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Raiders vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2025

Raiders at Commanders

5:00 pm • FOX

Las Vegas Raiders

4-5
24
24 - 41

Washington Commanders

3-5-1
41

Raiders at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Raiders
4-5
+3-115
o43.5-115
+130
Commanders
3-5-1
-3-105
u43.5-110
-155
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 21, 2025
Northwest StadiumLandover
Raiders vs. Commanders Expert Picks
Tyler Shoemaker
Tyler Shoemaker
Last 30d: 1-2-0 (-1.2u)
Under 47.5-110
5.5u
Kenny Ducey
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.2u)
LV +3.5-113
1.13u
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.5u
Projection: 0.55 TDs, +113. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.
WAS -2.5-120
1u
Projection: -3.5. For more, check out the Fantasy Life game model.
G.Smith o0.5 Int-139
0.69u
Projection: -168. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 60-66-1 (+4.9u)
J.Croskey-Merritt u1.5 Recs-117
0.5u
I promise my entire Week 3 won’t be just gross unders on props where the player has stayed under in both games so far. Just wanted to get ahead of the ones I thought would move some before tomorrow. I have a handful of “buy low” type props where I expect their price to only improve tomorrow. Bill is going to play more snaps with Ekeler out, but I still expect McNichols to take most of the 3rd down type work. Chris Rodriguez should be active this week and also eat into his snaps. Bill fell down on both of his targets so far because he didn’t know which direction the pass would be coming. Mariota checked down to his back just 6% of the time (3rd lowest rate in league) in his last full season in Atlanta.
Anthony Dabbundo
Anthony Dabbundo
Last 30d: 41-51-0 (-5.7u)
LV +6-110
1.1u
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 366-310-10 (+33.9u)
LV +6.5-110
0.55u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 236-272-8 (-26.0u)
J.Croskey-Merritt Anytime TD Scorer Yes+110
$1.10
A.Jeanty Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100
$1.00
J.Croskey-Merritt o53.5 Rush Yds-110
$1.10
LV +3.5-115
$1.15
A.Jeanty o57.5 Rush Yds-115
$1.00
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 34-99-1 (-8.2u)
LV +6.5-110
1.5u
🔥 Week 3 Hot Read 🔥
Will Brinson
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 3-1-0 (+2.4u)
Over 43.5-112
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 65-74-1 (+0.3u)
Under 44-105
0.63u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 20-65-0 (-11.3u)
D.Thornton Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425
0.5u
#Tailing @nick_giffen
J.Croskey-Merritt u1.5 Recs-117
0.5u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 48-166-0 (+8.4u)
WAS/LV: No Touchdowns+10000
0.03u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-3-expert-data-driven-picks-for-sunday-sept-21
D.Thornton Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425
0.5u
Man
D.Thornton First Touchdown Scorer Yes+2200
0.1u
Man
D.Thornton 2+ TDs Yes+5500
0.05u
WAS -2.5-120
0.1u
Just a nibble on my Commanders If this game goes over its total, its because Mariota isnt as bad as we think in this WAS offense
Over 46.5+125
0.31u
Alt over
Over 50.5+200
0.2u
Alt over
Over 43.5-110
1u
Strong Luck Over
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 22-19-1 (+1.1u)
LV +3-115
0.58u
Over 43.5-110
0.5u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 54-43-1 (+0.3u)
J.Croskey-Merritt u1.5 Recs-117
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 38-112-1 (-16.9u)
LV +6.5-110
1u
Week 3 Hot Read @wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/puoNyDzFGWb
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 49-71-1 (-23.5u)
Over 43.5-110
0.91u
Same read as NO v SF last week but do you really care?
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 101-107-0 (-18.4u)
LV +3-115
1u
Bryan Fonseca
Bryan Fonseca
Last 30d: 9-9-0 (-0.8u)
LV +3.5-115
0.5u
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 21-22-1 (+5.6u)
J.Lane u1.5 Recs+145
1.45u
There is a value opportunity on Jaylin Lane's receptions prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 1.66 receptions, while sportsbooks implies 2.30. The model believes there is a 56% chance he records fewer than 1.5 receptions, so there is some value on the under at +145. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

Raiders vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

  • Anytime Touchdown Picks for Every NFL Game article feature image

    Anytime Touchdown Picks for Every NFL Game

    Gilles Gallant•
    Sep 21, 2025 UTC
  • 6 Data-Driven Picks for NFL Week 3 article feature image

    6 Data-Driven Picks for NFL Week 3

    Action Predictive Analytics•
    Sep 21, 2025 UTC
  • Raiders vs. Commanders: Trendy Spread Prediction for Sunday article feature image

    Raiders vs. Commanders: Trendy Spread Prediction for Sunday

    John Lanfranca•
    Sep 21, 2025 UTC
  • NFL Week 3 Luck Rankings: 5 Games to Target article feature image

    NFL Week 3 Luck Rankings: 5 Games to Target

    Nick Giffen•
    Sep 18, 2025 UTC
See more NFL Coverage Right Arrow

Raiders vs. Commanders Props

Prop Projections

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Raiders vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Raiders

Public

Home Logo

Commanders

39%

Bets%

61%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Commanders are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Commanders are 3-1 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Commanders' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Commanders' 4 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders		5-42-23-11-14-3
Raiders		6-33-13-21-05-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Commanders		5-42-23-11-14-3
Raiders		7-23-14-10-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders		3-5-1N/AN/A1-0-12-5
Raiders		4-5N/AN/A1-03-5

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 12th@GBL 18-27+3 LU 48.5GB +150
Sep 7thNYGW 21-6-6.5 WU 45.5WAS -288
Aug 23rdBALL 3-30+3 LU 35.5BAL +142
Aug 19thCINL 17-31+3.5 LO 43.5CIN +158
Aug 8th@NEL 18-48+6.5 LO 37.5NE +237

Commanders vs. Raiders Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

  • Jeremy McNichols
    RB

    McNichols is out with foot

    Out

  • Terry McLaurin
    WR

    McLaurin is out with knee

    Out

  • Dyami Brown
    WR

    Brown is out with calf

    Out

  • Colson Yankoff
    TE

    Yankoff is out with knee

    Out

  • Jaylin Lane
    WR

    Lane is out with ankle

    Out

  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt
    RB

    Croskey-Merritt is out with groin

    Out

Raiders Injuries

    See more NFL Injuries Right Arrow
    Team Stats

    Total

    354
    Total Yards
    400
    62
    Total Plays
    54
    5.7
    Yards Per Play
    7.4

    Passing

    289
    YDS
    207
    19/29
    Comps/Atts
    15/21
    7.676
    YPA
    9.045
    3/0
    TDs/INTs
    1/0
    5/28
    Sacks/Yards
    1/8

    Rushing

    93
    Rush Yards
    201
    28
    Attempts
    32
    3.321
    YPC
    6.281
    0
    TDs
    3

    Turnovers

    0
    Fumbles Lost
    1
    0
    Interceptions
    0

    Efficiency

    2/3 66.67%
    Redzone
    2/3 66.67%
    3/14 0%
    3rd Down
    5/10 0%
    2/3 0%
    4th Down
    0/0 0%

    First Downs

    17
    Total
    17
    12
    Pass
    7
    5
    Rush
    8
    0
    Penalty
    2

    Misc

    6/54
    Penalties/Yards
    7/54
    31:53
    Possession
    28:07

    Raiders vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

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    Raiders at Commanders Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Raiders
    4-5
    N/A
    N/A
    Commanders
    3-5-1
    N/A
    N/A