Updated 2022 Waste Management Open Odds & 7 Picks for Max Homa, Justin Thomas, More

Updated 2022 Waste Management Open Odds & 7 Picks for Max Homa, Justin Thomas, More article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Max Homa (left) and Justin Thomas.

Click here for full Waste Management Open odds from BetMGM
Jon Rahm+700
Justin Thomas+1200
Patrick Cantlay+1400
Hideki Matsuyama+1600
Viktor Hovland+1600
Jordan Spieth+2000
Xander Schauffele+2200
Daniel Berger+2500
Scottie Scheffler+2500
Brooks Koepka+3300
Sam Burns+3300
Bubba Watson+4000
Louis Oosthuizen+4000
Russell Henley+4000
Seamus Power+4000
Tony Finau+4000
Matt Fitzpatrick+4000
Abraham Ancer+5000
Adam Scott+5000
Corey Conners+5000
Harold Varner III+5000
Luke List+5000
Billy Horschel+5000
Tom Hoge+5000
Talor Gooch+6600
Max Homa+6600
Keith Mitchell+6600
Andrew Putnam+8000
Brian Harman+8000
Denny McCarthy+8000
Joel Dahmen+8000
Kevin Kisner+8000
Matt Kuchar+8000
Pat Perez+8000
Rickie Fowler+8000
Si Woo Kim+8000
Aaron Wise+8000
Gary Woodland+8000
Russell Knox+10000
Charles Howell III+10000
Keegan Bradley+10000
Adam Hadwin+12500
Alex Noren+12500
Branden Grace+12500
Brendon Todd+12500
Chris Kirk+12500
Dylan Frittelli+12500
Francesco Molinari+12500
K.H. Lee+12500
Lucas Herbert+12500
Michael Thompson+12500
Mito Pereira+12500
Nate Lashley+12500
Nick Taylor+12500
Troy Merritt+12500
Cam Davis+15000
Carlos Ortiz+15000
Charley Hoffman+15000
Chez Reavie+15000
Garrick Higgo+15000
Hudson Swafford+15000
Lucas Glover+15000
Martin Laird+15000
Matt Jones+15000
Patrick Rodgers+15000
Patton Kizzire+15000
Sahith Theegala+15000
Scott Stallings+15000
Sepp Straka+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Zach Johnson+15000
Beau Hossler+15000
Brendan Steele+15000
Doug Ghim+15000
Kevin Streelman+15000
Matt Wallace+15000
Sebastian Munoz+15000
Stewart Cink+15000
Cameron Young+15000
Brandt Snedeker+20000
Joseph Bramlett+20000
Kramer Hickok+20000
Scott Piercy+20000
Emiliano Grillo+20000
Harry Higgs+20000
James Hahn+20000
Ryan Moore+20000
Adam Long+25000
Danny Lee+25000
Hank Lebioda+25000
Henrik Norlander+25000
J.T. Poston+25000
Jonathan Byrd+25000
Kyle Stanley+25000
Matthew NeSmith+25000
Roger Sloan+25000
Austin Eckroat+30000
C.T. Pan+30000
Graeme McDowell+30000
Jimmy Walker+30000
Robert Streb+30000
Rory Sabbatini+30000
Stephan Jaeger+30000
Sung Kang+30000
Tyler Duncan+30000
Hayden Buckley+30000
Brandon Hagy+35000
Brian Stuard+35000
Jason Dufner+35000
Kelly Kraft+35000
Kevin Tway+35000
Peter Malnati+35000
Anirban Lahiri+40000
Brice Garnett+40000
Kevin Chappell+40000
Luke Donald+40000
Sam Ryder+40000
Seung-Yul Noh+40000
Tyler McCumber+40000
Wesley Bryan+40000
Adam Schenk+50000
Ben Silverman+50000
Bill Haas+50000
Brian Gay+50000
Chesson Hadley+50000
Nick Watney+50000
William McGirt+50000
Jeffrey Kang+75000
Martin Trainer+75000
Preston Summerhays+75000
Craig Hocknull+100000
Etienne Papineau+100000

Looking for the perfect betting opener for the Super Bowl? Look no further than the 2022 Waste Management Phoenix Open.

One of the best non-major fields of the golf season has gathered in Scottsdale this week for golf’s biggest party, which has seen some fireworks in past years. Last year, Brooks Koepka holed a chip for eagle on the 71st hole for a win. With a full-capacity crowd back at TPC Scottsdale, it’s a can’t-miss event.

Jon Rahm, as he will in any event he plays nowadays, is the betting favorite, although there’s plenty of top talent behind him. Six of the top-10 players in the world and 14 of the top 20 are in this field.

Our GolfBet staff has you covered this week, from a favorite to a couple longshots, then a couple props and a matchup. Check out their best bets, then sit back and relax what will no doubt be an electric week of golf.

Bet the Waste Management Open at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

2022 Waste Management Open Best Bets

*Odds below as of Tuesday night at 9 p.m. ET.

Keith Mitchell +8000

Jason Sobel: Well, I’ve been bullish on Mitchell for a while now, writing him up in my annual “The Leap” column and in each preview during the weeks he’s played so far this year — and he hasn’t disappointed, finishing 7th-MC-12th, the last of which at Pebble Beach this past weekend.

There’s even more reason to like him at this one. The first is analytical. Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee is an important metric at TPC Scottsdale. Unlike some events we’ve seen recently, in which a player’s advantage off the tee doesn’t offer a significant edge, this one sets up well for those who hit it long and (mostly) straight.

That is decidedly Mitchell’s game, as he ranked 11th off-the-tee last season and is seventh this season. The fact that he fared well at places like Waialae and Pebble Beach, where SGOTT wasn’t as important, should only mean bigger things are on the horizon at a venue like this one.

The other reason I’m picking him here is intangible. In recent years, we’ve seen Brooks Koepka, Rickie Fowler and Gary Woodland win this title. I think it often takes a little swagger, a little desire to show off, in order to succeed in front of the biggest crowds of the year.

Granted, that’s not a foolproof idea since Webb Simpson and Hideki Matsuyama don’t exactly fit the profile. Mitchell does, though, and one week after playing well while partnered with Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen at Pebble Beach, I believe he’ll be prepared to evoke some of that swagger once again.

With 18 of the world’s top-30 players in the field, there are plenty of safer names at shorter prices, and while the days might be over when we could get him at 250-1 as he was last year, I’m taking a shot here on a hot hand who should fit the course and event well.

Bet Keith Mitchell & Max Homa at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

Max Homa +7500

Chris Murphy: The Waste Management Phoenix Open is a tournament typically won by the top of the odds board, as it’s been since 2013 that the champion of this event was beyond +5000 at the start of the week. I am going beyond that with my best bet, but Max Homa is a player that when his game is right certainly stacks up with golf’s elite.

Homa has shown an ability to not only compete but win in elite fields, as he proved last year at the Genesis Invitational. He has added another West Coast win to his resume since that time and really is a great fit to the course at TPC Scottsdale, where his elite iron play can shine.

The Cal grad has played this event three times, with his best finish coming in 2020 when he finished sixth. That was actually his worst iron week of his appearances at the Waste Management. Homa has never gained less than 1.8 strokes on approach at this tournament and clearly has an eye for the course, as well as desert golf.

I was ecstatic to see such a long number on the three-time TOUR winner when odds were released on Monday, and I continue to like the value and upside at +7000 as the tournament approaches.

Justin Thomas +1200

Matt Vincenzi: With 14 career wins at only 28 years old, there is no one on TOUR who offers more win equity than Justin Thomas. With his last win coming almost 11 months ago (March 2021), Thomas is past due for another TOUR victory.

Not only is “JT” due for a ceiling week, but TPC Scottsdale is the ideal spot on the schedule for it to happen. There are a few trends that point to Thomas as an eventual winner in Phoenix: Nine of the past 10 winners at TPC Scottsdale have either a PLAYERS victory or a major championship. Thomas has both.

Additionally, 10 of the past 11 winners of the event have had a top-seven finish or better in one of their last five starts in Scottsdale. With finishes of 17th, third, third and 13th in his past four starts, Thomas certainly fits the bill.

Despite the lack of wins in the past calendar year, Thomas has sneakily been playing some very good golf lately. With five top-20 finishes in his past five starts including three top-threes, he has shown he has been slowly trending towards a victory.

TPC Scottsdale is famous for its electric atmosphere and energetic group of fans. As we saw at Whistling Straits for the Ryder Cup, the fans have seemed to be a motivation for Thomas and I expect him to be fired up in Phoenix.

Bet Justin Thomas at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

Matt Fitzpatrick, Xander Schauffele, Scottie Scheffler, Adam Scott and Billy Horschel all to make the cut (+290)

Rob Bolton: It’s like FanDuel was trying to woo me or something. Well, it’s worked! “How you doin’?”

FanDuel recently released a big, er, massive board of parlays. This one, found under “Tourney Specials” in “Golf Specials 2,” presents the shortest odds of 68(!) choices.

Now, I wouldn’t venture as far as to say that there’s value for all, but there’s something for everyone. With 68, there has to be. Let’s have a little fun so that you can try one on for size.

I’ve bumped the odds to the bottom of my capsule here so that you’re not influenced. So, before you scroll, consider what kickback is the minimum for you to belly up to this:

  • Justin Thomas, Viktor Hovland and Xander Schauffele all finish inside the top 10.

While you’re contemplating, here’s a simple breakdown of why the parlay I’ve chosen actually carries value even though it requires going 5-for-5, and remember that one short of half the field at the WM Phoenix Open (65 of 132) is guaranteed to cash.

  • Considering only tournaments with cuts, this group has survived a combined 31 in a row with each golfer cashing in at least five straight.
  • Schauffele is perfect in four trips to TPC Scottsdale.
  • Scheffler finished T7 here last year.
  • Horschel is 7-for-7 in the tournament since 2015.

The wild-card factor is that both Fitzpatrick and Scott are first-timers, but even if the parlay was just those two at, say, +100, neither is representing a reason not to have a nibble.

Spoiler alert now…

At last check, the line for JT, Hovland and Schauffele all to finish inside the top 10 is +2700. (You’ll find it in “Golf Specials 3.”)

Bet Bolton's props at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.

Harris English — Top 20 (+380)

Landon Silinsky: It wasn’t so long ago English was absolutely tearing up the PGA TOUR. Last summer, he won the Travelers on the heels of a T-3 at the U.S Open, and then followed that up with a T-4 at the St. Jude. He posted some decent finishes in the Fed-Ex Cup Playoffs and even made the TOUR Championship. After that things sort of fell apart.

We haven’t seen English since the Sony Open over a month ago, where he made the cut and tied for 55th. Despite his recent subpar ball-striking, his putter has remained elite as he ranks third in this field in SG: Putting over his past four rounds and 14th over his past 48 rounds. Additionally he sits 19th in total strokes gained over his past 48 as well.

This number on him to top 20 on FanDuel is a clear error as DraftKings is only offering +240. You cannot tell me Bubba Watson is almost TWICE as likely to top 20 than English is, because that is basically what FD is telling us with Watson’s T-20 number sitting at +200. Maybe the month off has helped English find his game a bit. He’s also posted four top-20 finishes at this event since 2012. I will take my chances at this number.

Pat Perez (-115) over Branden Grace

Bryan Berryman: Grace has lost strokes tee-to-green in seven of his last eight tracked events. His best finish in that category was 33rd at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, which was a 38-player event.

Perez, meanwhile, is hot. He is coming off back-to-back top-10 finishes (sixth at the Farmers and ninth at Pebble Beach). In his last 24 rounds, Perez ranked 19th in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach, while Grace is 100th.

Grace is likely getting a bump from books here because he has made two starts at the Waste Management and finished second and ninth. I need more than course history alone to buy into a player, though, especially given that small sample size.

Looking at the recent Strokes Gained numbers, this is a tale of two players trending in opposite directions. I’m riding the hot hand this week over at PointsBet.

Russell Henley +4100

Joshua Perry: Henley should fit better here than he's shown. It might be the environment isn't up to his liking, but he keeps coming every year. The form is great with a second at the Sony and 14th at the AmEx. The ball-striking has been in good shape for months now, so whenever he's putted well he's put up good results.

Again, the history isn't ideal, but he's been inside the top 20 twice at Scottsdale, so he's capable of playing well here.

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