Vikings vs. Saints Odds & Betting Predictions - October 11, 2026
Vikings at Saints
5:00 pm • FOXVikings at Saints Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vikings 6-2 | -1.5 | -2.5-109 | o41.5-108 | -137 |
 Saints 3-5 | u44.5 | +2.5-111 | u41.5-110 | +115 |
Caesars SuperdomeNew Orleans
Vikings vs. Saints Expert Picks
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 26-39-1 (-17.0u)
NO +2.5-110
1.1u
Mike McNamara
Last 30d: 73-66-1 (+5.4u)
NO +120
0.2u
NO +2.5-110
0.2u
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 62-66-1 (+6.1u)
J.Johnson u4.5 Recs-138
0.5u
Juwan has cleared this in back-to-back games, but I think this is a good sell-high spot.
The Saints have been stuck in trailing scripts and asking Shough to drop back a million times a game. That could obviously happen again and cook us, but as only 2-point dogs I’m expecting a much more neutral environment where they can lean on the run a bit more.
Then there’s Brian Flores, who has basically gone completely insane with the blitz this year at around 68%, while Minnesota is also generating pressure at one of the highest rates in the league. That matters because Juwan’s target rate drops from 19% with a clean pocket to 13% under pressure.
The Vikings also play zone at the highest rate in the league by far, and Juwan’s target rate drops from 25% against man to 15% against zone. That actually makes sense for him since he’s a former WR and much more of a man-beating pass-catching TE than your typical guy at the position.
Last week was also basically best case for his playing time with Noah Fant out, when Juwan ran a route on 75% of Shough’s dropbacks. With Fant back and rookie Oscar Delp starting to play more, I think that settles closer to 60-65%, and we could even see more 12 personnel with Fant/Delp since they’re better blockers against this ridiculous Vikings pressure package.
When Juwan does get targeted, those looks could also be a little more downfield than usual, which is why I’d much rather fade receptions than yards.
I have him closer to 3.9 catches with around a 64% chance to stay under 4.5.
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 375-319-10 (+35.7u)
T.Hockenson o40.5 Rec Yds-113
0.56u
C.Olave o79.5 Rec Yds-105
0.53u
T.Shough Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400
0.13u
A.Kamara o9.5 Longest Rush-115
0.57u
D.Vele o3.5 Recs-125
0.5u
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 50-46-1 (+6.0u)
NO +3-125
0.4u
Boyd / FanDuel
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 241-270-8 (-22.1u)
MIN -2.5-110
$1.00
J.Jefferson o78.5 Rec Yds-113
$1.00
C.Olave o80.5 Rec Yds-115
$1.15
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 142-195-4 (+6.6u)
J.Johnson u4.5 Recs-140
0.49u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 102-120-4 (-7.9u)
NO +2.5-115
1.15u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 36-100-1 (-6.7u)
MIN -1.5-110
1.36u
Week 5 Lookahead at Brandon’s playground pod
W.Reichard o7.5 Kicking Pts+105
0.53u
Brandon’s Playground Week 5 pod
Vikings Score First & Win, Under 42, & Reichard Over 7.5 Pts+650
0.65u
Jeff Kohl Road trip parlay!!
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 120-123-4 (+11.2u)
T.Felton u1.5 Recs-150
1.5u
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
1.6u
MIN -1.5-106
1u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 72-83-0 (-31.0u)
NO +2.5-110
3u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 4-7-0 (-2.3u)
W.Reichard o7.5 Kicking Pts-109
0.92u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 62-72-1 (-1.3u)
NO +1.5-105
2.1u
Got the result we wanted on MNF as someone was wanting to back the Saints in week 5. +1.5 just got cheaper off the Monday night reaction to the blow out. Now we get the better team as home dogs off an embarrassing loss to a division rival. The exact sort of bets we need to be making in the NFL week to week.
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 84-75-0 (-1.2u)
Under 41.5-108
1u
Over 41.5-111
1.11u
C.Olave o81.5 Rec Yds-113
1.13u
J.Jefferson o78.5 Rec Yds-113
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 20-66-0 (-11.8u)
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+185
1.3u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 51-172-0 (+9.6u)
T.Shough 40+ Rushing Yards Yes+1500
0.05u
T.Shough 25+ Rushing Yards Yes+476
0.1u
T.Shough 15+ Rushing Yards Yes+174
0.5u
T.Shough 20+ Rushing Yards Yes+291
0.25u
T.Shough 30+ Rushing Yards Yes+730
0.1u
T.Hockenson First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1200
0.25u
Topper
Last 30d: 78-86-1 (-41.2u)
MIN -1.5-110
0.91u
Early szn Bounce Back
Overall: 340-234-10,59% (ROI:15%)
Season:8-6-0,57% (ROI:9%)
#TSA
Over 20.5 (1H)-110
1u
NFL Home Team Short Rest 1H Over
Overall: 202-127-2,61% (ROI:18%)
Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-37%)
#TSA
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 39-114-1 (-17.1u)
NO +2-110
1u
@EvanHAbrams https://youtu.be/P3X8BD_4KTw?is=V8M5PRyqAGXxHS02
W.Reichard o7.5 Kicking Pts+105
1u
@wheatonbrando https://youtu.be/Spi9x-cD95o?is=hxVjF6Y5FWuRPA4F
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 50-72-1 (-24.7u)
NO +2.5-105
1u
Outright preferably
Adam Kaufman
Last 30d: 289-253-17 (-6.6u)
MIN -120 (4Q)
0.21u
Under 12.5 (2Q)+104
0.26u
NO o20.5+100
0.25u
NO u9.5 (1H)+108
0.27u
MIN u10.5 (1H)-125
0.2u
Over 7.5 (3Q)-104
0.24u
NO -122 (3Q)
0.25u
MIN -130 (1H)
0.5u
MIN -124 (2Q)
0.5u
Alex Hinton
Last 30d: 109-124-1 (+10.3u)
A.Kamara o3.5 Recs+116
1u
Charlie DiSturco
Last 30d: 114-243-2 (-9.8u)
J.Jennings o19.5 Rec Yds-112
0.56u
T.Shough o9.5 Rush Yds-115
0.57u
Bet Labs
Last 30d: 4-3-0 (+0.6u)
NO +2.5-115
1.15u
Shough Masterclass
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 23-93-1 (-9.0u)
D.Vele Anytime TD Scorer Yes+360
0.28u
@The_Oddsmaker https://youtu.be/D-VSFIRKqec?is=hMOaINyXZnMG7eG3
K.Murray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500
0.2u
@The_Oddsmaker https://youtu.be/D-VSFIRKqec?is=hMOaINyXZnMG7eG3
Kev Mahserejian
Last 30d: 13-14-0 (+9.2u)
MIN -2-111
0.9u
Action Network Live!
Last 30d: 33-76-0 (-3.8u)
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175
1u
T.Shough o9.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+170
1u
Vikings vs. Saints Previews & Analysis
Vikings vs. Saints Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Vikings vs. Saints Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Saints are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Saints are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Saints are 3-0 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Saints' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Saints' 4 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Vikings vs. Saints Injury Updates
Vikings Injuries
- Josh OliverTE
Oliver is out with biceps
Out
- Jauan JenningsWR
Jennings is questionable with calf
Questionable
Saints Injuries
- Travis EtienneRB
Etienne is out with hamstring
Out
- CJ DonaldsonRB
Donaldson is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful
Team Stats
Vikings vs. Saints Odds Comparison
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Vikings at Saints Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Vikings 6-2 | N/A | N/A |
Saints 3-5 | N/A | N/A |