UFC 297 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Priscila Cachoeira: Distance Bet for Weight-Adjusted Bout (Saturday, January 20)
Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: UFC women’s flyweight Jasmine Jasudavicius of Canada
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Priscila Cachoeira Odds
Here's everything you need to know about Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Priscila Cachoeira at UFC 297 on Saturday, Jan. 20 – our expert UFC prediction and pick.
Canada's Jasmine Jasudavicius is a heavy favorite as she takes on Priscila Cachoeira in an early preliminary-card bout.
A win for either fighter could give her a ticket to the UFC women's flyweight contender top 15 (though this bout takes place at bantamweight). However, Cachoeira is going to have to play spoiler in enemy territory to get it done.
Let's look at the Jasudavicius vs. Cachoeira odds and my betting pick.
Tale of the Tape
| Jasudavicius | Cachoeira | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-3 | 12-5 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 15:00 | 9:15 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'7" |
| Weight (pounds) | 135 lbs. | 135 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 68" | 65" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 3/1/1989 | 8/19/1988 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.54 | 4.12 |
| SS Accuracy | 40% | 43% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 4.41 | 7.13 |
| SS Defense | 51% | 45% |
| Take Down Avg | 2.17 | 0.18 |
| TD Acc | 37% | 33% |
| TD Def | 80% | 65% |
| Submission Avg | 0.0 | 0.0 |
The two camps agreed to move the bout to 135 pounds instead of flyweight (125) on Friday, which certainly helps Cachoeira, who would have missed the 126-pound limit and regularly looks for sneaky advantages against her opponents.
This matchup is a binary striker vs. grappler fight, where the Jasudavicius should be able to exploit Cachoeira's shoddy takedown defense (65%) and bottom game with her offensive wrestling.
Jasmine isn't out of place on the feet, but Cachoeira carries much more power, is far more aggressive, and is much likelier to damage her opponent in striking exchanges.
Jasudavicius has an effective point-fighting style, and if she manages her gas tank and times her entries well, she can justify her steep price tag in this matchup. However, Cachoeira has vastly more finishing upside.
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Jasudavicius vs. Cachoeira Pick
I project value both on the fight to reach a decision (projected -173, listed -125) and for Jasudavicius to win a decision (projected -120, listed -105).
I'd rather bet the former, considering the minimal price differential and the potential that Cachoeira steals a decision with a pair of timely knockdowns or otherwise damaging strikes.
The Pick: Jasudavicius vs. Cachoeira Goes to Decision (-125, Risk 0.5u) at Caesars
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