The Charlotte Hornets (4-12) and Atlanta Hawks (10-7) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 6:00 p.m. EST from State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Ga. The game will broadcast live on FDSSE.
The Hawks are favored by -7.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 232.5 total points. The Hawks are -272 favorites to win outright on the moneyline, while the Hornets are +227 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Hornets vs. Hawks predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, November 23.
My Hornets vs Hawks Prediction
- Hornets vs Hawks pick: Hornets +7.5
My Hornets vs Hawks best bet is on Charlotte to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Hornets vs Hawks Odds
| Hornets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -105 | 232.5 -110o / -110u | +230 |
| Hawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -115 | 232.5 -110o / -110u | -280 |
Hornets vs Hawks NBA Preview
The Hawks accomplished their mission last night with a comfortable road win (98-115) over a Pelicans team that simply can’t find its footing in the Western Conference.
Kristaps Porzingis and Jalen Johnson were the stars of the night. Porzingis erupted for 30 points on an efficient 11-of-17 shooting (+64%), while Johnson came just shy of a triple-double with 18 points, 11 rebounds, and 9 assists.
Atlanta now has a real chance to pick up back-to-back victories, especially with the Hornets going through a stretch very similar to New Orleans.
However, accumulated fatigue could be a major factor tonight — this will be the Hawks’ fourth game in six days, a span in which they’ve traveled to both San Antonio and New Orleans.
On the other side of the floor, the Hornets are fighting through their own struggles and, along with the Pelicans, remain one of the weakest teams in the league this season.
Charlotte enters this matchup on a five-game losing streak, though the situational spot could help them snap it — if injuries allow them to compete.
Last night, the Hornets fell 131–116 to the Clippers, but the most painful part wasn’t the loss — it was losing three players, two of them key pieces in Charles Lee’s rotation.
According to the injury report, Tre Mann (ankle) has been ruled out. Meanwhile, Ryan Kalkbrenner (ankle) and Pat Connaughton (right calf) are both listed as questionable, meaning the staff will evaluate their status closely as tip-off approaches.
Hornets vs Hawks Prediction, Betting Analysis
This game fits perfectly with Evan Abrams' Fading Tired Home Teams system. This targets NBA regular-season matchups where fatigue and overvaluation intersect to create an edge for visiting teams.
The Hawks have played multiple games in a short span; this will be the fourth game in six days for Atlanta, which tends to experience a drop in energy and defensive consistency despite the advantage of being on their own court.
The market often overlooks this subtle fatigue effect, assuming comfort at home offsets physical wear, but in reality, quick turnarounds and short rest lead to slower rotations, weaker transition defense, and less efficiency late in games.
Visiting teams facing these tired hosts, particularly when they are more rested and entering the matchup with focus and travel rhythm, tend to outperform expectations against the spread.
This setup consistently rewards bettors who recognize that rest and intensity outweigh location when home favorites are running on fumes
Pick: Hornets +7.5
Spread
As mentioned, we see value in Evan Abrams' Fading Tired Home Teams system.
Moneyline
We are not betting on either side of the Moneyline.
Over/Under
We are also staying away from game totals bets.
Hawks vs Hornets Betting Trends
