We have another excellent slate on tap in the NBA today, and the prop market is full of value waiting to be exploited.
Our Action Network staff has combed through the matchups, rotations, and defensive schemes to find the best angles on the board.
Continue below for our NBA player props for Saturday, November 7.
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NBA Player Props for Saturday, November 7
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 8 p.m. | |
| 9 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Wizards vs. Thunder
Kenrich Williams Over 12.5 Points & Rebounds (-104)
By Joe Dellera
The Thunder wrap up a back-to-back set tonight, and this matchup against the Wizards presents a prime spot to target Kenrich Williams.
Given the hefty point spread and rest management on zero days of rest, I think it's likely that Alex Caruso sits this one out. That naturally opens up a sizable chunk of minutes in the rotation for Kenrich to step into.
Williams has already seen an expanded role with Oklahoma City shorthanded, and his production has followed.
In games without both Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren this season, Kenrich is averaging 13.3 points and rebounds, establishing a reliable floor of 10 PR across that sample. When you remove Caruso from the equation as well, that output spikes even further to 14.3 PR.
If we look back to last season under similar short-handed circumstances, Williams was averaging 20.5 PR in these spots.
As long as the injury report shakes out the way we expect, Kenrich should see more than enough volume to clear this 12.5 line.
Pick: Kenrich Williams Over 12.5 Points & Rebounds (-104)Â
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Wizards vs Thunder betting preview!
Rockets vs. Suns
Kevin Durant Over 21.5 Points (-120)
By Joe Dellera
I am grabbing Kevin Durant to clear 20.5 points against his former team, the Phoenix Suns.
This has been a somewhat unusual season for KD from a scoring perspective; he is averaging a modest 20.8 points per game and hasn't truly uncorked a massive ceiling game since dropping 30 points in the season opener.
Durant even caught some flack from a reporter recently regarding his lack of aggression, to which he responded that his gravity simply opens up the floor for the rest of his teammates.
While that unselfish approach is accurate, this feels like the perfect spot for Durant to take a decisive step forward, shoulder the scoring load, and remind his former franchise exactly who he is.
From a purely schematic standpoint, the Suns offer a favorable defensive matchup for his specific shot profile. Durant gets his buckets from above the break, in the mid-range, and working his way into the paint—and those are the exact zones where Phoenix's defense is susceptible.
The Suns are bleeding looks from two-point range, struggling to defend the arc, and committing fouls at a high clip. They are also weak at contesting elite spot-up shooters.
Durant is quite literally one of the best spot-up shooters in the history of the sport, and Phoenix lacks the perimeter length to effectively bother his release.
Even if you have to pay a little bit of juice, backing KD to score 22 points against a porous Suns defense in a revenge-ish narrative spot is fantastic value.
Pick: Kevin Durant Over 21.5 Points (-120)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Rockets vs Suns betting preview!
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Scoot Henderson Over 12.5 Points (-125)
I am looking at Scoot Henderson to go over 11.5 points tonight, but this play comes with an essential caveat: you must wait to ensure Damian Lillard is officially ruled out on the injury report.
This is a one-star lean precisely because it is dependent on Portland resting their veterans on the second night of a back-to-back.
If Lillard sits, Henderson's offensive usage skyrockets by a staggering +16.7 percent. While his overall shot quality slightly dips as the primary focus of the defense, his true shooting percentage actually jumps by 10 percent, and his efficiency finishing at the rim significantly improves without Dame on the floor.
Additionally, the likely absence of Robert Williams plays perfectly into Scoot's hands. Time Lord is a clunky offensive fit next to Henderson because neither player spaces the floor with three-point shooting.
When Williams sits, the paint opens up, and Henderson's effective field goal percentage and at-rim finishing numbers tend to take a leap.
The Spurs boast a tremendous overall defense that excels at limiting three-point opportunities, but they concede a heavy diet of mid-range jumpers.
Conveniently, the mid-range is virtually the only area where Henderson consistently looks to score right now; he rarely takes threes anyway, meaning San Antonio's primary defensive strength won't actively hinder his game.
Wait for Lillard's status to drop, and if he sits, fire on Scoot's over.
Pick: Scoot Henderson Over 12.5 Points (-125)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Spurs vs Blazers betting preview!
