UFC 280 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Katlyn Chookagian vs. Manon Fiorot: An Underrated Underdog? (Saturday, October 22)

UFC 280 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Katlyn Chookagian vs. Manon Fiorot: An Underrated Underdog? (Saturday, October 22) article feature image

Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: UFC women’s flyweight Katlyn Chookagian

  • The UFC 280 main card kicks off on Saturday afternoon with Katlyn Chookagian vs. Manon Fiorot.
  • Chookagian missed weight (127.5 pounds) for the 125-bout matchup.
  • Despite the weight flub, Chookagian could be the smart bet in this matchup, as Sean Zerillo details below.

Katlyn Chookagian vs. Manon Fiorot Odds

Chookagian Odds
Fiorot Odds
2.5 (-320 / +250)
Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi
2 p.m. ET
Odds as of Friday and via DraftKings.

A key women's flyweight bout of Katlyn Chookagian and Manon Fiorot kicks off Saturday's UFC 280 main card.

Chookagian, who's won four straight fights but missed weight for this bout, is the No. 1-ranked contender in the division, and Fiorot is No. 6 and riding a nine-fight winning streak.

Which title hopeful could take a step closer to fighting champ Valentina Shevchenko? Let's look at how they match up.

Tale of the Tape

Avg. Fight Time14:0411:47
Weight (pounds)127.5 lbs.125 lbs.
Reach (inches)68"65"
Date of birth12/28/19882/17/1990
Sig Strikes Per Min4.566.60
SS Accuracy35%45%
SS Absorbed Per Min4.262.52
SS Defense63%70%
Take Down Avg0.281.91
TD Acc15%50%
TD Def54%83%
Submission Avg0.40.0

Chookagian has all the tools to keep this fight competitive and potentially win it. She's a solid defensive grappler and a mobile striker with a height and reach advantage over her opponent.

Like Muhammad, Chookagian has a point-fighting style (15-2 on the scorecards in her career). She tends to get into close decisions, but she is both highly active and defensively sound. 

Fiorot's metrics are more efficient but have come against a far inferior level of competition. Chookagian is firmly entrenched as a top of rankings gatekeeper. She's the toughest test of Fiorot's career.

Fiorot is the stronger fighter and may have the faster hands, but Chookagian excels at creating awkward angles and capitalizing on timing.

Chookagian vs. Fiorot Pick

I don't see value on either side of the moneyline or total, though I would take a stab on Chookagian at +200 or better. But I am interested in one winning method prop.

Chookagian's upside in this fight is likely limited to a competitive 29-28 decision in her favor, but the price is still ripe.

The Pick: Chookagian to win by decision (+280 at BetRivers, projected +233), bet down to +257.

The must-have app for UFC bettors

The best UFC betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.