Packers vs Falcons Odds, Pick, Prediction | NFL Week 2

Packers vs Falcons Odds, Pick, Prediction | NFL Week 2 article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Jordan Love (left) and Tyler Allgeier (right).

Packers vs Falcons Odds

Sunday, Sept. 17
1 p.m. ET
Packers Odds
-110o / -110u
Falcons Odds
-110o / -110u
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

We start Week 2 with a Packers vs. Falcons pick as these 1-0 teams face off in Atlanta.

The Packers and Falcons picked up big-time Week 1 wins against divisional rivals. In the NFC, where the last Wild Card spots should be pretty wide open, this could be a key early matchup. It's also an intriguing one that features young quarterbacks in Jordan Love and Desmond Ridder, as well as the eighth overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft in Bijan Robinson.

Let's break down the Packers vs. Falcons odds and make a Week 2 pick.

Packers vs. Falcons

Matchup Analysis

The Packers had one of the more impressive performances of Week 1. They played rival Chicago in a spot where the Bears hoped to finally prove they're better than the Packers in the post-Aaron Rodgers era.

Jordan Love and company had other plans, however. Love did not have the most efficient performance, but he made big throws when needed and helped the Packers put up 38 points.

Defensively, the Packers did a great job of containing Justin Fields. Jaire Alexander did the essential job of taking DJ Moore out of the game, allowing the rest of the Packers defense to take away the scramble game from Fields.

Atlanta also opened eyes in Week 1. Playing in the most wide-open division in football — the NFC South — the Falcons proved they have a good shot to take the crown.

Bet Green Bay vs. Atlanta at FanDuel

Packers +1.5

Falcons -1.5

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It was always going to be tough for Bryce Young in his first career start on the road, but the Falcons did a really good job of dialing pressure at the right times and holding strong in coverage, forcing mistakes out of the rookie quarterback.

Offensively, the Falcons run game worked as advertised. It was much more of a split between Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson than some people expected, but regardless, the two of them both averaged 5.0+ yards per carry. This allowed Desmond Ridder to have an easy go at things. Ridder is never going to beat a team with dazzling arm talent at this point in his career. That is why I am really impressed with the way head coach Arthur Smith called the game.

Ridder threw for a measly 115 yards, but he had an 83% completion percentage and didn’t turn the ball over. The Falcons would like to see those yardage numbers improve, but this formula gives them their best chance at success.

In this matchup, having Alexander is almost a waste for the Packers. The Falcons do not have a true elite WR1 for Alexander to remove from the game.

Ridder proved last week that he will be looking to hit his backs out of the backfield and find Kyle Pitts in the middle of the field. This takes away from the strength of the Packers defense.

Meanwhile, the Falcons secondary looked solid and should be able to limit Love in the spots where he found success against the Bears.

The Falcons run game should help them dominate the time of possession battle and keep the ball out of Love’s hands. I expect them to grind down the Packers.

Packers vs. Falcons

Betting Picks & Predictions

The Falcons were expected to take care of business against the Panthers, whereas the Packers won as divisional road underdogs. For that reason, I think the Packers are the team being slightly overvalued by the market here. In addition to the on-field matchups, the market is screaming to take the Falcons. 

Atlanta opened as short underdogs, but big-money bets have moved them to being short favorites. The short moneyline seems to be the safest path in what could be a close, low-scoring game.

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