HomeRight ArrowNBA

NBA Best Bets Wednesday: Expert Picks, Predictions & Odds for March 11

NBA Best Bets Wednesday: Expert Picks, Predictions & Odds for March 11 article feature image
8 min read
Credit:

Action Network/Imagn Images: James Harden, Jalen Brunson, Kevin Durant, Zion Williamson

The NBA regular season continues with an excellent 6-game slate on Wednesday, March 11.

So, our NBA betting experts dug into the latest NBA odds and identified best bets for all six of today's contests, including picks for Cavaliers vs. Magic, Rockets vs. Nuggets, and Timberwolves vs. Clippers, and more.

Continue below for our NBA best bets, expert picks, and predictions for tonight.

NBA Best Bets, Picks, Predictions: Wednesday, March 11

GameTime (ET)Pick
Cleveland Cavaliers LogoOrlando Magic Logo
7:30 p.m.
Toronto Raptors LogoNew Orleans Pelicans Logo
8 p.m.
New York Knicks LogoUtah Jazz Logo
9 p.m.
Houston Rockets LogoDenver Nuggets Logo
10 p.m.
Charlotte Hornets LogoSacramento Kings Logo
10 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves LogoLos Angeles Clippers Logo
10:30 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Cavaliers vs. Magic Spread Prediction

Cleveland Cavaliers Logo
Wednesday, March 11
7:30 p.m. ET
ESPN
Orlando Magic Logo
Cavaliers -3.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Matt Moore

The Cavaliers take a lot of three-pointers and make a league-average amount, but struggle to defend from beyond the arc.

The Magic take almost none and make even fewer, but defend it well.

Orlando’s inability to shoot means the Magic need to get to the rim, and that’s a strength of the Cavaliers.

The Cavs’ baseline offense should be enough to get this win as they continue to pursue homecourt advantage in the first and second rounds of the playoffs.

I’ll lay the points with Cleveland tonight.

Pick: Cavaliers -3.5 (-110)



Playbook

Raptors vs. Pelicans ATS Pick

Toronto Raptors Logo
Wednesday, March 11
8 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
New Orleans Pelicans Logo
Raptors -2 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Matt Moore

Expect the Pelicans' turnovers to create some easy points for the Raptors in this game.

The Raptors' ball pressure is a little tough for the Pelicans ball-handlers, especially with Dejounte Murray coming off a major injury in just his seventh game back, and Jeremiah Fears still a rookie.

That edge in the creation of easy buckets should be enough to earn Toronto the win and cover.

Pick: Raptors -2 (-110)



Knicks vs. Jazz Player Prop Pick

New York Knicks Logo
Wednesday, March 11
9 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz Logo
Ace Bailey Over 4.5 Rebounds (-115)
bet365 Logo

By Action Network Staff

Action PRO is projecting 5.66 rebounds for Ace Bailey in the Jazz's matchup against the Knicks tonight, showing a huge 13.9% edge against his current prop line of over/under 4.5, which is strong enough to tag the Over with a B+ grade in our database.

Bailey has stayed under 4.5 rebounds in four of his last six games overall.

However, despite the recent Under-trend, he's still recorded 4+ rebounds in seven of his last nine games, while reaching 6+ rebounds in four of those contests; and 8+ rebounds in three of them.

We'll go ahead and lock in our best bet for this game at Over 4.5 — but you could also consider climbing the ladder up to 6+ Rebounds (+155) or 8+ Rebounds (+510) at DraftKings.

Pick: Ace Bailey Over 4.5 Rebounds (-115)



Rockets vs. Nuggets Prop Bet

Houston Rockets Logo
Wednesday, March 11
10 p.m. ET
ESPN
Denver Nuggets Logo
Jabari Smith Over 19.5 Points & Rebounds (-125)
bet365 Logo

By Joe Dellera

The Rockets face off against the Nuggets in a Western Conference showdown on Wednesday night.

Jabari Smith has excelled in this matchup.

Smith has recorded 32, 26, and 32 points & rebounds against Denver this season, while recording a double-double in each game.

All of those games were with Steven Adams, who typically makes things tougher for Jabari spacing-wise as well.

The key for Jabari against Denver is he’s a strong spot-up shooter, and that’s one of the primary weaknesses in Denver’s defense.

Jabari is averaging 23.5 points & rebounds over his last 15 games, and I expect him to continue his string of strong performances in this one.

Pick: Jabari Smith Over 19.5 Points & Rebounds (-125)



Hornets vs. Kings Spread Pick

Charlotte Hornets Logo
Wednesday, March 11
10 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Sacramento Kings Logo
Kings +12.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This system identifies late-season home underdogs with poor records facing strong opponents.

These teams are typically undervalued due to their overall performance and public perception.

However, in the final stretch of the regular season (Games 61-82), some of these "tanking" teams show effort at home — either to avoid embarrassment, respond to a recent competitive loss, or due to young players trying to earn minutes.

Meanwhile, stronger teams may coast or rest starters, creating value on the underdog line.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Tanking System
the team is the Dog
the team is the Home team
the opposing team's win percentage is between 50% and 100%
the team's previous game margin is between 1 and 42
the team's win percentage is between 0% and 39%
the team's game number is between 61 and 82
the game is played during the Regular season
$5,632
WON
146-82-4
RECORD
64%
WIN%

Pick: Kings +12.5 (-110)



Timberwolves vs. Clippers Prop Prediction

Minnesota Timberwolves Logo
Wednesday, March 11
10:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Los Angeles Clippers Logo
Kris Dunn Over 3.5 Rebounds (+105)
bet365 Logo

By Action Network Staff

Action PRO is projecting 3.98 rebounds for Kris Dunn in the Clippers' matchup against the Timberwolves tonight, presenting a solid 7.2% edge against his current prop line of over/under 3.5, which is good enough to tag the Over with a C+ grade in our system.

This one is pretty simple.

Dunn has recorded 4+ rebounds in eight of his last 10 games, with his only two Unders during that span ringing in at three rebounds, giving us an excellent floor for this prop.

There may also be value in sprinkling some alternate lines too.

Dunn has recorded 6+ rebounds in six of his last 10 games, while getting all the way up to 7+ rebounds in four of them.

You could also consider taking 6+ Rebounds (+395) or 7+ Rebounds (+770) at DraftKings.

Pick: Kris Dunn Over 3.5 Rebounds (+105)



Author Profile
About the Author

Action Network is a team of seasoned sports betting experts specializing in a broad range of sports, from the NFL and NBA to less mainstream options like cricket and darts. Their staff includes well-known analysts like Sean Koerner and Stuckey, recognized for their accurate predictions and deep sports knowledge. The team is dedicated to delivering expert analysis and daily best bets, ensuring bettors are well-informed across all major sports.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.