UFC 297 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana: Bank on Home Fighter’s Finish (Saturday, January 20)
Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: UFC women’s strawweight Gillian Robertson of Canada
Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana Odds
Here's everything you need to know about Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana at UFC 297 on Saturday, Jan. 20 – our expert UFC prediction and pick.
The ESPNews-television prelims kick off with veteran 115-pounders Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana.
Both strawweights are coming off a loss, but Canada's Robertson is a heavy favorite as she prepares for a likely jiu-jitsu tangle with Viana.
Here's a look at the Robertson vs. Viana odds and my betting pick.
Tale of the Tape
| Robertson | Viana | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12-8 | 13-6 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 9:45 | 7:11 |
| Height | 5'5" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 115.75 pounds | 115.75 pounds |
| Reach | 63 inches | 67 inches |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 5/17/1995 | 6/14/1992 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| SS Accuracy | 45% | 41% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.21 | 2.63 |
| SS Defense | 55% | 55% |
| Take Down Avg | 2.46 | 0.93 |
| TD Acc | 41% | 33% |
| TD Def | 43% | 43% |
| Submission Avg | 0.9 | 2.1 |
Robertson opened closer to -170 (63% implied) for this matchup, and the market has moved around 12% in her direction, closer to -300 (75% implied) over the past couple of weeks.
Viana is all too willing to fight off her back (43% takedown defense) and hunt for submissions from guard, which won't be effective against an opponent with a lethal top game like Robertson.
Viana is the bigger and better athlete with a four-inch reach advantage and superior striking ability.
If she can deny takedowns from Robertson, sprawl and brawl, and turn this into a striking affair, she will out-fight her underdog odds in this matchup.
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Robertson vs. Viana Pick
Depending on the book, Robertson to win via submission (projected +131, listed +145) or inside the distance (projected -118, listed +100) is enticing.
However, Viana by decision (projected +501, listed +750) is equally appealing.
When presented with equivalent choices on this card, I'm going to side with the Canadian fighters to take care of business at home. Plus money for a Robertson finish with her moneyline at -300 seems worth betting.
The Pick: Gillian Robertson wins Inside the Distance (+100, 0.25u) at DraftKings
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