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UFC Fight Night 147 Betting Preview: Darren Till and Jorge Masvidal Face Off in London

Mar 15, 2019 7:00 PM EDT

UFC Fight Night 147 betting odds: Darren Till vs. Jorge Masvidal

  • Darren Till -250
  • Jorge Masvidal +200
  • Channel: ESPN+
  • Time: Approx. 6:30 p.m. ET

Coming off a failed title bid against then-UFC Welterweight Champion Tyron Woodley, No.3 welterweight Darren Till looks to get back in the win column against veteran No. 11 Jorge Masvidal at UFC Fight Night 147. The UFC still has confidence in Till, as they’ve booked him to headline this card in his native England.

Till (17-1-1) is a sizable favorite over Masvidal (32-13), but the fight may be closer than the odds appear.

How Till Can Win

A highly-touted prospect, Darren Till was 5-0-1 in the UFC prior to his loss to Woodley last September. Standing at 6-foot-0 and possessing a 74-inch reach, Till has a massive frame for the welterweight division.

The English fighter utilizes his long frame and southpaw stance to out-strike opponents on the feet. Till favors a counter-pressure fighting style, similar to Conor McGregor. Till’s footwork is designed to push his opponents backwards to the fence and make them panic. Rather than attack his retreating opponent, Till prefers to elicit reactions from them; these reactions create openings for Till. The more panic-induced an opponent’s reaction, the better it is for Till.

Till’s weapon of choice to capitalize on his opponent’s defensive openings is the straight left hand. Most of Till’s other strikes are diversions, designed to elicit openings for the left hand. He makes excellent use of elbows in the clinch and has scored a knockdown or knockout in 80% (4/5) of his UFC wins.

Against Masvidal, Till’s game plan on the feet should be more of the same. Expect him to try and walk Masvidal down, throwing the left every chance he gets. Till has demonstrated remarkable toughness in his MMA career — he’s only been knocked down once and has never been knocked out.

Masvidal does not have single-shot knockout power to make Till reticent on the feet and against Stephen Thompson, Masvidal showed he is there to be hit against a long, patient striker.

As far as Till is concerned, the less grappling involved the better. Till has demonstrated impressive ground and pound — particularly via elbows — but doesn’t have a reliable takedown game. He typically finds himself in top position via caught kicks or after hurting his opponent on the feet.

Defensively, Till has demonstrated impressive takedown defense (86%) but has looked his absolute worst when in bottom position. The two worst rounds of Till’s UFC career occurred when Till found himself trapped in bottom position:

  • Tyron Woodley out-struck Till 58-0 and submitted him in the second round of their fight
  • Nicholas Dalby out-struck Till 78-9 and landed two takedowns in the third round of their fight

If Till can keep the fight standing, he has the tools to maintain range and out-strike Masvidal.

How Masvidal Can Win

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