The Charlotte Hornets (14-26) and Golden State Warriors (22-19) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. EST from Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif. The game will be broadcast live on FDSSE.
The Warriors are favored by seven points on the spread (Warriors -7), with the over/under set at 234 total points. The Warrors are -275 favorites to win outright on the moneyline, while the Hornets are +225 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Hornets vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, January 17.
My Hornets vs Warriors Prediction
- Hornets vs Warriors pick: Over 234 (-110)
My Hornets vs Warriors best bet is on the over, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Hornets vs Warriors Odds
| Hornets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -110 | 234 -110o / -110u | +225 |
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -110 | 234 -110o / -110u | -275 |
Hornets vs Warriors NBA Preview
These teams will meet for the second time this season, with the Warriors previously winning in Charlotte on December 31, 132-125, where they will face off again tonight at Chase Center. While home court gives the Warriors a strong edge—they're an impressive 15-6 at home this season—they boast the league's top 3-point shooting attack, averaging 16.0 made threes per game led by Stephen Curry's 4.6 makes at 38.8%.
The Hornets enter with momentum after a big road win over the Lakers (135-117), powered by LaMelo Ball's 30 points and career-high-tying nine 3-pointers, but they'll have to overcome injury challenges and a tough 7-14 road record (overall 15-26). Injury updates show the Warriors with Gui Santos day-to-day (ankle) and Seth Curry out (thigh/back).
For Charlotte, Mason Plumlee is out (groin), with Moussa Diabate listed as questionable (hamstring)—potentially impacting rim protection and rebounding against Golden State's depth featuring Curry, Jimmy Butler, and others.
The total sits at 234.5, and our Bet Labs "Bad Road Overs" system recommends backing the Over 234.5 in this non-conference matchup.
Hornets vs Warriors Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Bad Road Overs system focuses on NBA games where struggling road teams face stronger home opponents in non-conference matchups, creating favorable conditions for high-scoring results. When a poor road team with a low win rate meets a winning home team, defensive effort and intensity often dip for the visitor while the home side pushes the pace and controls offensive rhythm.
Non-conference games tend to feature looser defensive schemes and unfamiliar matchups, leading to faster scoring runs and less resistance in transition. The data shows that when totals close above the 220 range and the line movement slightly favors the Over, the market correctly anticipates offensive efficiency rather than defensive pressure. These situations consistently produce games where both teams exceed expectations, with the stronger home team dictating tempo and the weaker visitor contributing enough to push the total past the number.
This aligns perfectly here: Charlotte's recent offensive surge (averaging nearly 120 PPG in their last 10) meets Golden State's elite shooting and home scoring prowess, with the prior meeting already hitting 257 total points. Expect pace, threes, and transition buckets to drive the score well over 234.5 tonight.
Pick: Over 234 (-110)
Warriors vs Hornets Betting Trends
