UFC 299 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Katlyn Cerminara vs. Maycee Barber: 2 Betting Angles for Flyweight Contenders (Saturday, March 9)
Josh Hedges/Zuffa. Pictured: UFC women’s flyweight Maycee Barber
Katlyn Cerminara vs. Maycee Barber Odds
Here's everything you need to know about the Katlyn Cerminara vs. Maycee Barber odds at UFC 299 – with our expert pick and prediction for Saturday, March 9.
Cerminara (formerly Chookagian) has been a mainstay of the UFC women's flyweight division since its founding. And, of course, the tough challenges will keep coming for her when she meets Barber on UFC 299's ESPN-televised prelims.
Cerminara recently snapped a four-fight winning streak with a setback to Manon Fiorot. But she can get right back on track if she can upset Barber, who's on a 5-0 run as she steadily climbs the division's ranks.
Tale of the Tape
| Cerminara | Barber | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 18-5 | 13-2 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 14:07 | 11:55 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'5" |
| Weight (pounds) | 125 lbs. | 125 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 68" | 65" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Date of birth | 12/28/1988 | 5/18/1998 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| SS Accuracy | 34% | 52% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 4.41 | 2.72 |
| SS Defense | 63% | 54% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.27 | 1.14 |
| TD Acc | 15% | 35% |
| TD Def | 54% | 45% |
| Submission Avg | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Cerminara is an extremely solid top-five gatekeeper in the flyweight division. She has the tools to give Barber, who has scored numerous split decisions in her ascension, a difficult fight.
Cerminara is the more technical striker at range and has better footwork.
Still, physicality goes a long way in lighter-weight classes, and Cerminara doesn't have the power to stop Barber from crashing the pocket and bullying her in the clinch.
Barber is 10 years younger, more explosive, and has most of the offensive grappling upside. Chookagian's size advantage (four inches taller, three-inch reach) will be noticeable when she can extend on her straight punches. Still, Barber prefers to dirty box with opponents in a telephone booth or press opponents against the fence and wear on them, nullifying Cerminara's advantage.
Additionally, Maycee builds her pace well towards the end of her three-round fights, and she will seemingly excel throughout five rounds.
Cerminara vs. Barber Pick
Pre-fight, I would consider betting Cerminara on the moneyline (projected +170) at +185 or better, or play her decision prop (projected +200) down to +220.
However, I'd look to bet Barber live after Round 1 if she Cerminara behind.
Barber is tenacious and will double down on her aggressiveness if she's trailing.
The Picks: Katlyn Cerminara wins by Decision (+250, 0.2u) | Barber Live after Round 1
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