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The Washington Huskies take on the Michigan State Spartans in East Lansing, Michigan, on Saturday, Nov. 14. Kickoff is set for 4:15 p.m. ET on the Big Ten Network.
Washington is favored by -3.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -170. The total is set at 44.5 points.
Here’s my Washington vs. Michigan State prediction and college football pick for Saturday, November 14.
Washington vs Michigan State Prediction
- Washington vs. Michigan State Pick: Under 44.5 (-118 or Better)
My Michigan State vs. Washington best bet is on both teams to go under the total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Washington vs Michigan State Odds
| Washington Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -105 | 44.5 -102o / -118u | -170 |
| Michigan State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -115 | 44.5 -102o / -118u | +142 |
- Washington vs Michigan State point spread: Washington -3.5 (-105), Michigan State +3.5 (-115)
- Washington vs Michigan State over/under: 44.5 (-102o / -118u)
- Washington vs Michigan State moneyline: Washington -170, Michigan State +142
Washington vs Michigan State College Football Preview
Washington Huskies Betting Preview: Never an Easy Saturday
No team is quite as dramatic about playing up to and down to competition as the Washington Huskies. Five of their nine games have finished within one score, and two more multi-score wins were still close into the fourth quarter.
The problem is, those one-score games range from USC and Minnesota to Utah State and Washington State.
Demond Williams never rediscovered his groove in Seattle after flirting with leaving last offseason. He's been in and out of the lineup (some rumors suggested that a benching was in order) and, overall, just hasn't been very good.
Remove his performance against FCS Eastern Washington, and he has seven touchdown passes and one game of 250-plus yards. Williams is questionable this week, but it sounds like he'll be the starter over Elijah Brown if he's ready.
The running back room has battled widespread injuries all year long, and the lack of a dependable run game has really hurt this team's third-down performance.
Five defensive starters are on the injury report this week. On a down-to-down basis, this Washington defense has been pretty good. It ranks 28th in Success Rate allowed, 19th in takeaways and 14th in Havoc rate.
Top defender Alex McLaughlin is listed as questionable, which would be an enormous loss for the Huskies. He leads the team in tackles, sacks, and interceptions from the safety position and is well on his way to an all-league season.
Washington has some work to do. At 5-4, it must win one of its final three games against Michigan State (away), Indiana (home), or Oregon (away) in order to play in the postseason.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview: A Win Worth Waiting
What a way to break a six-game losing streak — Michigan State went into Ann Arbor and upset rival Michigan for the first time since 2021.
Before then, it was dire stuff from the Spartans, who were piling up not only losses but injuries, too. Quarterback Alessio Milivojevic returned after missing Week 8 due to injury, and at least five additional starters have been out of the lineup lately.
Multiple players could return for this game, including defensive tackle Ben Roberts, both starting cornerbacks, and backup QB Cam Fancher. However, top tackler Devin Vaught is out for the game.
Although the cast of opposing defenses has been tough — four of Sparty's six losses came against defenses inside the top 35 nationally — the offensive rhythm was really lost with the season-ending injury to Cam Edwards.
There's been no explosiveness, partly due to a lack of weapons out wide and partly due to Milivojevic not taking many downfield shots (10 completions on 25 attempts of 20-plus yards).
Michigan State's defense has to be the unit to keep it in games. It held Michigan to just six points and drove the final nail that ended Jason Beck's tenure there.
The performance has been inconsistent, and the Spartans have intermittent tackling issues (15.5% missed tackle rate is 93rd), but this is a group that kept Notre Dame to 27 points and Northwestern to 24.
Returning Roberts and two starting corners would be a huge boost to a unit that's played three complete games.
Washington vs Michigan State Pick, Betting Analysis
Washington maintains its position as a -3.5 favorite, and the point total is steady around 44 points. UW -3 or better is an obvious buy point, as is anything on either side of 44.
Neither team has a great situational spot heading into Saturday. Michigan State is in an obvious letdown spot after the big win over Michigan.
However, Washington is on the road once again, and those miles have proven to add up. Last year, UW dropped an ugly 13-10 game at Wisconsin in November, and the year before, it was blown out 35-6 by Penn State (+12.5 underdog). It doesn't help that the Huskies carry injuries at key positions.
Temperatures in East Lansing aren't expected to get much above freezing, and there'll be a decent breeze. Classic Big Ten weather for this classic Big Ten showdown.
With Sparty potentially returning its key defenders, including cornerbacks Tre Bell and Charles Brantley, Washington may have trouble continuing its pass-heavy approach.
Only four teams throw the ball more than UW, and it's relying on a beat-up Williams on the road in the cold. No thanks.
There's not much to get excited about from either team's scoring unit, and we get this above the key figure of 44 points. Expect ugly, grind-it-out football from both sides.
Pick: Under 44.5 (-118 or Better)
Washington vs Michigan State Betting Trends
