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Will Aaron Judge Hit 61st Home Run Friday Night? Betting Public Says Yes

Will Aaron Judge Hit 61st Home Run Friday Night? Betting Public Says Yes article feature image
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Mike Stobe/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Judge

Aaron Judge continues the quest for his American League record-tying 61st home run Friday night against the Boston Red Sox.

Judge has failed to homer in the past two games, since notching his 60th earlier this week. That hasn’t stopped the betting public from hammering his his home run props, though and they’re continuing to do so today.

Aaron Judge to hit over 0.5 home runs is drawing 97% of tickets and 95% of the money BetMGM has on the prop. At DraftKings the prop has 42% of all money wagered on any player tonight.

Sportsbooks have cleaned up this week with the majority of bettors losing on Judge’s home run prop so far. Last night 100% of bets WynnBet drew on the prop had the over.

Based on Judge’s home run output (2.48 games per HR) he’s on pace to tie Roger Maris’ American League record tonight.

Here are the best odds sportsbooks are offering.

Best Aaron Judge Home Run Odds for Friday

DraftKings is offering the best odds at +322 after a 61% odds boost, capped at $25 a wager. The sportsbook has run the Judge special all week.

That number is up from his best prices to homer during yesterday’s game (+313) and Wednesday’s matchup (+258), also at DraftKings, via the same promotion.

PointsBet is offering the second-best odds on Judge to homer at +270, also under a promo boost. Caesars is offering the third best odds at +265, followed by BetRivers at +240 and Bet MGM at +225.

DraftKings is also offering the best odds Judge doesn’t homer tonight at -270.

For those who are bullish on Judge breaking the record early in the game, BetRivers has +1050 prop for Judge to homer in his first at-bat.

Tonight’s the Night According to Bettors

BetMGM is reporting the most one-way action on Judge tonight, with nearly every bet and every dollar wagered on his home run on the over.

It’s a similar story at BetRivers, where 91% of money and 96% of tickets are on him to homer. It’s a big change from last night when the sportsbook lost on Judge, as 61% of the money was on him not homering.

FanDuel, which doesn’t offer a prop on Judge not homering, says Judge to homer has twice the money bet on the Yankees game’s moneyline and runline markets combined.

First pitch for tonight’s game against is at 7:05 p.m. ET.

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