More from Brandon Anderson
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Warriors vs. Rockets & Magic vs. Celtics Best Bets | NBA Playoffs First Round 2/7 Matchups | Buckets
Brandon Anderson's Picks
Today
Pending
HEDGE vs 28ppg +500 2u future early series. He’s at 28.5 rn so 25+ cashes, u24.5 busts. I don’t trust him to get there in a g7 that trends under with his scoring down again last 2g, so let’s use our strong position to our adv.
Right now we either return -2 or 12 on a coin flippy outcome where I lean toward the bad outcome. Unacceptable risk. 4u on this alt FD line wins ~6u and returns ~10u, though we lose our initial investment so +8u. Or if he hits 25+ points we return that 12 and lose these 4, so +8u. Effectively sacrificing 4u upside to lock in +8u instead of risking a -2u outcome.
If you want to hedge more aggressively, playing the traditional line u26.5 sets you up for a juicy middle where 25-26p cashes both sides. Or if you play an aggressive under like u20, you get more upside on the down but risk losing both sides at 20-25. I don’t personally like either of those but if you have this position, you’ve given yourself options. You could also play lighter or heavier on this hedge, tilting the outcome toward the side you prefer instead of toward middle ground like my setup. Or you can just let it ride. Your choice.
The 30ppg +1100 future is irrelevant. Likely dead, needs 39 points to hit. Always just a long shot bonus, likely an L for 0.5u off our +8u winnings here. Alas, looked great through 4g.
5
HEDGE vs 28ppg +500 2u future early series. He’s at 28.5 rn so 25+ cashes, u24.5 busts. I don’t trust him to get there in a g7 that trends under with his scoring down again last 2g, so let’s use our strong position to our adv.
Right now we either return -2 or 12 on a coin flippy outcome where I lean toward the bad outcome. Unacceptable risk. 4u on this alt FD line wins ~6u and returns ~10u, though we lose our initial investment so +8u. Or if he hits 25+ points we return that 12 and lose these 4, so +8u. Effectively sacrificing 4u upside to lock in +8u instead of risking a -2u outcome.
If you want to hedge more aggressively, playing the traditional line u26.5 sets you up for a juicy middle where 25-26p cashes both sides. Or if you play an aggressive under like u20, you get more upside on the down but risk losing both sides at 20-25. I don’t personally like either of those but if you have this position, you’ve given yourself options. You could also play lighter or heavier on this hedge, tilting the outcome toward the side you prefer instead of toward middle ground like my setup. Or you can just let it ride. Your choice.
The 30ppg +1100 future is irrelevant. Likely dead, needs 39 points to hit. Always just a long shot bonus, likely an L for 0.5u off our +8u winnings here. Alas, looked great through 4g.
14
Harper G1 assists leader+3000
SAS
122
115
OKC
0.5u
FINAL - 2OT 5/19
Fox out, bad # taking a swing with @TurveyBets @JoeDellera
24
KAT 2+ 1Q assists+134
CLE
93
109
NYK
0.75u
FINAL 5/22
will NYK get back to the KAT hub offense early? 2+ ast in 6/8 1Q & 68% playoff quarters with 7+ minutes with 3+ 41% & 4+ 32% 🪣
123
KAT 3+ 1Q assists+430
CLE
93
109
NYK
0.35u
FINAL 5/22
will NYK get back to the KAT hub offense early? 2+ ast in 6/8 1Q & 68% playoff quarters with 7+ minutes with 3+ 41% & 4+ 32% 🪣
87
KAT 4+ 1Q assists+1100
CLE
93
109
NYK
0.15u
FINAL 5/22
will NYK get back to the KAT hub offense early? 2+ ast in 6/8 1Q & 68% playoff quarters with 7+ minutes with 3+ 41% & 4+ 32% 🪣
76
Caruso 3+ 3s/game+245
1.25u
Actually ahead of this through 4g, so 2 3s/g in 6 or 2/ in 7 hits. Should be fresher after last game and get 4-5 att/g. And it goes 7, it’s probably cuz he hit a few along the way. G4 outlier 0/0 is buying value.
41
iHart 8+ RPG+280
1.25u
He’s -2 reb to this right now but 9.3 rpg in 22 mpg last 3g after outlier G1 when he barely played. 9-9 cashes this and they’re so thin now they kinda have to play him
46
2-WAY PARLAY-106
1u
In form, mega scorers, penalty takers, little reason either of these should be close: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
Erling Haaland-280
2026 World Cup World Cup - Top Team Goalscorer
Harry Kane-200
2026 World Cup World Cup - Top Team Goalscorer
78
D.Harper o20.5 Pts+Rebs-120
NYK
@SAS
1u
06/14 12:30 AM
Keep riding Harper pts & reb. Lines still too low given his 17/7 production the last 10g outside of the injury week: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-finals-game-5-player-props-our-experts-3-bets-for-saturday-june-13
40
J.Hart o8.5 Rebs+105
NYK
@SAS
0.75u
06/14 12:30 AM
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. 10.7 rpg on 16 chances in Finals outside of foul trouble G2. Minutes will be there: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-finals-game-5-player-props-our-experts-3-bets-for-saturday-june-13
52
J.Hart To Record 10+ Rebounds Yes+170
NYK
@SAS
0.5u
06/14 12:30 AM
One extra reb for 65 cents is just silly
42
D.Harper o29.5 Pts+Rebs+560
NYK
@SAS
0.25u
06/14 12:30 AM
Keep riding Harper pts & reb. Lines still too low given his 17/7 production the last 10g outside of the injury week: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-finals-game-5-player-props-our-experts-3-bets-for-saturday-june-13
40
L.Shamet u6.5 Pts+100
NYK
@SAS
0.5u
06/14 12:30 AM
Shamet show may be over. Down 10mpg last 2g and 1/11 from field with a -33. Almost no 2s or FTs so use the math to dodge 3s: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-finals-game-5-player-props-our-experts-3-bets-for-saturday-june-13
40
L.Shamet u3.5 Pts+355
NYK
@SAS
0.25u
06/14 12:30 AM
Shamet show may be over. Down 10mpg last 2g and 1/11 from field with a -33. Almost no 2s or FTs so use the math to dodge 3s: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-finals-game-5-player-props-our-experts-3-bets-for-saturday-june-13
23
Finals MVP Towns: No-193
0.5u
🐱
17
D.Harper 10+ reb any Finals game+1000
0.5u
Ceiling play on the guy playing like the Spurs best guard rn. He’s had a double digit reb game all three series so far. Just need one!
44
D.Harper 25+ pts any Finals game+1400
0.5u
Ceiling play on the guy playing like the Spurs best guard rn. He’s had a 24+ point game all three series so far. Just need one!
48
Hart 8 RPG vs SAS-105
2u
Fav bet heading into Finals. Floor in 10 series is 7rpg, 7+ all but 3g this playoffs, hit 8rpg 7 straight series til missing last rd by 1. Matchup sets up well: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-finals-series-predictions-knicks-vs-spurs-picks-preview-odds-best-bets
48
Hart series reb leader vs SAS+2500
0.25u
Hart has basically paced with KAT & Wemby outside of the reduced minutes foul trouble G2. He’s 4-5 back but can spike and could still get another game or 2 to be in play: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-finals-game-5-player-props-our-experts-3-bets-for-saturday-june-13
20
D.Harper 6+ RPG in Finals+175
2u
Dk or mgm. Clear play at 7rpg already given the angles we’ve been taking. Should be a minus number. Shouts to Ari Hoffman on the find.
56
Any player breaks Finals record for 3s in a game (10+)+10000
0.1u
Fun long shot sprinkle in a series that should have tons of 3s. Something fun to root for when someone gets hot early
28
Hart 7+ reb every game vs SAS+775
1u
Another new one. Just said on buckets 7 is his typical floor so you’re really just hoping to fade the one outlier bad game. He’s hit this bet in a series both this year and last, and in 8 series the last 3 postseasons, he’s never missed it by more than 4r combined in any series. Might be my favorite random finals prop
60
Hart triple double any game vs SAS+900
0.25u
@JoeDellera @HPBasketball like his assists and I trust the points and rebounds to be there enough to put this in play. Fun bet to have in play the next couple weeks at a long #
70
Hart reb leader vs SAS+3000
0.35u
Don’t think this is likely as a ceiling outcome because of Wemby, but a big early game could set up a great hedge position & this is too long a number for the number of upside paths with OG hammy, KAT fouls, Mitch playing time etc
81
D.Harper 10+ pts every game vs NYK+1600
1u
Another new pop at tS. Just said at Buckets he might be their best G here with Fox struggling and Castle bad matchup. Looks past his injury now, good matchup, 1 bucket from cashing this vs MIN, DD pts 10 of last 11 with >20 minutes. Every game bets are tough, esp for a rookie in the finals, but this is just a terrible line, off by 4x
59
12tm advance parlay: KOR CAN SCO USA ECU JPN EGY URU NOR ALG COL CRO+746
0.25u
fun little sprinkle on South Korea, Canada, Scotland, USA, Ecuador, Japan, Egypt, Uruguay, Norway, Algeria, Colombia, & Croatia to qualify, 1 from from each group https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
30
Mexico 1, South Korea 2: Group A exact outcome+350
0.5u
investing in Mexico in a weak group with their historic home field advantage https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
47
Group K exact outcome: Colombia 1, Portugal 2+275
0.75u
Tons of attacking talent in a winnable group and should have fitness and health to battle heat well. Great path for a real run: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
46
Group K exact outcome: COL 1, POR 2, DRC 3, UZB 4+600
0.25u
Tons of attacking talent in a winnable group and should have fitness and health to battle heat well. Great path for a real run: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
33
Curacao & Haiti to lose all their group games+182
1u
Expanded WC is fun but some of these teams are bad and these matches could be ugly. Gotta bet against the bottom teams: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
39
Jordan, Iraq, New Zealand & Haiti to finish bottom of groups+223
0.75u
Expanded WC is fun but some of these teams are bad and these matches could be ugly. Gotta bet against the bottom teams: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
36
New Zealand top goal scorer: No goal scorer+800
0.5u
Expanded WC is fun but some of these teams are bad and these matches could be ugly. Gotta bet against the bottom teams: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
37
Mexico to make quarterfinals+350
0.25u
investing in Mexico in a weak group with their historic home field advantage https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
41
RR to make QF: COL MEX ECU+9890
0.1u
Quarterfinals round robin sprinkle of Colombia +270, Mexico +350 & Ecuador +500, won’t track right but logging for your notifications: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
24
Ecuador to make quarterfinals+500
0.25u
Great WC sleeper, great defense, intriguing path and upside: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
29
Luis Suarez top Colombia scorer+320
0.5u
No, not that Luis Suarez. This one is in form and the clear target man for a top attacking team. Should be the Colombia favorite: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
53
Enner Valencia top Ecuador scorer+175
0.75u
If it’s a big Ecuador tournament, somebody named Valencia is probably scoring goals: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
52
Nick Woltemade top Germany scorer+700
0.25u
Not in form for club but some guys are just better for the national team and Germany tends to spread goals around: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
42
Ecuador as best finish from South America+1600
0.25u
Great WC sleeper, great defense, intriguing path and upside: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
33
Colombia to make quarterfinals+270
0.5u
Tons of attacking talent in a winnable group and should have fitness and health to battle heat well. Great path for a real run: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
34
Futures
Denver Nuggets+850
2025-26 NBA Championship - To Win
0.25u
One last pre-season bet, the final pick from our Bet-a-Palooza podcast. Calling my title shot! @TurveyBets & I were on OKC last year… this year we’re both looking to invest in Nuggets title futures! 🏆
58
Caleb Wilson+20000
2026 NBA #1 Draft Pick
0.5u
An hour til lottery. Wilson wildly athletic & talented, upside to be best in draft, should crush workouts. Already creeping ahead of DP or Boozer in various mocks. If he makes any push at all toward #1 there’s monster upside, esp w No position hedge prediction markets.
78
OG Anunoby+6600
2025-26 NBA Playoff Series - Finals - MVP
0.1u
Just a fun Finals bomb, if he gets credit for guarding Wemby and scores well in a balanced team win à la Jaylen, Iggy, Kawhi 🪣
39
Luis Javier Suarez+7500
2026 World Cup World Cup - Leading Goal Scorer
0.25u
Sprinkling a trio of long shots to lead WC in scoring on teams built to make a deep enough run to give these guys a chance: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
48
Enner Valencia+8000
2026 World Cup World Cup - Leading Goal Scorer
0.25u
Sprinkling a trio of long shots to lead WC in scoring on teams built to make a deep enough run to give these guys a chance: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
47
Nick Woltemade+6600
2026 World Cup World Cup - Leading Goal Scorer
0.25u
Sprinkling a trio of long shots to lead WC in scoring on teams built to make a deep enough run to give these guys a chance: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
56
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.25u |
| Last 7 Days | 13-7-0 | 65% | 4.96u |
| Last 30 Days | 45-110-0 | 29% | 28.20u |
| All Time | 3040-4407-119 | 40% | 1054.23u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 1477-2039-72 | 41% | 491.75u |
| NFL | 1315-2020-40 | 39% | 457.36u |
| NCAAB | 185-256-5 | 41% | 80.82u |
| NCAAF | 31-26-1 | 53% | 16.94u |
| Champions | 6-4-1 | 55% | 7.98u |
| WNBA | 5-7-0 | 42% | 5.32u |
| MLS | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.66u |
| ATP | 1-3-0 | 25% | 1.13u |
| La Liga | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.04u |
| Women's World Cup | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.01u |
| World Cup | 5-9-0 | 36% | -2.02u |
| Premier League | 3-14-0 | 18% | -8.91u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Bet the Texans to go from worst to first in the division, and even doubled down with a Will Anderson DROY cherry on top. Joe Flacco CPOY +25000 and Nuggets over Heat +1600 exact outcome were fun, too!
Most Heartbreaking Bet
MVP bets. Tom Brady +1400 in 2021, odds-on favorite in December, but shutout vs. Saints on SNF. Nikola Jokic +900 in 2023, rightful leader all the way, but the moron voters get bored and go with Embiid last minute. Brock Purdy +5000 in 2024, odds-on favorite on Christmas, but the voters are too proud to vote for him or Dak. You're killin' me, Smalls!