UFC Fight Night 146 Betting Guide: Will Derrick Lewis Knock Out Junior dos Santos?

Mar 09, 2019 06:00 AM EST
Credit:

Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Derrick Lewis (red gloves).

UFC Fight Night 146 betting odds: Derrick Lewis vs. Junior dos Santos

  • Derrick Lewis +170
  • Junior dos Santos -210
  • Time: Approx. 9:45 p.m. ET
  • Channel: ESPN+

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The UFC will travel to Wichita, Kansas and the actions gets started at 5 p.m. ET from the INTRUST Bank Arena for UFC Fight Night 146.

The action-packed card has multiple value bets in the non-main event contests, but the following breakdown will focus strictly on the night’s main event between top-ranked heavyweight contenders Derrick Lewis and Junior dos Santos.

Lewis has won three of his past four fights, but was most recently seen losing to champion Daniel Cormier by rear-naked choke in the second round at UFC 230. This fight took place less than a month after Lewis’ miraculous comeback at UFC 229, when “The Black Beast” knocked out Alexander Volkov with just 11 seconds remaining in the third round of a fight that Lewis was badly losing.

Meanwhile, dos Santos was last seen toppling budding contender Tai Tuivasa in December. dos Santos hasn’t lost since being knocked out in just 144 seconds at UFC 211 at the hands of then-champion Stipe Miocic.

Both fighters have finished the overwhelming majority of their fights by way of knockout, although dos Santos has historically utilized more volume and better defense than Lewis.

Let’s break down some of the matchup’s biggest questions and attempt to find some value with the odds.

How Can Derrick Lewis Win?

The answer is by devastating knockout via Lewis’ monstrous right hand.

Lewis has fought 16 times in the UFC and won 12 of those contests. 10 of his victories came via KO/TKO by way of punches, while his only decision victories came in a mystifying low-volume “fight” against Francis Ngannou along with a split-decision win over Roy Nelson, who is notorious for having a granite chin.

The intriguing part about Lewis’ knockout ability is that he’s dangerous for more than just the first round.

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