdog? (Saturday, October 22)
Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: UFC women’s flyweight Katlyn Chookagian
- The UFC 280 main card kicks off on Saturday afternoon with Katlyn Chookagian vs. Manon Fiorot.
- Chookagian missed weight (127.5 pounds) for the 125-bout matchup.
- Despite the weight flub, Chookagian could be the smart bet in this matchup, as Sean Zerillo details below.
Katlyn Chookagian vs. Manon Fiorot Odds
A key women's flyweight bout of Katlyn Chookagian and Manon Fiorot kicks off Saturday's UFC 280 main card.
Chookagian, who's won four straight fights but missed weight for this bout, is the No. 1-ranked contender in the division, and Fiorot is No. 6 and riding a nine-fight winning streak.
Which title hopeful could take a step closer to fighting champ Valentina Shevchenko? Let's look at how they match up.
Tale of the Tape
|Avg. Fight Time||14:04||11:47|
|Weight (pounds)||127.5 lbs.||125 lbs.|
|Date of birth||12/28/1988||2/17/1990|
|Sig Strikes Per Min||4.56||6.60|
|SS Absorbed Per Min||4.26||2.52|
|Take Down Avg||0.28||1.91|
Chookagian has all the tools to keep this fight competitive and potentially win it. She's a solid defensive grappler and a mobile striker with a height and reach advantage over her opponent.
Like Muhammad, Chookagian has a point-fighting style (15-2 on the scorecards in her career). She tends to get into close decisions, but she is both highly active and defensively sound.
Fiorot's metrics are more efficient but have come against a far inferior level of competition. Chookagian is firmly entrenched as a top of rankings gatekeeper. She's the toughest test of Fiorot's career.
Fiorot is the stronger fighter and may have the faster hands, but Chookagian excels at creating awkward angles and capitalizing on timing.
Chookagian vs. Fiorot Pick
I don't see value on either side of the moneyline or total, though I would take a stab on Chookagian at +200 or better. But I am interested in one winning method prop.
Chookagian's upside in this fight is likely limited to a competitive 29-28 decision in her favor, but the price is still ripe.
The Pick: Chookagian to win by decision (+280 at BetRivers, projected +233), bet down to +257.