Evan Silva’s Matchups Breakdown for Rams vs. Seahawks


Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chris Carson

Oct 03, 2019, 07:40 PM EDT

Below is a breakdown of Thursday night’s matchup by Evan Silva of Establish The Run. The goal is to help fantasy players and bettors alike understand the game at the deepest level. For all of Silva’s breakdowns and more fantasy analysis, visit EstablishTheRun.com.

Team Totals: Rams 25, Seahawks 23

Rams-Seahawks is Week 5’s third-highest-totaled game pitting against each other teams that rank Nos. 6 (LAR) and 9 (SEA) in points and produced 36-31 and 33-31 shootouts in last year’s two meetings. While this game’s high-scoring likelihood is promising for Jared Goff, his negative-away splits again bear mentioning with QB9 and QB4 finishes in L.A. versus QB29 and QB19 results on the road. Beginning with most recent, Goff’s four fantasy outcomes against Pete Carroll’s team are QB12 > QB18 > QB25 > QB21 under Sean McVay. Ultimately, Goff is best approached as a boom-bust start. … Even as the Rams’ running game has yet to find a consistent rhythm, McVay seems to be developing increased trust in the stability of Todd Gurley’s knee and his ability to handle big workloads. Gurley set season highs in snaps (75%), routes run (38), and targets (11) in last week’s loss to Tampa, operating in a script-proof manner after the Rams fell behind. Gurley has still gone seven straight games without reaching 20 touches, but I think he’ll get there soon. McVay would be smart to again feature Gurley’s receiving skills on Thursday night; Seattle has limited enemy backs to 63/253/2 (4.02 YPC) rushing but has yielded the NFL’s third-most receiving yards (265) to Gurley’s position, including David Johnson’s 8/99/0 stat line last week.

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