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Grizzlies vs Wizards Fanatics Markets Prediction, Pick, Odds for Sunday, December 28

Grizzlies vs Wizards Fanatics Markets Prediction, Pick, Odds for Sunday, December 28 article feature image
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Petre Thomas-Imagn Images. Pictured: Jaren Jackson Jr. and Ja Morant

The Memphis Grizzlies (15-16) and Washington Wizards (6-23) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 6:00 p.m. EST from Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The game will broadcast live on FDSSE.

The Grizzlies are 6.5-point favorites over the Wizards on the spread (Grizzlies -6.5), with the over/under set at 238.5 total points. Memphis is a 71-cent favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Washington is priced at 30 cents to pull off the upset on Fanatics Markets.

Let's get into my Grizzlies vs. Wizards predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, December 28.


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My Grizzlies vs Wizards Prediction

  • Grizzlies vs Wizards pick: Over 238.5

My Wizards vs Grizzlies best bet is Over 238.5 total points in this game, with the best price currently available at Fanatics Markets. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.


Grizzlies vs Wizards Odds

(If you're unfamiliar with Fanatics Markets, read more here.)

Grizzlies vs Wizards NBA Preview

The last matchup between these two teams was a 130-122 Wizards victory on December 20, well above the current total line.

Washington also ranks 29th in the NBA in points allowed per game (125.8), and the last Wizards game on Friday against the Raptors produced a total of 155 points.

Meanwhile, the Grizzlies defense sits at 15th with 115.8 points allowed per game.

Our Bet Labs "Contrarian Overs, Good Road Teams" system offers insights on why you should go with the over in this game.


Grizzlies vs Wizards Prediction, Betting Analysis

This system in NBA totals betting is built on the idea that strong traveling teams can drive pace and scoring in matchups where the market leans too heavily toward the under.

By focusing on regular-season games outside of division play, the system avoids slower rivalry environments and taps into contests that tend to be more open and less physical.

It targets overs specifically when the betting public and money trends show a clear lean toward the under, creating a contrarian opportunity where expectations are suppressed but conditions for scoring remain strong.

The away team must be early enough in its season to still carry energy and identity, and it must also be coming off a decisive win, a signal that its offense and confidence are functioning at a high level.

When these elements align, strong road teams often set the tone, push pace, and elevate scoring beyond market expectations, making the over more attractive precisely when it is being overlooked.

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Evan Abrams – Contrarian Overs, Good Road Teams
the game is played during the Regular season
betting on the Over
the game is a Non-Division game
the away team's game number is between 1 and 60
the percentage of dollars on the Under is between 0% and 40%
the visitor team's previous game margin is between 5 and 100
$6,601
WON
806-683-12
RECORD
54%
WIN%

Pick: Over 238.5


Wizards vs Grizzlies Betting Trends


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