UFC 289 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Miranda Maverick vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius: Play the Big Underdog (Saturday, June 10)
Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: UFC women’s flyweight Jasmine Jasudavicius
Miranda Maverick vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Odds
Miranda Maverick will look to maintain her top-15 status when she meets Canadian fighter and fellow flyweight Jasmine Jasudavicius on the UFC 289 preliminary card.
Maverick, who's the No. 15-ranked contender at 125 pounds, looks to make it three straight wins when she tangles with Jasudavicius, who's on an overall 4-1 run dating back to her CFFC and Contender Series days.
Is Maverick a justifiable heavy favorite? Let's break down the matchup.
Tale of the Tape
| Maverick | Jasudavicius | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 13-4 | 8-2 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 12:03 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5'3" | 5'7" |
| Weight (pounds) | 125 lbs. | 125 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 65" | 68" |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 7/1/1997 | 3/1/1989 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.74 | 2.92 |
| SS Accuracy | 44% | 40% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 2.53 | 3.85 |
| SS Defense | 60% | 51% |
| Take Down Avg | 2.70 | 2.50 |
| TD Acc | 61% | 41% |
| TD Def | 44% | 72% |
| Submission Avg | 0.4 | 0.0 |
Jasudavicius is my favorite moneyline wager for UFC 289. The Canadian will have the home crowd in a fight lined as high as -345 (77.5%) to reach a decision.
Maverick has a technical striking edge, but Jasudavicius can make up for that with her physical advantages: four inches of height and three inches of reach.
I'm also uncertain that Maverick is the better wrestler in this fight, which is the assumption based on the odds. She may have difficulty wrestling a taller opponent, but Maverick also surrenders takedowns of her own (44% takedown defense) and often has difficulty getting off her back after takedowns.
Maverick vs. Jasudavicius Pick
If Jasudavicuus can keep the striking relatively competitive by putting Maverick at the end of her jab, land a takedown in one or two rounds, get some top time, and go the full 15 minutes, we likely have a coinflip decision on our hands at worst – where Jadudavicus received unanimous support from the crowd.
And that seems like a highly plausible outcome.
Bet Jasudavicus on the moneyline down to +240 (projected +227) and consider playing her to win by decision (projected +330, listed +325) or even by split decision for small stakes in the winning-method market.
The Pick: Jasmine Jasudavicius (+250, 0.5u) at Caesars
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