EDGE

Best Week 5 NFL Prop Bets: Sterling Shepard’s Smash Spot

Oct 07, 2018 11:54 PM EDT
  • There are six props offering betting value in Sunday's main slate of games.
  • NY Giants wide receiver Sterling Shepard headlines a group of player props with lots of potential without the injured Evan Engram.

The biggest problem with player props bets is that there are so many potential bets to make and just not enough time to make them.

The lines often don’t get released until the day before (or of) the games. That’s about the only downside, though, as player props provide some of the best value you can find in the NFL betting market.

Enter the FantasyLabs Player Prop Tool, which not only provides you with a concise snapshot of all the available bets across multiple books, but also compares them to our player projections, exposing the best values on the board.

Bets with a rating of 10 on the Prop Tool are 82-46 (63%) on the year.

Meanwhile, over at Bet the Prop, we’re 102-69 (68%) between our article picks and Twitter picks.

Let’s dive into the Week 5 slate.

Giants WR Sterling Shepard

The pick: Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115 @ 888 Sports)

I’m seeing this number at 68.5 yards where it’s available at other books, so we’re going to attack this way-out-of-line line at 888 instead.

That said, the 68.5 number is solid value. The Giants’ No. 2 WR has soaked up most of the injured Evan Engram’s volume, piling up yardage totals of 80 and 77 over the past two weeks.

Is it possible that odds makers there are unaware that Shepard averages eight receptions for 78.5 yards with Engram out of the lineup and 63.7 yards when Engram plays?

PS: Engram is out again this weekend.

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Credit:

Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: New York Giants wide receiver Sterling Shepard (87) catches a touchdown pass against New Orleans Saints cornerback Ken Crawley (20) during the first quarter at MetLife Stadium.

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
ATL
NYG
-4.5
54
-4
54
WAS
DAL
-1
42
+1
41.5
CHI
NE
+2.5
50
+3
48.5
TB
CLE
-3
49.5
-3.5
51.5
JAC
HOU
-3.5
44
-4
41
NYJ
MIN
+3
47
+3.5
46
SF
LA
+10.5
53
+9.5
52
IND
BUF
-7
42.5
-7
43
LAC
TEN
-7
45.5
-6.5
45
ARI
DEN
+1
41
+1
42
MIA
DET
+2.5
47
+3
46.5
KC
CIN
-6
58.5
-6
58.5
PHI
CAR
-4.5
45
-5
44.5
BAL
NO
-2.5
51
-3
49.5