Brandon Anderson

There were very few offenses I was less impressed with in Week 1 than these two. Until a garbage-time drive to end the game, the Titans accumulated just 130 yards on 40 plays (3.25 yards per play) with only six first downs. Brian Daboll's game plan was baffling, opting for a 78% shotgun rate on early downs. It looked completely rudderless. The Eagles weren't much better. They had four scoring drives against Washington, and each one relied entirely on a single explosive chunk play. Outside of those four big plays, Philadelphia tallied just 99 yards on 50 plays, under two yards a play. Sean Mannion’s new overhyped offense threw exactly two passes over the middle of the field. Now G Landon Dickerson is on IR, and the offensive line is struggling to create running lanes. The one reliable unit in this game is the Eagles defense. Tennessee has a bottom-five offensive line that's in big trouble against the Philadelphia front seven. Robert Saleh totals under 44 hit at a 59% clip, and Week 2 unders between 30 and 40 points hit at 67%. I like the under. Even if the Eagles offense hits, we could still hit with something like a 31-7 Philly win. But if we are projecting a game to go under 39.5, we have to consider the team catching a full touchdown on the spread. Since 2014, Week 2 underdogs of 3-7 points that failed to cover in Week 1 are 45-19-2 ATS (70%). Even crazier, home dogs of 7+ points in the first eight games of the season the last couple decades are an absurd 19-2-2 ATS (90%). I think we are in for a low-scoring, ugly game, and I'll correlate it with the Titans keeping it within seven.

DK Four Square Week 2

In form, mega scorers, penalty takers, little reason either of these should be close: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets

No one seems quite certain how Liam Coen will utilize Jacksonville's three-headed RB monster this season, with Rodriguez, Bhayshul Tuten, and LeQuint Allen all expected to be in the mix. Tuten is currently expected to be the lead back, at least between the 20s, and Allen is a good pass catcher and could have a late-down role. But Rodriguez seems to be clearly positioned as the short-yardage and goal-line back based on everything coming out of camp, after Coen made a point of reuniting with his former Kentucky player in free agency. Tuten is a small back and may not be built to handle a huge workload, so it makes sense to use the bigger Rodriguez at the goal line and save Tuten some hits. Jacksonville's touchdown leader last season was the departed Travis Etienne with 13 TDs effectively up for grabs. In fact, Trevor Lawrence was second with nine rushing scores, so the receivers were not in this mix. The Jaguars had 11 rushing scores last season from inside the 5-yard-line. If Rodriguez gets a bunch of those after a career-high six scores last year, he should be in the mix for the Jacksonville lead. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-touchdown-leader-predictions-season-long-picks

Jeremiyah Love doesn't have any problem scoring touchdowns. He had 19 and 21 in his last two seasons at Notre Dame, and he'll likely find the end zone early and often in his NFL career. Love is my Offensive Rookie of the Year bet at +550, but he also enters the year with a high ankle sprain. That means Love is always a risk for re-injury, and it could also mean the coaching staff tries to protect Love by giving some of his short-yardage looks to a deep RB room. Well, a potentially deep RB room. James Conner and Trey Benson are on IR to start the season, so free-agent signing Tyler Allgeier is the only real alternative to start the season. Allgeier scored 20 TDs the last four seasons with the Falcons despite never really being "the guy," and you don't have to tell fantasy owners, who were constantly annoyed that Allgeier was stealing Bijan Robinson's scores. Allgeier actually had more rushing TDs than Robinson last season, though Bijan finished as the team TD leader thanks to his pass-catching prowess. Arizona is in for a long season and may not score a ton of touchdowns, so this may not even take double digits. Take a nibble. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-touchdown-leader-predictions-season-long-picks

Speaking of not many touchdowns, the Jets' leader in TDs last season was Breece Hall — with just five. Four of those came on the ground, and Hall's career high is just five rushing TDs. Hall is a good all-around back that does a lot of things well, but short-yardage situations are not one of his strengths. I bet Allen in this spot a year ago, but he got only 18 carries and ended the season on IR after playing in just four games. I'm running back the same angle at even longer odds. Allen is a big, powerful back at 250 pounds, and Jets coaches have talked up his potential as a short-yardage guy. Allen needs to cut the fumbles so he doesn't lose his opportunity, but now that he's healthy, he should have a great opportunity. There may be a few extra looks with Justin Fields' legs out of the picture too. At the end of the day, it's totally plausible something like five TDs takes this one again with the Jets. This number is just too long for the guy that may get New York's easiest looks. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-touchdown-leader-predictions-season-long-picks

Oh hey, speaking of Ben Johnson, what about his new tight end? Johnson was in Detroit for those two standout LaPorta seasons, and now he's got an even better talent on his hands in Colston Loveland. Loveland was the first draft pick of the Ben Johnson era in Chicago, and we're already starting to see why. Loveland looks like a future All-Pro — outstanding both as a blocker and a pass catcher — a guy that can do everything in any role. Loveland finished with 58 catches for 713 yards and six scores as a rookie, but it took him a while to get going. From Week 9 forward, once Loveland caught his stride, his 17-game pace was far more impressive at 80 catches for 1,015 yards and 10 TDs, and his production in the playoffs was even better. Including the postseason, Loveland ended the year with four straight games with double-digit targets. D.J. Moore is gone now, and while everyone in fantasy argues over whether they prefer Rome Odunze or Luther Burden III, the right answer might just be Loveland. Loveland's season-long receptions prop at 69.5 catches is far too low, just 12 higher than last season when he missed a game and didn't really break out until the second half of the season. He should also be a consistent touchdown threat in this offense, and Johnson has already shown he loves to get the ball to his TEs in the red zone. Remember, Loveland was on pace for double-digit scores in the second half of last season. If I can't get Bowers somehow in fantasy football this season, Loveland is the next TE on my list. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-tight-end-futures-bets-best-picks-for-brock-bowers-colston-loveland-sam-laporta

Over the last four seasons, we've had five TE seasons with double-digit touchdowns. That's at least one per season but a max of 12 TDs, and even that was just once. That means we're looking for a tight end that can get to 10 TDs to have a shot at this. Can LaPorta score 10 TDs? That answer is definitively yes — because LaPorta did it already! He led all tight ends with 10 TDs as a rookie in 2023, so he's one of those five names we just mentioned. He had seven as a sophomore — still a nice number — before dropping to three in an injury-plagued, nine-game campaign last season. But this year, LaPorta has a secret weapon. Remember that huge season Trey McBride had last year? He racked up 11 TDs out of the blue after scoring only six in his previous three NFL seasons, despite catching 221 balls during that stretch. He did it with former tight ends coach Drew Petzing calling the plays for Arizona — Petzing is now the Lions' offensive coordinator. Because tight ends are so versatile, we're starting to see TE coaches blossom into versatile playcallers, and you don't have to tell Detroit that — that's what Ben Johnson was before breaking out in his playcalling role. LaPorta has already shown he can push double-digit touchdowns, and Detroit has a few more TDs to go around this season with the departure of short-yardage specialist David Montgomery. If Petzing pushes LaPorta to another level, he could lead the league. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-tight-end-futures-bets-best-picks-for-brock-bowers-colston-loveland-sam-laporta

At a few sportsbooks, you can bet on most of the starting quarterbacks to throw for at least 400+ passing yards in any game this season. Joe Burrow has the shortest odds of any quarterback on the board — but that's not stopping me from betting on him. Burrow has a 400+ yard game in four of his six seasons, so that would already imply -200 odds here on the simplest of math, but let's dig a little deeper. Burrow has played 77 games in his career, and he's thrown for 400 yards in seven of them. That's a 9.1% hit rate to this prop for Burrow's career. If we get even 15 games from Burrow this season with that 9.1% chance at 400 yards, binomial probability would imply a 76% chance of at least one 400+ yard game. That would mean odds shorter than -300! Cincinnati's defense should be a bit improved this season, but the Bengals will need Burrow to chuck the ball plenty this year, and Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are as good as any WR duo in the league. Burrow has only failed to cash this prop in two seasons, where he missed eight and 10 games, and I don't find him particularly injury prone, just mostly unlucky. If Burrow stays healthy, this should be a pretty easy cash at some point. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more

The Buccaneers have the best offense and defense in the NFC South, yet they are being completely overlooked simply because this division has become a punchline. The defense adds pass rusher Rueben Bain Jr. to elite run stopper Vita Vea, giving Todd Bowles a fringe top-10 unit. The offense gets a massive health swing; the line lost 32 games to injury last year, and Bucky Irving and Chris Godwin also missed almost a season combined, while Baker Mayfield played poorly through injuries. Tristan Wirfs is as good as any blocker and my pick for Protector of the Year (8% at prediction markets), and he is anchoring what could be the league's best offensive line. With everyone healthy, including finally this line, the Bucs offense looks very dangerous. You have to scroll a long way back in this article to find the rest of the NFC South. I have Tampa Bay projected three full games ahead of the Saints at the top of the division — for reference, I only have one other team in football leading its division by even one full game! The Bucs to win the division is my favorite bet of the entire article. I make this almost double the implied 36% probability, and this is a multi-unit play for me. This is a team that could even have a path to the NFC 1-seed (+3000, Caesars). https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

When I prep for these awards, I make my own rankings and odds before I ever look at the sportsbooks. The 6 guys I ranked 2-7 on my list are all priced at +4500 or longer. So we are building a long-shot portfolio. Almost all these guys are Year 2 up-and-comers. Quarter unit on all 6. OC Klayton Adams, Cowboys (+5000, FanDuel) Klayton Adams is an absolute bullseye for our criteria. Adams is an up-and-coming name who brought a creative run game from the Cards to the Cowboys last year. He has an obvious media story with a breakout offense in Dallas. The offense will clearly be the better unit in Dallas, and if the defense improves just enough to get the wins we need, Adams will be heavily involved in this race. I love this as a way to invest in Cowboys upside. DC Brandon Staley, Saints (+5500, FanDuel) Staley is sort of a double-fit here. He is a former fired head coach who is now also buzzing as an up-and-coming name again. I am mostly out on the Saints this year. But if I am wrong, it will be because of their defense, not their offense. DC Kelvin Sheppard, Lions (+5000, FanDuel) The Lions are already battling injuries, especially in the secondary. This unit should peak later in the season and show obvious improvement once those guys get healthy. This defense has actually posted pretty good results even with the injuries. I can easily see a world where the Lions defense carries the team while Jared Goff and the offensive line struggle. DC Patrick Graham, Steelers (+8000, FanDuel) Technically we are cheating here because Graham is a first-year coordinator in Pittsburgh and not a failed head coach — but he is definitely a buzzy, rising name. If the Steelers somehow win 13 games, he would certainly be the leader of their better unit, the defense. This is a great way to recognize Pittsburgh without rewarding Mike McCarthy or Aaron Rodgers. DC Zak Kuhr, Patriots (+5000, FanDuel) Kuhr is a great up-and-coming name after his unit led the Patriots to the Super Bowl last year. There is a ton of talent up-and-down this defense. What if Drake Maye struggles a bit and the defense carries New England to a division title, just like it did in the playoffs? OC Nick Caley, Texans (+4500, FanDuel) The Houston defense will be the better unit, but the wins will likely be there. Would Caley get the credit if he gets C.J. Stroud back on track and this offense looks good? The perception is so low right now that this feels like low-hanging fruit, and Caley brings a pretty interesting coaching tree pedigree to the table. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-assistant-coach-of-the-year-odds-predictions

When I prep for these awards, I make my own rankings and odds before I ever look at the sportsbooks. The 6 guys I ranked 2-7 on my list are all priced at +4500 or longer. So we are building a long-shot portfolio. Almost all these guys are Year 2 up-and-comers. Quarter unit on all 6. OC Klayton Adams, Cowboys (+5000, FanDuel) Klayton Adams is an absolute bullseye for our criteria. Adams is an up-and-coming name who brought a creative run game from the Cards to the Cowboys last year. He has an obvious media story with a breakout offense in Dallas. The offense will clearly be the better unit in Dallas, and if the defense improves just enough to get the wins we need, Adams will be heavily involved in this race. I love this as a way to invest in Cowboys upside. DC Brandon Staley, Saints (+5500, FanDuel) Staley is sort of a double-fit here. He is a former fired head coach who is now also buzzing as an up-and-coming name again. I am mostly out on the Saints this year. But if I am wrong, it will be because of their defense, not their offense. DC Kelvin Sheppard, Lions (+5000, FanDuel) The Lions are already battling injuries, especially in the secondary. This unit should peak later in the season and show obvious improvement once those guys get healthy. This defense has actually posted pretty good results even with the injuries. I can easily see a world where the Lions defense carries the team while Jared Goff and the offensive line struggle. DC Patrick Graham, Steelers (+8000, FanDuel) Technically we are cheating here because Graham is a first-year coordinator in Pittsburgh and not a failed head coach — but he is definitely a buzzy, rising name. If the Steelers somehow win 13 games, he would certainly be the leader of their better unit, the defense. This is a great way to recognize Pittsburgh without rewarding Mike McCarthy or Aaron Rodgers. DC Zak Kuhr, Patriots (+5000, FanDuel) Kuhr is a great up-and-coming name after his unit led the Patriots to the Super Bowl last year. There is a ton of talent up-and-down this defense. What if Drake Maye struggles a bit and the defense carries New England to a division title, just like it did in the playoffs? OC Nick Caley, Texans (+4500, FanDuel) The Houston defense will be the better unit, but the wins will likely be there. Would Caley get the credit if he gets C.J. Stroud back on track and this offense looks good? The perception is so low right now that this feels like low-hanging fruit, and Caley brings a pretty interesting coaching tree pedigree to the table. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-assistant-coach-of-the-year-odds-predictions

When I prep for these awards, I make my own rankings and odds before I ever look at the sportsbooks. The 6 guys I ranked 2-7 on my list are all priced at +4500 or longer. So we are building a long-shot portfolio. Almost all these guys are Year 2 up-and-comers. Quarter unit on all 6. OC Klayton Adams, Cowboys (+5000, FanDuel) Klayton Adams is an absolute bullseye for our criteria. Adams is an up-and-coming name who brought a creative run game from the Cards to the Cowboys last year. He has an obvious media story with a breakout offense in Dallas. The offense will clearly be the better unit in Dallas, and if the defense improves just enough to get the wins we need, Adams will be heavily involved in this race. I love this as a way to invest in Cowboys upside. DC Brandon Staley, Saints (+5500, FanDuel) Staley is sort of a double-fit here. He is a former fired head coach who is now also buzzing as an up-and-coming name again. I am mostly out on the Saints this year. But if I am wrong, it will be because of their defense, not their offense. DC Kelvin Sheppard, Lions (+5000, FanDuel) The Lions are already battling injuries, especially in the secondary. This unit should peak later in the season and show obvious improvement once those guys get healthy. This defense has actually posted pretty good results even with the injuries. I can easily see a world where the Lions defense carries the team while Jared Goff and the offensive line struggle. DC Patrick Graham, Steelers (+8000, FanDuel) Technically we are cheating here because Graham is a first-year coordinator in Pittsburgh and not a failed head coach — but he is definitely a buzzy, rising name. If the Steelers somehow win 13 games, he would certainly be the leader of their better unit, the defense. This is a great way to recognize Pittsburgh without rewarding Mike McCarthy or Aaron Rodgers. DC Zak Kuhr, Patriots (+5000, FanDuel) Kuhr is a great up-and-coming name after his unit led the Patriots to the Super Bowl last year. There is a ton of talent up-and-down this defense. What if Drake Maye struggles a bit and the defense carries New England to a division title, just like it did in the playoffs? OC Nick Caley, Texans (+4500, FanDuel) The Houston defense will be the better unit, but the wins will likely be there. Would Caley get the credit if he gets C.J. Stroud back on track and this offense looks good? The perception is so low right now that this feels like low-hanging fruit, and Caley brings a pretty interesting coaching tree pedigree to the table. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-assistant-coach-of-the-year-odds-predictions

When I prep for these awards, I make my own rankings and odds before I ever look at the sportsbooks. The 6 guys I ranked 2-7 on my list are all priced at +4500 or longer. So we are building a long-shot portfolio. Almost all these guys are Year 2 up-and-comers. Quarter unit on all 6. OC Klayton Adams, Cowboys (+5000, FanDuel) Klayton Adams is an absolute bullseye for our criteria. Adams is an up-and-coming name who brought a creative run game from the Cards to the Cowboys last year. He has an obvious media story with a breakout offense in Dallas. The offense will clearly be the better unit in Dallas, and if the defense improves just enough to get the wins we need, Adams will be heavily involved in this race. I love this as a way to invest in Cowboys upside. DC Brandon Staley, Saints (+5500, FanDuel) Staley is sort of a double-fit here. He is a former fired head coach who is now also buzzing as an up-and-coming name again. I am mostly out on the Saints this year. But if I am wrong, it will be because of their defense, not their offense. DC Kelvin Sheppard, Lions (+5000, FanDuel) The Lions are already battling injuries, especially in the secondary. This unit should peak later in the season and show obvious improvement once those guys get healthy. This defense has actually posted pretty good results even with the injuries. I can easily see a world where the Lions defense carries the team while Jared Goff and the offensive line struggle. DC Patrick Graham, Steelers (+8000, FanDuel) Technically we are cheating here because Graham is a first-year coordinator in Pittsburgh and not a failed head coach — but he is definitely a buzzy, rising name. If the Steelers somehow win 13 games, he would certainly be the leader of their better unit, the defense. This is a great way to recognize Pittsburgh without rewarding Mike McCarthy or Aaron Rodgers. DC Zak Kuhr, Patriots (+5000, FanDuel) Kuhr is a great up-and-coming name after his unit led the Patriots to the Super Bowl last year. There is a ton of talent up-and-down this defense. What if Drake Maye struggles a bit and the defense carries New England to a division title, just like it did in the playoffs? OC Nick Caley, Texans (+4500, FanDuel) The Houston defense will be the better unit, but the wins will likely be there. Would Caley get the credit if he gets C.J. Stroud back on track and this offense looks good? The perception is so low right now that this feels like low-hanging fruit, and Caley brings a pretty interesting coaching tree pedigree to the table. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-assistant-coach-of-the-year-odds-predictions

When I prep for these awards, I make my own rankings and odds before I ever look at the sportsbooks. The 6 guys I ranked 2-7 on my list are all priced at +4500 or longer. So we are building a long-shot portfolio. Almost all these guys are Year 2 up-and-comers. Quarter unit on all 6. OC Klayton Adams, Cowboys (+5000, FanDuel) Klayton Adams is an absolute bullseye for our criteria. Adams is an up-and-coming name who brought a creative run game from the Cards to the Cowboys last year. He has an obvious media story with a breakout offense in Dallas. The offense will clearly be the better unit in Dallas, and if the defense improves just enough to get the wins we need, Adams will be heavily involved in this race. I love this as a way to invest in Cowboys upside. DC Brandon Staley, Saints (+5500, FanDuel) Staley is sort of a double-fit here. He is a former fired head coach who is now also buzzing as an up-and-coming name again. I am mostly out on the Saints this year. But if I am wrong, it will be because of their defense, not their offense. DC Kelvin Sheppard, Lions (+5000, FanDuel) The Lions are already battling injuries, especially in the secondary. This unit should peak later in the season and show obvious improvement once those guys get healthy. This defense has actually posted pretty good results even with the injuries. I can easily see a world where the Lions defense carries the team while Jared Goff and the offensive line struggle. DC Patrick Graham, Steelers (+8000, FanDuel) Technically we are cheating here because Graham is a first-year coordinator in Pittsburgh and not a failed head coach — but he is definitely a buzzy, rising name. If the Steelers somehow win 13 games, he would certainly be the leader of their better unit, the defense. This is a great way to recognize Pittsburgh without rewarding Mike McCarthy or Aaron Rodgers. DC Zak Kuhr, Patriots (+5000, FanDuel) Kuhr is a great up-and-coming name after his unit led the Patriots to the Super Bowl last year. There is a ton of talent up-and-down this defense. What if Drake Maye struggles a bit and the defense carries New England to a division title, just like it did in the playoffs? OC Nick Caley, Texans (+4500, FanDuel) The Houston defense will be the better unit, but the wins will likely be there. Would Caley get the credit if he gets C.J. Stroud back on track and this offense looks good? The perception is so low right now that this feels like low-hanging fruit, and Caley brings a pretty interesting coaching tree pedigree to the table. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-assistant-coach-of-the-year-odds-predictions

When I prep for these awards, I make my own rankings and odds before I ever look at the sportsbooks. The 6 guys I ranked 2-7 on my list are all priced at +4500 or longer. So we are building a long-shot portfolio. Almost all these guys are Year 2 up-and-comers. Quarter unit on all 6. OC Klayton Adams, Cowboys (+5000, FanDuel) Klayton Adams is an absolute bullseye for our criteria. Adams is an up-and-coming name who brought a creative run game from the Cards to the Cowboys last year. He has an obvious media story with a breakout offense in Dallas. The offense will clearly be the better unit in Dallas, and if the defense improves just enough to get the wins we need, Adams will be heavily involved in this race. I love this as a way to invest in Cowboys upside. DC Brandon Staley, Saints (+5500, FanDuel) Staley is sort of a double-fit here. He is a former fired head coach who is now also buzzing as an up-and-coming name again. I am mostly out on the Saints this year. But if I am wrong, it will be because of their defense, not their offense. DC Kelvin Sheppard, Lions (+5000, FanDuel) The Lions are already battling injuries, especially in the secondary. This unit should peak later in the season and show obvious improvement once those guys get healthy. This defense has actually posted pretty good results even with the injuries. I can easily see a world where the Lions defense carries the team while Jared Goff and the offensive line struggle. DC Patrick Graham, Steelers (+8000, FanDuel) Technically we are cheating here because Graham is a first-year coordinator in Pittsburgh and not a failed head coach — but he is definitely a buzzy, rising name. If the Steelers somehow win 13 games, he would certainly be the leader of their better unit, the defense. This is a great way to recognize Pittsburgh without rewarding Mike McCarthy or Aaron Rodgers. DC Zak Kuhr, Patriots (+5000, FanDuel) Kuhr is a great up-and-coming name after his unit led the Patriots to the Super Bowl last year. There is a ton of talent up-and-down this defense. What if Drake Maye struggles a bit and the defense carries New England to a division title, just like it did in the playoffs? OC Nick Caley, Texans (+4500, FanDuel) The Houston defense will be the better unit, but the wins will likely be there. Would Caley get the credit if he gets C.J. Stroud back on track and this offense looks good? The perception is so low right now that this feels like low-hanging fruit, and Caley brings a pretty interesting coaching tree pedigree to the table. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-assistant-coach-of-the-year-odds-predictions

Creed Humphrey is the best center in the NFL, and it honestly might not be that close. Humphrey led the league in PFF grade at center last season, not that it was a real surprise. Humphrey has been in the league five seasons, and he's ranked 1st in PFF grade in four of the five seasons. He was a measly 4th in the other season. With some of the retirements the last few years, Humphrey stands head and shoulders above the field at center. Young centers like Miami's Aaron Brewer and Pittsburgh's Zach Frazier are playing for second. Voters don't try to get creative picking First Team All-Pro players — they just take the best guy, and the top linemen win year after year. Humphrey already cashed this each of the last two seasons, and if he is healthy enough to play most of the season, he should do so again. I'd take him against the field. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more

Kyle Hamilton is just as dominant at the safety position, so much so that he's routinely in the conversation for Defensive Player of the Year even though no safety has ever won the award. Like Humphrey, Hamilton's PFF grades speak for themselves: 1st, 6th, 2nd, and 2nd among almost 100 qualifying safeties in each of those seasons. He's the best in the business, and you know it — and the voters do too. Hamilton has been used as the fix for all of Baltimore's problems defensively, and that could be even more true under new Ravens head coach Jesse Minter, who loves to weaponize his safeties and move them all over the field like chess pieces. Under Minter, Hamilton could be even better and more dangerous than ever. Hamilton cashed this bet as a First Team All-Pro in two of the last three seasons, and he finished Second Team on the one in between despite getting DPOY votes. We're not exactly breaking news on these last two — betting the favorites — but these prices are just too long. Like Humphrey, I'd take Hamilton against the field and we get two safety positions on First Team too, so I'll say thanks for the +320 and place my bet. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more

Lane made All Pro his last four healthy seasons. He finished 2nd team 3x but that was to Wirfs and Sewell who are both LT now and this goes specifically to RT

Giants Island!! 🏝️🏝️ our worst to first division winner: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-predictions-worst-to-first-picks-rankings

Worth a worst-first nibble at the long price with an improving D and two favorites fading: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-predictions-worst-to-first-picks-rankings

Best lineman on what could the the best line on a potential sneaky 1 seed contender. Bullseye fit: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-protector-of-the-year-odds-predictions

We just saw an interior lineman win, and Q is the best guy on the league’s best run blocking line: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-protector-of-the-year-odds-predictions

Legacy pick, still as good as anyone and could get a legacy boost if this is it: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-protector-of-the-year-odds-predictions

Not really a believer, but if he looks good off the Achilles tear, it’s a QB award and we saw how good the colts could be last year:  https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-protector-of-the-year-odds-predictions

Defense awards want sacks. Rookie awards want pedigree and high draft pick. Bailey is a perfect fit: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-odds-predictions

Insulting price for the obvious most likely winner at basically equal odds to part time Price, backup Mendoza, and Titans WR1 Tate. Buy the dip: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-odds-predictions

One Jeanty reinjury away from a huge role for Kubiak and real runway for OROY: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-odds-predictions

Dart throw on a guy one Kenneth Walker injury away from being Mahomes lead rb: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-odds-predictions

OPOY is trending toward WR award now and it’s a bet on outlier seasons so build a portfolio If long shot candidates and hope we hit the long tail: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions

OPOY is trending toward WR award now and it’s a bet on outlier seasons so build a portfolio If long shot candidates and hope we hit the long tail: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions

OPOY is trending toward WR award now and it’s a bet on outlier seasons so build a portfolio If long shot candidates and hope we hit the long tail: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions

OPOY is trending toward WR award now and it’s a bet on outlier seasons so build a portfolio If long shot candidates and hope we hit the long tail: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions

Absolute bullseye for DPOY criteria. Stud 2-way guy entering prime on leagues best defense: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions

Perfect fit for DPOY criteria with age, sack, team D and wins. Playing with Will for DPOY portfolio: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions

You may never get 17-1 on Mahomes again. Not this year, maybe ever. Absurd price esp with a soft opening sched. Get your ticket before it’s gone: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-mvp-odds-predictions

4 healthy Lamar seasons = 2 MVP, 1 runner up. Not deterred by last years injuries or new coaching staff. Bet on the team, start portfolio with him & Mahomes: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-mvp-odds-predictions

McDaniels offenses almost always top 6 in rush TDs and he could get some back that TreVeyon and Drake had last year: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-touchdown-leader-predictions-season-long-picks

DO NOT BET!! If you havent played yet before the late breaking Injury news, skip this now or cash out if possible Bowers in for a monster season as the lead target in a Kubiak offense and a TE has finished top 4 in rec each of the last 4 years. He’s in the mix if healthy: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-tight-end-futures-bets-best-picks-for-brock-bowers-colston-loveland-sam-laporta k

Love Waddle’s upside in unknown Webb offense with Nox having a great deep ball. If the volume is up and his YPC hits big, he could push 1700+ yards: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more

DO NOT BET!! If you havent played yet before the late breaking Injury news, skip this now or cash out if possible Bowers struggled through injuries last season, finishing with just 64 catches for 680 yards and seven scores, but his rookie season told a different story. In his NFL debut, Bowers racked up 112 catches for 1,194 yards on 153 targets, earning a First Team All-Pro berth with his dominance. Even last year with disappointing numbers, Bowers had one game with 12 receptions for 127 yards and three scores, and his 17-game pace after returning from early injury was 96 catches and 967 yards on 125 targets, not far off his rookie pace even as he struggled through injury. Now that Bowers is healthy again, there's a lot of reason to believe he should be in for a huge season. For all the fantasy football questions about whether Tre Tucker, Jalen Nailor, or Jack Bech is the Raiders' WR1, isn't the answer pretty obvious? It's Brock Bowers. He's by far the most talented option, and Kirk Cousins has made a career of throwing to his TE security blanket. Many rookie QBs love an easy security blanket target too, so Bowers should thrive under Fernando Mendoza eventually. And then you remember new Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak and how he's opened up offenses in Seattle and New Orleans the last two seasons. Kubiak is a wizard in the run game and does a great job elevating offensive lines, and that should help Bowers get back to what he does best — leaving the line to do the dirty work and racking up catches and yardage downfield instead. Lest you forget, Kubiak coached the reigning Offensive Player of the Year last season in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and he fed him early and often. JSN had 8+ targets in 13-of-17 games (76%), and he had double-digit targets in over half of them. He had 8+ receptions in 10 games (59%). That's actually not all that far from the numbers Bowers put up as a rookie for the Raiders. He had 8+ targets in 11-of-17 games (65%), and he too had double-digit targets in over half of his final 13 games that year once he settled in. If Bowers stays healthy, that should set him up for at least 150 targets, as he had as a rookie and like JSN had last year (163, actually). That's huge volume for a tight end and sets up some monster numbers. Bowers has caught 74% of his passes in his career, even with poor QB play, and JSN was at 73% last season under Kubiak. The math on 150+ targets means over 110 receptions if that plays out, and even at Bowers' career 10.6 yards per catch, that would mean almost 1,200 yards. And as talented as Bowers is, there could be potential for more. I'm ready to invest. If you play fantasy football, I'm paying just about any price I have to for Bowers in an auction league, especially if it's PPR. In the world of betting, I'm building a full Bowers escalator. I love Bowers to go over 82.5 receptions (-115, DraftKings). Even last year, playing through injuries for most of the season, Bowers was at a 91-catch pace for the season. If he can stay on the field, this one should be a cinch. I'm also playing Bowers at +350 to lead all tight ends in receiving yards. Trey McBride is the top contender there, but I see McBride stepping back this season after a fluke outlier role while Arizona tanked and passed at outrageous rates down the stretch. With Marvin Harrison Jr. healthy and Jeremiyah Love in tow, the Cardinals have plenty of other options and McBride should drop back to the pack a bit. He's no match for Bowers, by talent or situation. But Bowers has so much potential that he could compete with wide receivers, too. I think he has a real chance to lead the entire league in receptions, so I'll play that too at +2500 (bet365). Over the last four seasons, we've seen six seasons of 120+ receptions. That's at least one each season, but only one of those hit 130. A tight end ranked top-four in receptions in all four of those years, always at 110 or better. If Bowers is the top tight end, he should be in range. He'll likely need to get into the 120s to cash this, and health is always a bigger risk for tight ends, but if we get 17 full games, there's every reason to believe Bowers could contend for the receptions crown. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-tight-end-futures-bets-best-picks-for-brock-bowers-colston-loveland-sam-laporta

Loveland was the first draft pick of the Ben Johnson era in Chicago, and we're already starting to see why. Loveland looks like a future All-Pro — outstanding both as a blocker and a pass catcher — a guy that can do everything in any role. Loveland finished with 58 catches for 713 yards and six scores as a rookie, but it took him a while to get going. From Week 9 forward, once Loveland caught his stride, his 17-game pace was far more impressive at 80 catches for 1,015 yards and 10 TDs, and his production in the playoffs was even better. Including the postseason, Loveland ended the year with four straight games with double-digit targets. D.J. Moore is gone now, and while everyone in fantasy argues over whether they prefer Rome Odunze or Luther Burden III, the right answer might just be Loveland. Loveland's season-long receptions prop at 69.5 catches is far too low, just 12 higher than last season when he missed a game and didn't really break out until the second half of the season. He should also be a consistent touchdown threat in this offense, and Johnson has already shown he loves to get the ball to his TEs in the red zone. Remember, Loveland was on pace for double-digit scores in the second half of last season. If I can't get Bowers somehow in fantasy football this season, Loveland is the next TE on my list. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-tight-end-futures-bets-best-picks-for-brock-bowers-colston-loveland-sam-laporta

Jacksonville's receiving corps really found itself over the back half of the season. Going into the season last fall, we expected Brian Thomas Jr. to be the star with rookie Travis Hunter starring in the slot. But Hunter never got healthy and looks like he'll be mostly a cornerback this season, and Thomas got a case of the dropsies and never got on track. Once the Jaguars traded for Jakobi Meyers midseason, everything finally settled in. Meyers does the short, dirty work, and Thomas has become something of a sacrificial X, stretching the field, but Parker Washington has become the target man in Liam Coen's offense. Over the final four games of the season, including the playoffs, Washington's numbers would pace to 111 catches for 1,930 yards and 13 TDs on 175 targets over a full 17-game season. That's a tiny sample size, of course, but it's not all that shocking if you consider Coen's history. The man loves to pepper his power slot target. Wan'Dale Robinson averaged over 100 yards a game for Coen at Kentucky. Cooper Kupp was on pace for 150/1,700 through eight games in 2022 before getting hurt as the fantasy WR1. Then two years later, Chris Godwin was on pace for 120/1,400 himself through seven games before also getting hurt as fantasy WR2. You might not think Washington is a star, but you probably didn't expect anywhere near the numbers those guys put up either, and Washington has shown a bit more explosion for big catches on top of everything else. Based on Coen's history, a healthy Washington season could put him in the mix for 130 catches and 1,700+ yards. We literally need less than half of that to cash this bet, so it's an easy over at 62.5 catches. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more

My favorite win total on the board this season for a team with zero ceiling and all floor: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

Season might be DOA without Tunsil and the opening schedule is brutal: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

The pass rush is gone and there’s no QB. Could get ugly. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

This line would be a full win lower if not for AFC South misperception: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

Alt under but this is about where I project Carolina for the season and the bottom could fall out if it goes sideways: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

Giants Island! 🏝️ effectively a 7 win team last year and got much better esp D and coaching: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

The Bills are listed as AFC favorites, but I'm out. This isn't about Josh Allen — he's my No. 1 quarterback. It's about Joe Brady's overly run-heavy play calling and the massive drop-off defensively and in the coaching staff. Sean McDermott maximized his defensive talent, and replacing him with Jim Leonhard is a huge risk given the bottom-seven talent on this defense. They also lost special teams ace Chris Tabor. The opening schedule is brutal: at Houston, a short week against Detroit, then the Chargers, Patriots, and at the Rams. They could easily start 2-3 or even 1-4. McDermott was so good at raising this team's floor, as Buffalo had gone over in seven of nine seasons. Sometimes you don't know what you got til it's gone. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

The Bills are listed as AFC favorites, but I'm out. This isn't about Josh Allen — he's my No. 1 quarterback. It's about Joe Brady's overly run-heavy play calling and the massive drop-off defensively and in the coaching staff. Sean McDermott maximized his defensive talent, and replacing him with Jim Leonhard is a huge risk given the bottom-seven talent on this defense. They also lost special teams ace Chris Tabor. The opening schedule is brutal: at Houston, a short week against Detroit, then the Chargers, Patriots, and at the Rams. They could easily start 2-3 or even 1-4. McDermott was so good at raising this team's floor, as Buffalo had gone over in seven of nine seasons. Sometimes you don't know what you got til it's gone. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

The Broncos face the Chiefs, Jaguars, Rams, 49ers, Chargers, and Seahawks in their first six games, so we can fade now and adjust later if needed: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

Vikings could have top 10 O and D if things bounce right and they’re the healthiest team in a division where every win counts. No way they should be priced this long: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

I'm drinking the purple Kool-Aid because the betting market is pricing the Vikings all wrong. This offense has top-three skill players you already know, and a healthy Christian Darrisaw on the line gives that unit top-10 potential. Frank Smith's scheme has added a creative run game featuring Jordan Mason to Kevin O'Connell's passing attack. And for all the deserving questions about Kyler Murray, he is unquestionably a massive upgrade over the worst-in-the-league QB play the team got last year from J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer — and still went over .500. Minnesota's defense lacks high-end talent, but DC Brian Flores makes them a top-10 unit. This could be a team that ranks top 10 on both offense and defense, playing in a division that looks entirely up for grabs with all four teams projected within a win of each other. Considering the key players missing for Green Bay, Detroit, and Chicago and the fact that Minnesota is healthy and ready, that makes this the easiest division long shot on the board.

My fav team bet on the board for the new yr. I have Bucs 3g clear of a bad field. Legit above avg offense & defense, good enough to contend for 1 seed. Multi unit bet: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

Prefer the division bet at better odds cuz Carolina just went under this number and won NFC South anyway: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

It's hard to run it back after losing a Super Bowl. Regression comes for everyone, and the Patriots played an outrageously soft schedule last year while going 8-3 in one-score games. Super Bowl losers are 16-6 to the under in the past 22 seasons, and only one Super Bowl loser has made it back to the final game since 1993. Still, New England got significantly better on paper. The offense adds A.J. Brown, Romeo Doubs, and Alijah Vera-Tucker and was already ranked third in DVOA. The defensive metrics were not the best last year after the team added a ton of veteran help, but they didn't get healthy until late in the season — and we saw how that carried New England to the Super Bowl, once they did. Even with some Patriots skepticism, I still have this as the best team in the division with my Bills disbelief. The AFC East is a perfect spot to play an exact outcome since there's a top two and a bottom two. An exact outcome of Patriots, Bills, Jets, Dolphins pays out at +450 (HardRock) and looks worth the escalator. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

Everyone is on the Cowboys, which always makes you nervous, but the roster is undeniable. Defensively, Dallas arguably upgraded nine of 11 starting positions from opening day last year, adding key names like Quinnen Williams, Caleb Downs, and Rashad Gary. This unit was already much better when Williams was on the field last year, and new DC Christian Parker comes highly regraded from the Vic Fangio tree and should help this unit take an immediate leap. Offensively, Dak Prescott runs a top-10 unit with the best WR trio in CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, and Ryan Flournoy, and OC Klayton Adams has given Dallas a creative, top-notch rushing attack. The new concern is Tyler Smith’s injury on the offensive line. Smith is the best man on this line, and his absence makes this a below-average line to start the season, and Dallas faces some tough opponents without him. There are dreams of Super Bowl hopes in Dallas, but unless the defenses leaps from last to above average, the offense still needs to show it can be top five and not just top 10. I think this takes some time — to get healthy and to gel with the new defensive talent and scheme — so I actually prefer the playoff version of the Cowboys to the regular season one. I don't need median outcomes here; I want the long-tail upside. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

I'm simply not ready to bury the Chiefs after one bad season where Patrick Mahomes got hurt and they still finished 15th overall in DVOA with a top-eight offense before the injury. The offense has been good but not elite for three years, but the offensive line looks improved and Kenneth Walker raises the ceiling of this offense immensely with his explosive ability. Look at what Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley did in recent years, adding an elite back to an already good offense. The receivers are still lackluster, but the scheme can only improve with OC Eric Bieniemy back in place of Matt Nagy. Steve Spagnuolo will figure out the defense. Kansas City replaces its top two corners but Spags always gets this unit rolling. The Chiefs also draw a favorable third-place schedule with a nice cushy start as Mahomes returns from injury, setting the Chiefs up for a fast start. They're an easy division bet heading into the season with the Broncos and Chargers facing tough schedules early. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team

Ladd McConkey looks like the WR1 in a Mike McDaniel offense with Justin Herbert throwing to him, and honestly, that sentence alone should be enough for you to bet this number. McConkey had a disappointing sophomore campaign. He caught only 66 balls for under 800 yards and saw his targets drop from a breakout rookie season, with Keenan Allen and Quentin Johnston soaking up a worrying number of targets. But Allen is gone now, and Johnston's role is clear at this point. McConkey is the far superior route runner with great hands, and he should be the go-to guy in an offense that looks like it should accentuate his strengths. We saw Tyreek Hill post multiple seasons with 119 catches and 1,700+ receiving yards under McDaniel. McConkey can't match Tyreek's speed — honestly, who can? — and may not handle that 170+ target load, but he should breach double-digit targets most games if healthy. Even Jaylen Waddle had 75, 72, 58, and 64 catches in McDaniel's offense as the second guy the last four years, and he only played all 17 games in one of those seasons. McConkey only missed this one by seven catches last year. I expect him to clear it with ease this time around. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more

NFL Futures Watch pod Week 2 — new weekly futures show, comes out every week!! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-action-network-sports-betting-podcast/id1004530793?i=1000789862322

NFL Futures Watch pod Week 2 — new weekly futures show, comes out every week!! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-action-network-sports-betting-podcast/id1004530793?i=1000789862322

NFL Futures Watch pod Week 2 — new weekly futures show, comes out every week!! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-action-network-sports-betting-podcast/id1004530793?i=1000789862322

NFL Futures Watch pod Week 2 — new weekly futures show, comes out every week!! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-action-network-sports-betting-podcast/id1004530793?i=1000789862322

NFL Futures Watch pod Week 2 — new weekly futures show, comes out every week!! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-action-network-sports-betting-podcast/id1004530793?i=1000789862322

NFL Futures Watch pod Week 2 — new weekly futures show, comes out every week!! https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-action-network-sports-betting-podcast/id1004530793?i=1000789862322