Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana Odds
Here's everything you need to know about Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana at UFC 297 on Saturday, Jan. 20 – our expert UFC prediction and pick.
The ESPNews-television prelims kick off with veteran 115-pounders Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana.
Both strawweights are coming off a loss, but Canada's Robertson is a heavy favorite as she prepares for a likely jiu-jitsu tangle with Viana.
Here's a look at the Robertson vs. Viana odds and my betting pick.
Tale of the Tape
| Robertson | Viana | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12-8 | 13-6 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 9:45 | 7:11 |
| Height | 5'5" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 115.75 pounds | 115.75 pounds |
| Reach | 63 inches | 67 inches |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 5/17/1995 | 6/14/1992 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| SS Accuracy | 45% | 41% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.21 | 2.63 |
| SS Defense | 55% | 55% |
| Take Down Avg | 2.46 | 0.93 |
| TD Acc | 41% | 33% |
| TD Def | 43% | 43% |
| Submission Avg | 0.9 | 2.1 |
Robertson opened closer to -170 (63% implied) for this matchup, and the market has moved around 12% in her direction, closer to -300 (75% implied) over the past couple of weeks.
Viana is all too willing to fight off her back (43% takedown defense) and hunt for submissions from guard, which won't be effective against an opponent with a lethal top game like Robertson.
Viana is the bigger and better athlete with a four-inch reach advantage and superior striking ability.
If she can deny takedowns from Robertson, sprawl and brawl, and turn this into a striking affair, she will out-fight her underdog odds in this matchup.
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Robertson vs. Viana Pick
Depending on the book, Robertson to win via submission (projected +131, listed +145) or inside the distance (projected -118, listed +100) is enticing.
However, Viana by decision (projected +501, listed +750) is equally appealing.
When presented with equivalent choices on this card, I'm going to side with the Canadian fighters to take care of business at home. Plus money for a Robertson finish with her moneyline at -300 seems worth betting.
The Pick: Gillian Robertson wins Inside the Distance (+100, 0.25u) at DraftKings
