Tonight’s three-game slate features plenty of drama across the board. The 76ers and Blazers are both fighting to keep their seasons alive on the road, while the Knicks and Hawks return to the Garden tied 2-2.
When the stars attract all the defensive attention, the value often trickles down to the role players. Using our Pick Labs Ladders Tool, we’ve built a "Role Player Parlay" that targets three players in spots where the market hasn't fully adjusted to their recent usage or situational upside.
Let's get into our NBA Parlay Picks (+3109) for tonight.
NBA Parlay Picks: Tuesday, April 28
- VJ Edgecombe 15+ Points (+185)
- Jordan Clarkson 3+ Rebounds (+275)
- Donovan Clingan 10+ Rebounds (+206)
Parlay Payout: +3109 (DraftKings)
VJ Edgecombe | Points Milestones
76ers vs. Celtics | 7:00 p.m. ET
VJ Edgecombe was the hero of Game 2, single-handedly keeping Philadelphia in the series with a 30-point explosion on 12-of-20 shooting.
Since then, the box scores haven't been as kind, but the process remains sound.
Edgecombe is still getting plenty of looks—some of them wide open with Joel Embiid now back in the lineup—but he’s struggled to find the bottom of the net, going a combined 0-of-11 from deep over the last two games.
With the Sixers facing elimination tonight, they need Edgecombe to relocate his rhythm.
Our Pick Labs projections suggest a significant bounce-back may be on the horizon. We have his 15+ points rung at a 52.6% projected chance, giving us a healthy 17.5% edge against the market.
13+ Points: 66.7% Proj. Chance | 16.7% Edge
15+ Points: 52.6% Proj. Chance | 17.5% Edge
18+ Points: 32.8% Proj. Chance | 12.2% Edge
Jordan Clarkson | Rebounds Milestones
Hawks vs. Knicks | 8:00 p.m. ET
Jordan Clarkson’s role in this series is trending in the right direction.
After seeing just 11 minutes in each of the first two games, his workload has steadily climbed to 17 and 21 minutes in Games 3 and 4.
Despite logging his largest workload of the season in the last outing, he curiously recorded zero rebounds.
We’re banking on regression to the mean here.
Clarkson averaged 3.0 rebounds over the first three games of the series, and role players historically perform better at home in front of the Madison Square Garden crowd.
With his minutes likely to stay in the low 20s, a 3+ rebound performance (40.1% proj. chance) seems well within reach, offering a 13.5% edge.
2+ Rebounds: 66.3% Proj. Chance | 16.1% Edge
3+ Rebounds: 40.1% Proj. Chance | 13.5% Edge
4+ Rebounds: 19.0% Proj. Chance | 6.0% Edge
Donovan Clingan | Rebounds Milestones
Blazers vs. Spurs | 9:30 p.m. ET
The Blazers are in "win or go home" mode tonight, and that usually means riding your most consistent contributors.
Donovan Clingan has been a glass-cleaning machine over the last few weeks, grabbing 10+ rebounds in seven of his last nine games overall.
While he dipped to six boards in Game 4, his recent track record (10 and 11 rebounds in Games 2 and 3) suggests that was an outlier.
Pick Labs is bullish on Clingan tonight, projecting a 10+ rebound performance at 60.2%, which represents a massive 27.5% edge over the standard market value.
In an elimination game, expect max effort from the big man to keep Portland's season alive.
9+ Rebounds: 72.1% Proj. Chance | 27.8% Edge
10+ Rebounds: 60.2% Proj. Chance | 27.5% Edge
11+ Rebounds: 47.8% Proj. Chance | 24.5% Edge
NBA Parlay for Tonight 4/28
- VJ Edgecombe 15+ Points (+185)
- Jordan Clarkson 3+ Rebounds (+275)
- Donovan Clingan 10+ Rebounds (+206)
Parlay Payout: +3109 (DraftKings)
If you combine these three props from our top edges in Pick Labs, you get a parlay with a potential a payout of +3109.
This is considered a long shot for the reason, and you should treat it as such. However, we are showing a nice edge at that price — with our Pick Labs models projecting a 12.7% chance of this parlay hitting, while +3109 implies only a 3.12% chance.
