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March Madness Bracket Predictions: Every Team’s Chances To Advance To Final Four & NCAA Tournament Final

March Madness Bracket Predictions: Every Team’s Chances To Advance To Final Four & NCAA Tournament Final article feature image
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The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics Sean Koerner projects every team's chances to advance to each round of the NCAA Tournament.

Note: Round of 64 matchups featuring play-in winners from the First Four are listed twice to reflect the projections for each possible scenario.


March Madness Bracket Predictions

Sort the following table by team name, region, seed and more.

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South Region

#1 Baylor vs. #16 Hartford

BaylorRoundHartford
98.7%of 321.3%
70.8%Sweet 160.1%
53.1%Elite Eight0%
37.6%Final Four0%
22.5%Finals0%
12.1%To Win0%

#8 UNC vs. #9 Wisconsin

UNCRoundWisconsin
42.8%of 3257.2%
11%Sweet 1618.1%
5.6%Elite Eight10.5%
2.5%Final Four5.5%
0.9%Finals2.3%
0.4%To Win0.8%

#5 Villanova vs. #12 Winthrop

VillanovaRoundWinthrop
76.6%of 3223.4%
33.5%Sweet 164.7%
8.8%Elite Eight0.4%
3.5%Final Four0.1%
1.1%Finals0%
0.3%To Win0%

#4 Purdue vs. #13 North Texas

PurdueRoundNorth Texas
83%of 3217%
56.3%Sweet 165.5%
21%Elite Eight0.6%
11%Final Four0.1%
4.5%Finals0%
1.6%To Win0%

#6 Texas Tech vs. #11 Utah State

Texas TechRoundUtah State
60.7%of 3239.3%
28.8%Sweet 1614.6%
12.3%Elite Eight4.8%
4.1%Final Four1.2%
1.4%Finals0.3%
0.4%To Win0.1%

#3 Arkansas vs. #14 Colgate

ArkansasRoundColgate
80.6%of 3219.4%
50.8%Sweet 165.8%
26.2%Elite Eight1.2%
10.9%Final Four0.2%
4.5%Finals0%
1.6%To Win0%

#7 Florida vs. #10 VA Tech

FloridaRoundVA Tech
57.2%of 3242.8%
20.2%Sweet 1612.5%
9.1%Elite Eight4.7%
2.8%Final Four1.2%
0.8%Finals0.3%
0.2%To Win0.1%

#2 Ohio State vs. #15 Oral Roberts

Ohio StateRoundOral Roberts
94.9%of 325.1%
66.6%Sweet 160.7%
41.5%Elite Eight0.1%
19.4%Final Four0%
9%Finals0%
3.6%To Win0%

East Region

#1 Illinois vs. #16 Drexel

IllinoisRoundDrexel
98%of 322%
77.6%Sweet 160.2%
62.2%Elite Eight0%
43.4%Final Four0%
27.9%Finals0%
15.5%To Win0%

#8 Loyola (IL) vs. #9 GA Tech

Loyola (IL)RoundGA Tech
53.6%of 3246.4%
12.5%Sweet 169.6%
6.8%Elite Eight4.9%
2.8%Final Four1.8%
1%Finals0.6%
0.3%To Win0.1%

#5 Tennessee vs. #12 Oregon St

TennesseeRoundOregon St
76.6%of 3223.4%
49.5%Sweet 168.7%
15.7%Elite Eight1.1%
7%Final Four0.2%
2.7%Finals0%
0.8%To Win0%

#4 OK State vs. #13 Liberty

OK StateRoundLiberty
76.6%of 3223.4%
36.5%Sweet 165.3%
8.9%Elite Eight0.5%
3.2%Final Four0.1%
1%Finals0%
0.2%To Win0%
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#6 San Diego State vs. #11 Syracuse

San Diego StateRoundSyracuse
60.7%of 3239.3%
32.8%Sweet 1617.2%
13%Elite Eight5.1%
4.5%Final Four1.3%
1.7%Finals0.4%
0.5%To Win0.1%

#3 West Virginia vs. #14 Morehead St

West VirginiaRoundMorehead St
89.8%of 3210.2%
48.7%Sweet 161.3%
19.2%Elite Eight0.1%
6.7%Final Four0%
2.5%Finals0%
0.7%To Win0%

#7 Clemson vs. #10 Rutgers

ClemsonRoundRutgers
42.8%of 3257.2%
10.8%Sweet 1617.8%
4.5%Elite Eight8.7%
1.2%Final Four2.7%
0.3%Finals0.9%
0.1%To Win0.2%

#2 Houston vs. #15 Cleveland St

HoustonRoundCleveland St
96.9%of 323.1%
71%Sweet 160.3%
49.3%Elite Eight0%
25.1%Final Four0%
13.6%Finals0%
6.1%To Win0%

Midwest Region

#1 Michigan vs. #16 Mount St. Mary's

MichiganRoundMount St. Mary's
99.1%of 320.9%
75.2%Sweet 160%
54.7%Elite Eight0%
38.6%Final Four0%
19.4%Finals0%
11%To Win0%

#1 Michigan vs. #16 Texas Southern

MichiganRoundTexas Southern
99.3%of 320.7%
75.4%Sweet 160%
54.8%Elite Eight0%
38.7%Final Four0%
19.4%Finals0%
11%To Win0%

#8 LSU vs. #9 St. Bonaventure

LSURoundSt. Bonaventure
51.8%of 3248.2%
13.2%Sweet 1611.6%
6.3%Elite Eight5.3%
2.8%Final Four2.3%
0.7%Finals0.6%
0.2%To Win0.2%

#5 Colorado vs. #12 Georgetown

ColoradoRoundGeorgetown
70.7%of 3229.3%
36.5%Sweet 169.3%
12.5%Elite Eight1.7%
6.1%Final Four0.5%
1.8%Finals0.1%
0.6%To Win0%

#4 Florida St vs. #13 UNC Greensboro

Florida StRoundUNC Greensboro
86.2%of 3213.8%
51.3%Sweet 162.9%
19.3%Elite Eight0.3%
10%Final Four0%
3.2%Finals0%
1.2%To Win0%

#6 BYU vs. #11 UCLA

BYURoundUCLA
57.2%of 3242.8%
26.9%Sweet 1617.3%
10.4%Elite Eight5.5%
3.3%Final Four1.4%
0.8%Finals0.3%
0.2%To Win0.1%

#6 BYU vs. #11 Michigan St

BYURoundMichigan St
59%of 3241%
27.8%Sweet 1615.9%
10.7%Elite Eight4.8%
3.4%Final Four1.2%
0.8%Finals0.2%
0.2%To Win0%

#3 Texas vs. #14 Ab Christian

TexasRoundAb Christian
83%of 3217%
51.4%Sweet 164.4%
24.4%Elite Eight0.7%
9.7%Final Four0.1%
3%Finals0%
1.1%To Win0%

#7 UConn vs. #10 Maryland

UConnRoundMaryland
53.6%of 3246.4%
23.3%Sweet 1618.6%
12.8%Elite Eight9.5%
4.9%Final Four3.3%
1.4%Finals0.9%
0.5%To Win0.3%

#2 Alabama vs. #15 Iona

AlabamaRoundIona
95.4%of 324.6%
57.8%Sweet 160.4%
36.7%Elite Eight0%
17.1%Final Four0%
6.3%Finals0%
2.7%To Win0%

West Region

#1 Gonzaga vs. #16 App State/Norfolk State

GonzagaRoundApp State/Norfolk State
99.6%of 320.4%
88%Sweet 160%
72%Elite Eight0%
51.4%Final Four0%
37%Finals0%
24.7%To Win0%

#1 Gonzaga vs. #16 Norfolk State

GonzagaRoundNorfolk State
99.6%of 320.4%
88.1%Sweet 160%
72%Elite Eight0%
51.5%Final Four0%
37%Finals0%
24.7%To Win0%

#8 Oklahoma vs. #9 Missouri

OklahomaRoundMissouri
55.4%of 3244.6%
7.3%Sweet 164.7%
3.1%Elite Eight1.7%
0.9%Final Four0.5%
0.3%Finals0.1%
0.1%To Win0%

#5 Creighton vs. #12 UCSB

CreightonRoundUCSB
78%of 3222%
45.1%Sweet 166.5%
11.7%Elite Eight0.6%
4.9%Final Four0.1%
2%Finals0%
0.7%To Win0%

#4 Virginia vs. #13 Ohio

VirginiaRoundOhio
78%of 3222%
42.5%Sweet 165.9%
10.4%Elite Eight0.5%
4.2%Final Four0.1%
1.7%Finals0%
0.6%To Win0%

#6 USC vs. #11 Wichita State

USCRoundWichita State
70.7%of 3229.3%
34.8%Sweet 168.7%
11.7%Elite Eight1.5%
3%Final Four0.2%
1.1%Finals0%
0.4%To Win0%

#6 USC vs. #11 Drake

USCRoundDrake
73.8%of 3226.2%
36.3%Sweet 167.1%
12.2%Elite Eight1.1%
3.2%Final Four0.1%
1.2%Finals0%
0.4%To Win0%

#3 Kansas vs. #14 Eastern Wash

KansasRoundEastern Wash
89%of 3211%
54.5%Sweet 162%
20.9%Elite Eight0.2%
6.3%Final Four0%
2.6%Finals0%
1%To Win0%

#7 Oregon vs. #10 VCU

OregonRoundVCU
62.5%of 3237.5%
17.1%Sweet 166.9%
8.2%Elite Eight2.5%
2%Final Four0.4%
0.7%Finals0.1%
0.2%To Win0%

#2 Iowa vs. #15 Grand Canyon

IowaRoundGrand Canyon
95.8%of 324.2%
75.3%Sweet 160.8%
54.9%Elite Eight0.1%
26%Final Four0%
15.8%Finals0%
8.7%To Win0%

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