Senators-Canadiens Betting Odds, Preview: When Will Ottawa’s Luck Run Out?

Dec 04, 2018 05:00 PM EST
Credit:

Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Matt Duchene

Betting odds: Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadiens

  • Senators moneyline: +160
  • Canadiens moneyline: -185
  • Over/Under: 6.5
  • Puck drop:  7:30 p.m. ET

NHL value plays: 25-20, +12.88 units

Don’t look now but the Ottawa Senators are rolling.

The Sens, who came into the season with the lowest expectations in the NHL, have won three in a row and sit just two points out of the final Wild Card spot after 25 games. It likely won’t last, but Ottawa has quietly been a nice story after a tumultuous offseason.

On Tuesday night the Senators visit the team they are chasing for the final playoff spot, the Montreal Canadiens, as +160 underdogs.

Even though their 12-12-3 record suggests they are an average team, the Senators are quite bad. They have a league-worst 43.2% Corsi Rating (CF%) and their -8.3 expected goal differential is sixth-worst in the circuit. Ottawa is getting by thanks to a league-best 10.9 shooting % at 5v5 and that will not last.

The Canadiens have strong predictive numbers. The Habs rank in the top 10 in high-danger scoring chance %, expected goals % and CF%.

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