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The Texas Tech Red Raiders take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys in Stillwater, Oklahoma, on Saturday, Nov. 14. Kickoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Oklahoma State is favored by -3.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -160. The total is set at 73.5 points.
Here’s my Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State prediction and college football pick for Saturday, November 14.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Prediction
- Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Pick: Oklahoma State -3.5
My Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech best bet is on the Cowboys to cover the spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Odds
| Texas Tech Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -115 | 73.5 -110o / -110u | +132 |
| Oklahoma State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -105 | 73.5 -110o / -110u | -160 |
- Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State point spread: Oklahoma State -3.5 (-105), Texas Tech +3.5 (-115)
- Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State over/under: 73.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State moneyline: Texas Tech +132, Oklahoma State -160
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State College Football Preview
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview: Lead With Cracks
Texas Tech was the preseason favorite to win the Big 12, and if the season ended today, it would be in Arlington for the final edition of the Big 12 Championship at Jerry World.
That is courtesy of a 5-1 conference record, making it the only team in the league with just one loss and trailing only undefeated Utah in the standings.
Despite the 8-1 overall record, I have actually been underwhelmed with the Red Raiders for most of the season.
Will Hammond really struggled as the guy at quarterback, and you could see why Joey McGuire wanted to bring Brendan Sorsby over in the offseason before the news of his gambling issues broke.
As a result, Maguire turned to Thomas Castellanos a few weeks ago to take over, and he has at least bolstered the TTU offense a bit, in large part due to his rushing ability.
The offense is a top-30 unit in Success Rate rushing the football but ranks outside the top 100 through the air.
That's problematic against an Oklahoma State defense that will be willing to jam the box and force Castellanos to beat it with his arm.
Tech generated some long touchdown runs against Arizona and West Virginia the last two weeks, but the unit has felt very boom or bust all season.
On the other side of the ball, the Red Raider defense is a far cry from the elite unit it was a year ago.
That's not shocking given Tech lost guys like David Bailey to the NFL Draft, but the portal additions this year have not been anywhere near as impactful.
Facing Drew Mestemaker and this Cowboy offense will be a real challenge, and one that I don't really know if this TTU secondary is ready for.
To have any chance of getting stops in this game, Texas Tech must tackle better and get some pressure with its front four.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview: Mestemaker Knows the Drill
The Eric Morris era at Oklahoma State got off to a rocky start when the Pokes lost their opening game at Tulsa. It was quite the rebound, however, with the Cowboys blasting Oregon at home the following week.
Since those two contests, the story with this team has been pretty consistent — elite offense and mediocre defense.
Since Week 2, 32 points is the lowest output that OK State has generated in a given game, with several 50-plus point performances.
Mestemaker is rightfully getting talked about as potentially the first QB to come off the board in next year's draft and has already thrown for nearly 3,000 yards with three games still remaining in the regular season.
Mestemaker has total command of this offense and has looked particularly sharp in his last outings, tossing 13 touchdowns to just two interceptions.
I see no reason why the Cowboys can't move the ball up and down the field in this one against a TTU defense that won't be able to provide much resistance.
When the Red Raiders do have the football, this Oklahoma State defense has the potential to create some Havoc.
The key will be getting Tech behind schedule and forcing Castellanos into obvious passing situations.
When the threat of him rushing the ball gets taken away, and he's forced to make throws into tight windows, he becomes a lot more vulnerable, and there are turnovers to be created.
I'd also expect to see defensive coordinator Skyler Cassity dial up some blitzes to disrupt what Tech wants to do on early downs.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Pick, Betting Analysis
The Red Raiders have escaped the last few weeks against Arizona and West Virginia, and I expect their luck to come to an end on Saturday night in Stillwater.
Mestemaker and the Pokes possess one of the best offenses in the country, and the Red Raider attack is simply not consistent enough to keep pace, particularly on the road.
Boone Pickens Stadium will be rocking for this one, which will make it all the more challenging for Tech to sustain drives.
Look for the Pokes to throw the first punch early in this game and then keep building momentum from there. Tech will flinch and not be able to get back into it.
Lay it and never look back.
Pick: Oklahoma State -3.5
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Betting Trends
