Promotion Banner

UFC 287 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Gerald Meerschaert vs. Joe Pyfer: The Underdog to Bet Live (Saturday, April 8)

UFC 287 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Gerald Meerschaert vs. Joe Pyfer: The Underdog to Bet Live (Saturday, April 8) article feature image

Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: UFC middleweight Gerald Meerschaert

  • Fast-rising Joe Pyfer faces a tough test at UFC 287 with a matchup against crafty Gerald Meerschaert.
  • The preliminary card bout has Pyfer as a sizable favorite over vet Meerschaert.
  • Below, Sean Zerillo previews the fight and shares his preferred angle for a Pyfer vs. Meerschaert bet.

Gerald Meerschaert vs. Joe Pyfer Odds

Meerschaert Odds
Pyfer Odds
1.5 (+112 / -142)
Miami-Dade Arena in Florida
8:30 p.m. ET
UFC 287 odds as of Friday and via FanDuel

Contender Series alum and rising prospect Joe Pyfer will meet seasoned vet Gerald Meerschaert on the UFC 287 preliminary card.

Pyfer is a sizable favorite, but the ever-crafty Meerschaert has pulled off multiple upsets during his lengthy MMA and UFC career.

Let’s dig into this middleweight matchup.

Tale of the Tape

Avg. Fight Time8:094:58
Weight (pounds)185 lbs.185 lbs.
Reach (inches)77″75″
Date of birth12/18/19879/17/1996
Sig Strikes Per Min3.113.49
SS Accuracy43%44%
SS Absorbed Per Min3.452.55
SS Defense52%55%
Take Down Avg2.172.01
TD Acc37%100%
TD Def29%50%
Submission Avg1.71.0

This is the exact type of role where Meerschaert typically thrives as an underdog gatekeeper trying to turn back a rising prospect.

He has defeated better opponents than Pyfer – as a more significant underdog than he will be on Saturday – and “GM3” is arguably the most formidable opponent that Pyfer has ever faced. And he also owns a two-inch reach advantage.

Still, Pyfer will likely hold a noticeable edge in striking speed. And Meerschaert tends to get wobbled early in each of his fights before eventually recovering, fighting through adversity, and putting his lesser opponents through hell.

Pyfer should ultimately win the striking and land more volume, but Meerschaert has some tools to trouble him on the feet.

Moreover, Meerschaert is reliable in wrestling in each of his fights. When his fights hit the ground, his opponents consistently underrate his ability to choke them out. He has the most submissions (nine) and second-most finishes (10) in UFC middleweight history.

The athleticism and speed differential should be noticeable early on. Still, as Meerschaert progresses into the fight, he may find a way – as he typically does – to frustrate and eventually damage his opponent.

Meerschaert vs. Pyfer Pick

I’ll consider betting GM3 live after Round 1, especially if Pyfer goes for an early kill and blows his gas tank in the process.

Aside from betting on Pyfer to win via decision (projected +652, listed +700 at BetRivers) or Meerschaert to win via submission (projected +359, listed +360 at FanDuel), I don’t see a way to bet on this fight from a pre-fight “value” perspective. And there’s not enough meat on the bone for either prop – relative to my projected line – to pull the trigger.

Monitor the first round and Pyfer’s cardio usage and consider a live entry on Meerschaert if Pyfer over-exerts himself early.

I’ll also have a bunch of exposure to this fight in DFS since this is, by far, the likeliest fight to end inside the distance in the betting market (projected 82%).

The Pick: Gerald Meerschaert Live after Round 1

The must-have app for UFC bettors

The best UFC betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.