Bills Fantasy Rankings, Projections, Analysis for Every Player

Bills Fantasy Rankings, Projections, Analysis for Every Player article feature image

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Buffalo Bills running back LeSean McCoy (25), quarterback Josh Allen (17).

  • See our experts' fantasy rankings, projections and analysis for every relevant Buffalo Bills player.

The Bills and offensive coordinator Brian Daboll figure to have a bevy of options in the backfield with the addition of running back Frank Gore in the offseason.

Can LeSean McCoy still be effective for Buffalo’s offense? Will quarterback Josh Allen’s growth as a passer in Year 2 affect his productivity as a runner? Can wide receiver Cole Beasley emerge as a weapon for the Bills?

Our analysts rank all their key players by scoring format, project their season-long stat lines and analyze their overall outlooks heading into the season.

 Bills Fantasy Rankings, Projections

Josh Allen, QB

  • Pass: 274 comp | 475 att | 57.6 comp% | 3,180 yds | 19 TDs | 13.1 INTs
  • Rush: 114 car | 608 yds | 6 TDs

LeSean McCoy, RB

  • Rush: 147 car | 575 yds | 3.8 TDs
  • Rec: 30 catches | 228 yds | 0.9 TDs

Frank Gore, RB

  • Rush: 96 car | 391 yds | 1.9 TDs
  • Rec: 13 catches | 112 yds | 0.6 TDs

Devin Singletary, RB

  • Rush: 92 car | 381 yds | 2.1 TDs
  • Rec: 16 catches | 129 yds | 0.5 TDs

Cole Beasley, WR

  • Rec: 47.2 catches | 506 yds | 3 TDs

John Brown, WR

  • Rec: 42.9 catches | 654 yds | 4 TDs
Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Zay Jones

Zay Jones, WR

  • Rec: 38.4 catches | 471 yds | 3.5 TDs

Robert Foster, WR

  • Rec: 29 catches | 465 yds | 2.6 TDs

Dawson Knox, TE

  • Rec: 16 catches | 191 yds | 1 TDs

Tyler Kroft, TE

  • Rec: 16 catches | 162 yds | 1.5 TDs

Note: Projections as of August 22.

>> Get our experts’ latest fantasy rankings and projections in our Draft Kit.

Bills Fantasy Outlooks

Chris Raybon analyzes the Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll’s playcalling tendencies to project who might benefit the most.

  • LeSean McCoy‘s 2.01 yards after contact per carry last season ranked 60th of 61 qualifiers, according to Pro Football Focus. After deploying McCoy on just 53% of Buffalo’s offensive snaps last season, Daboll now has Frank Gore, who ranked 12th with 3.27 yards after contact. Rookie Devin Singletary is likely to eat into McCoy’s workload, as well: Backs picked in Round 3 over the past decade have averaged 9.5 touches per game in their rookie year. Bills running backs collectively averaged 25.9 touches per game last season, meaning there wouldn’t be enough to go around if this situation devolved into a three-way committee.
  • The revamped backfield and addition of slot receiver Cole Beasley signal that Daboll wants Josh Allen to run less in 2019, but that would not be ideal for fantasy purposes. In the 11 games Allen started, he attempted 47% of Buffalo’s carries inside the 5, punching in four for scores. Without that goal-line usage, his fantasy points per game average drops from 18.4 to 16.0 (the equivalent of dropping from QB13 to QB22 last season). Allen also ripped off an absurd 10.8 yards per scramble last season. The scheme should cause his year-long numbers to regress, but his high-ceiling potential in any given game makes him the perfect DFS tournament play. Per the FantasyLabs NFL Trends tool, Allen led all QBs in 2018 with a 27% rate of upside games, but he was rostered in just 2.6% of contests on average.
  • A 56-652-7 line in Year 2 afforded Zay Jones a degree of sleeper appeal, but the arrival of Beasley probably should put it to bed. Jones spent roughly half of his snaps last season in the slot, where he’s posted 7.0 yards per target and a 63% catch rate in his career. But with Daboll’s 81% usage of 11 personnel, the presence of Beasley would force Jones to spend the majority of his reps lined up outside, where he’s gained just 5.4 yards a target and caught only 47% of his looks.

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