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Updated Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix Odds, Starting Grid: Max Verstappen, Not Lewis Hamilton, Favored To Win (March 28)

Updated Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix Odds, Starting Grid: Max Verstappen, Not Lewis Hamilton, Favored To Win (March 28) article feature image

Dan Istitene – Formula 1/Formula 1 via Getty Images. Pictured: Lewis Hamilton.

  • Lewis Hamilton is not atop the oddsboard for the Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix on Sunday. Red Bull's Max Verstappen is instead after excellent winter testing and qualifying first on Saturday.
  • Check out the latest odds ahead of the race, as well as the starting grid, below.

Formula 1 Bahrain Grand Prix Odds to Win

Driver Odds Probability
Max Verstappen -175 54.02%
Lewis Hamilton +190 29.27%
Valtteri Bottas +1500 5.31%
Sergio Perez +3500 2.36%
Pierre Gasly +4000 2.07%
Daniel Ricciardo +5000 1.66%
Charles Leclerc +6600 1.27%
Lando Norris +8000 1.05%
Carlos Sainz Jr. +12500 0.67%
Fernando Alonso +25000 0.34%
Yuki Tsunoda +25000 0.34%
Lance Stroll +30000 0.28%
Kimi Räikkönen +50000 0.17%
Sebastian Vettel +50000 0.17%
Esteban Ocon +50000 0.17%
Antonio Giovinazzi +50000 0.17%
George Russell +50000 0.17%
Nicholas Latifi +50000 0.17%
Mick Schumacher +50000 0.17%
Nikita Mazepin +50000 0.17%

It might be strange to see Mercedes’ Lewis Hamilton not atop the oddsboard as he begins his chase for an eighth World Championship.

But that’s the case for Sunday’s Bahrain Grand Prix (11 a.m. ET, ESPN).

Red Bull’s Max Verstappen is a -175 favorite at PointsBet. A $17.50 bet will pay out $10 in winnings, and those odds give him a 54% chance to win (with the juice removed).

It shouldn’t come as any surprise, though. Red Bull looked excellent in testing all winter, Merc was average by its standards and Verstappen took the pole for Bahrain by an incredible 0.388 seconds over Hamilton.

Prior to qualifying, most sportsbooks listed Hamilton and Verstappen about even, each at +150, with their teammates Valtteri Bottas and Sergio Perez the only other drivers under 10-1.

Mercedes’ did land its second car in the third spot, with Bottas finishing just ahead of Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc in qualifying. That’s good news for both teams — it indicates Merc has made strides since poor preseason testing, and that Ferrari has reason to believe it can improve on its worst season in 40 years.

Red Bull’s Perez will start 11th but is still the fourth betting choice to win the Bahrain Grand Prix at 35-1 after Verstappen, Hamilton and Bottas.

Because there’s not a ton of subjectivity in the quality of driver and car, sportsbooks like PointsBet and DraftKings post tons of different betting on Formula 1 — matchups, groups, fastest lap, and more.

Hamilton remains the favorite to win the Drivers Championship at -120 (Bet365), with Verstappen at +125.

Bahrain Grand Prix Starting Grid

Position Driver Team
1 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
3 Valtteri Bottas Mercedes
4 Charles Leclerc Ferrari
5 Pierre Gasly AlphaTauri
6 Daniel Ricciardo McLaren
7 Lando Norris McLaren
8 Carlos Sainz Ferrari
9 Fernando Alonso Alpine
10 Lance Stroll Aston Martin
11 Sergio Perez Red Bull
12 Antonio Giovinazzi Alfa Romeo
13 Yuki Tsunoda AlphaTauri
14 Kimi Räikkönen Alfa Romeo
15 George Russell Williams
16 Esteban Ocon Alpine
17 Nicholas Latifi Williams
18 Sebastian Vettel Aston Martin
19 Mick Schumacher Haas
20 Nikita Mazepin Haas

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