UFC 290 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Yazmin Jauregui vs. Denise Gomes: Consider This +600 Lean (Saturday, July 8)

UFC 290 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Yazmin Jauregui vs. Denise Gomes: Consider This +600 Lean (Saturday, July 8) article feature image

Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: UFC women’s strawweight Yazmin Jauregui of Mexico

Yazmin Jauregui vs. Denise Gomes Odds

Jauregui Odds
Gomes Odds
2.5 (-164 / +128)
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
8:30 p.m. ET
Odds as of Saturday and via FanDuel

The ABC-televised prelims for UFC 290 include a clash between strawweights Yazmin Jauregui and Denise Gomes.

Both fighters are coming off a victory, but on Saturday, Jauregui is a big favorite in this UFC 290 matchup.

Let's jump into Jauregui vs Gomes and break down the fight.

Tale of the Tape

Avg. Fight Time12:0312:34
Weight (pounds)115 lbs.115 lbs.
Reach (inches)64"63"
Date of birth2/28/199912/30/1990
Sig Strikes Per Min6.354.67
SS Accuracy41%47%
SS Absorbed Per Min4.233.13
SS Defense57%55%
Take Down Avg0.001.19
TD Acc0%33%
TD Def100%50%
Submission Avg0.01.2

Many analysts think that Jauregui is a future champion in the strawweight division. The 24-year-old has excellent boxing, strong takedown defense, and elite cardio and output.

Gomes might have the power advantage, but Jauregui likely has the offensive grappling upside, even though she hasn't attempted a takedown in the UFC.

This could end up being a high-paced striking affair between two solid, young prospects, but the fight is suspiciously lined at +108 to end inside the distance in a division with a 66.7% decision rate.

Combined, these fighters have seen 13 of their 19 professional bouts end by finish.

However, those regional finish rates tend to shrink once fighters reach the highest level of MMA.

Jauregui vs. Gomes Pick

Unless Jauregui grapples in this matchup – and has success doing so – it's hard to make her such a significant favorite in what otherwise appears to be a striker vs. striker matchup.

Ultimately, I don't see value in this fight from any perspective, and I will pass on betting on this matchup.

Gomes by decision (projected +567, listed +600) was the only wager that became a potential consideration.

The Pick: Pass

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