UFC Fight Night Odds & Picks: Anderson Silva Caps Career vs. Dangerous Uriah Hall (Saturday, Oct. 31)
Alexandre Schneider/Getty Images. Pictured: Anderson Silva.
- Uriah Hall and Anderson Silva meet in the final UFC fight for the 'The Spider' who hopes to cap his career with a win.
- Do the odds show any edge for the MMA legend? Sean Zerillo analyzes the matchup below.
Uriah Hall vs. Anderson Silva Odds
|Hall odds||-230 [BET NOW]|
|Silva odds||+185 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||4.5 (-106/-125) [BET NOW]|
|Venue||UFC Apex, Las Vegas|
|Time||Saturday, 9 p.m. ET|
One of the best fighters the UFC has ever seen will enter the octagon for his last fight. Anderson ‘The Spider’ Silva will face Uriah Hall at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, headlining an 11-fight card on Saturday night.
Silva hasn’t fought in 17 months and has just one win in his past eight fights, while Hall is looking for his third-consecutive win after being inactive for more than a year.
Will Silva end his UFC career on a high note? Let’s break down this fight to see where the betting value lies.
Tale of the Tape
|Record||16-9||34-10 (1 NC)|
|Avg. Fight Time||9:18||10:06|
|Weight (pounds)||185 lbs.||185 lbs.|
|Date of birth||7/31/84||4/14/75|
|Sig Strikes Per Min||3.31||3.04|
|SS Absorbed Per Min||3.57||1.98|
|Take Down Avg||0.75||0.52|
Silva hasn’t been at the top of his game for a long time and yet he is still a the top of a number of UFC leaderboards — both in the middleweight division and in the entire sport.
Per UFC’s record book, Silva’s 11 KO/TKO wins rank tied for first among all fighters and his significant strike accuracy is the highest among all middleweights.
Hall vs. Silva Pick
Now 45-years-old, Silva is 1-6-1 in the octagon since 2013, though most of those losses have come against the best in the world at Middleweight (Israel Adesanya, Michael Bisping, Daniel Cormier, Chris Weidman x2).
His lone win during that span came over Derek Brunson in 2017, and he had a decision against Nick Diaz overturned to a no-contest (doping) in 2015.
Silva took a significant layoff (after suffering a leg injury against Jared Cannonier last May, and he is also the much older fighter – leading to a win expectancy of around 36% based upon those factors alone.
The actual projections align with my analysis, which either sees an aggressive Uriah Hall securing a finish over a legend 10 years past his prime or a stare down between two low-volume counterpunchers with a great deal of respect for one another which goes to a close decision.
Hall has more power, but the volume differential is negligible (+0.27 strikes landed per minute) and Silva, historically, is the far more efficient striker (+12% accuracy, +8% defense).
Obviously, Silva’s efficiency has waned with age, and if his leg remains compromised after that Cannonier loss, Hall should be able to walk down and finish a fighter that he once idolized.
Despite the losing streak, the betting market has generally sided with Silva before his recent fights, but that’s not the case this time. Hall opened around -180 (implied 64.3%) and has climbed more than 7% to -250 (implied 71.4%) as of writing.
The fan in me will be rooting for “The Spider” to leave us with one last flash of brilliance in the cage, but this is a rare main event where I couldn’t find an actionable betting angle — my projections see Silva as a +186 dog, which is right on target with the current odds. I’ll pass on this one, but you can check out the rest of the fights I’m betting here.
The Pick: No Bet.