NBA Player Props Today: Expert Picks for Evan Mobley, Lauri Markkanen (Feb. 12)
Alex Goodlett/Getty Images. Pictured: Lauri Markkanen
NBA Player Props | Monday, Feb. 12
In the graph below, Alex Hinton has provided his top two NBA player props for tonight's 10-game slate. The two plays feature Evan Mobley in Cavaliers vs. 76ers and Lauri Markkanen in Jazz vs. Warriors.. Click on a player to skip to his section.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7 p.m. | |
| 9 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Jarrett Allen had a double-double in 16 straight games, but most of the streak came with Evan Mobley out of the lineup. Since Mobley has returned, Allen has 10 rebounds or fewer in three of the last five games and has gone under tonight's line (11.5) in five of his past seven games.
He did take advantage of a good matchup on Saturday and pulled down 15 against the Raptors. Without Joel Embiid, he has another good matchup against the Sixers. However, there is more value on Mobley tonight.
Mobley has pulled down 10 rebounds in four of his last five games. In the one game that he did not, he finished with eight against Washington. Mobley has been clearing this line with ease as he had 12 rebounds against Brooklyn and 14 against Sacramento. Tonight, we only need nine and I like his chances against the Sixers.
On Friday, we backed Jalen Johnson's points and rebounds line. He did not score enough for the over, but he did have 11 rebounds and secured a double-double. Over the last few weeks, the Sixers have allowed double-digit rebounds to forwards Pascal Siakam, Jabari Walker, Lauri Markkanen and Saddiq Bey. John Collins, Jonathan Kuminga, Grant Williams and Cameron Johnson cleared their lines as well.
Mobley has hit this line in his last three games against the Sixers and he had 12 in the last two. Additionally, since Embiid last played against the Warriors, the Sixers are 21th in offensive rating and have a -8.8 net rating. That is another reason why I prefer Mobley over Allen tonight.
The Cavaliers are 10-point favorites tonight and Philadelphia has been blown out three times in its last six games. In case that happens again, it will be easier for Mobley to grab nine rebounds in three quarters compared to 12 for Allen. However, should Mobley have another dominant game on the glass against the Sixers, you can take him for 12 rebounds at +300 on DraftKings and for 14 rebounds at +650 on FanDuel.
Pick: Evan Mobley Over 8.5 Rebounds (-125 at FanDuel)
Lauri Markkanen has scored at least 21 points in seven of his last 10 games. He has hit this line in four of them, going up to 28 each time. Tonight will be the first of two games against the Warriors this week and it is a matchup he is comfortable with. Markkanen hit this line in two games against the Warriors last season, averaging 26.5 points per game in the process.
The Warriors are 20th in both points allowed per game and defensive rating. Recently, they have been a bit more stingy, but power forwards still have found success. Jalen Johnson, Saddiq Bey, Jalen Smith and Jaren Jackson Jr. have cleared their lines against the Warriors. Kevin Durant did not on Saturday, but he still had 24 points, which would be good enough for Markkanen.
Durant went just 2-for-8 from 3, which is a rarity for him. Markkanen will look to attack the Warriors from distance as well. He has made four 3s in five of his past 10 games. He is shooting 40.3% on 8.4 attempts per game in that stretch. He also six 3s in both meetings against the Warriors last season.
Tonight, he is plus money for four 3s and if he knocks them down, he will be halfway to scoring 24 points as well. Markkanen leads the Jazz in minutes, field goal attempts per game, 3-point attempts per game and free throw attempts per game. Given all of that volume, I like his odds of finding 12 more points. Additionally, he is +290 for 30 points on FanDuel. Markkanen has scored 33 points twice in his last 10 games.
Pick: Lauri Markkanen Over 23.5 Points (-113 at FanDuel)
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