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MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props, Predictions Today – September 17

MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props, Predictions Today – September 17 article feature image
6 min read

Baseball fans are treated to another full day of action as there are 15 games on the slate for Wednesday, September 17.

That also means there are plenty of betting opportunities and our MLB betting experts and systems have already made their MLB predictions after looking at the latest MLB odds.

So, let's get right into it and look over today's MLB best bets.

Quickslip

MLB Best Bets Today

The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Chicago Cubs LogoPittsburgh Pirates Logo
12:35 p.m.
San Francisco Giants LogoArizona Diamondbacks Logo
3:40 p.m.
San Diego Padres LogoNew York Mets Logo
7:10 p.m.
Miami Marlins LogoColorado Rockies Logo
8:40 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Sean Paul's Cubs vs Pirates Best Bet: Back Cubs to Cover

Chicago Cubs Logo
Wednesday, September 17
12:35 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
Cubs -1.5 (+125)
BetMGM Logo

By Sean Paul

Let's take a shot here on the Cubs at -1.5 at plus money. The Pirates aren't a very good team and the Cubs have shown that through the first two games of this series. Chicago was one of the best teams in the first-half, then it stopped hitting.

The Pirates don't have the proper formula to hit Matthew Boyd due to their power issues. Plus, the Cubs can be patient and force Johan Oviedo's pitch count up to get him out of the game and pounce on this disaster of a bullpen.

Pick: Cubs -1.5 (+125)



Tony Sartori's Giants vs Diamondbacks Best Bet: Fade Both Starting Pitchers

San Francisco Giants Logo
Wednesday, September 17
3:40 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Arizona Diamondbacks Logo
Over 9 (-105)
DraftKings  Logo

By Tony Sartori

So how does a pitcher with Brandon Pfaadt's profile carry a 13-8 record? The answer is simple: Arizona boasts one of the best lineups in baseball.

This season, the Diamondbacks rank in the top five in runs scored per game, slugging percentage and OPS.

The opposite is true for Arizona's bullpen. The Diamondbacks’ relief corps ranks in the bottom four in ERA, xERA and WAR.

On the other side, Justin Verlander has struggled against the Diamondbacks over the past two seasons. In two meetings during that stretch, he is 0-2 with a 10.00 ERA and a 2.11 WHIP.

In a matchup between two struggling pitchers, take the over.

Pick: Over 9 (-105)


Bet Labs' Padres vs Mets Best Bet: System Suggests Under

San Diego Padres Logo
Wednesday, September 17
7:10 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
New York Mets Logo
Under 7.5 (-105)
BetMGM Logo

By Bet Labs

The "Wind Whisper Unders" system is built for betting MLB totals where weather and market signals align quietly, but consistently toward the under. It targets regular-season games from 2020 through 2025 where the closing total falls between seven and 10 runs — a middle range that allows for variance, but avoids extremes.

This strategy homes in on games with a specific weather profile: wind blowing from left, in from right, or straight in, with speeds between 3-15 mph. Combined with moderate temperatures between 30-70 degrees, these environmental conditions help suppress deep fly balls without overly skewing the market. Line movement also plays a role. The total must have dropped by up to 2.5 runs from open to close, signaling steady downward pressure from sharper bettors. Importantly, the public is not fully behind the under — support remains modest, falling between 1-55%. This indicates market resistance and helps ensure the number isn’t over-adjusted. By aligning downward line moves, cooling weather patterns, and under-the-radar betting splits, the system consistently identifies games where offense is subtly — but significantly — less likely to break out.

This system has produced a 9% ROI this season, going 123-91-8 (57%). Lifetime, it has produced a 14% ROI and has cashed 60% of its picks (508-342-46).

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Wind Whisper Unders
the over/under % is between 1% and 55%
the average wind speed is between 3 and 15 mph
the closing total is between 7 and 10
the game was played during the 2025 or 2024 or 2023 or 2022 or 2021 or 2020 season
the o/u change from open to close is between -2.5 and 0
the temperature is between 30 and 70 degrees
the wind direction is From Left or In or From Right
betting on the Under
the game is played during the Regular season
$12,744
WON
508-342-46
RECORD
60%
WIN%

Pick: Under 7.5 (-105)



Bet Labs' Marlins vs Rockies Best Bet: Coors Field? Expect Plenty of Runs

Miami Marlins Logo
Wednesday, September 17
8:40 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Colorado Rockies Logo
Over 10.5 (-105)
BetMGM Logo

By Bet Labs

Late in the season, the ball tends to fly at Coors Field. In Rockies' home games — during both the regular and postseason — betting on the over has been profitable from August through October. If the closing total is between 0 and 11, the over has hit 58% of the time 227-163-17) since we began tracking. That's good for a 13% ROI.

This season, the over in those situations has cashed at a 63% clip (5-3-1) and has returned a 17% ROI.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams – Late Season Overs at Coors
the closing total is between 0 and 11
the game was played in Coors Field
the game was played in August or October or September
betting on the Over
the game is played during the Regular or Postseason season
$5,225
WON
227-163-17
RECORD
58%
WIN%

Pick: Over 10.5 (-105)




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Action Network is a team of seasoned sports betting experts specializing in a broad range of sports, from the NFL and NBA to less mainstream options like cricket and darts. Their staff includes well-known analysts like Sean Koerner and Stuckey, recognized for their accurate predictions and deep sports knowledge. The team is dedicated to delivering expert analysis and daily best bets, ensuring bettors are well-informed across all major sports.

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