NBA Player Odds & Prop Picks: 3 Bets for Donovan Mitchell, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Nikola Vucevic (March 29)
Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images. Pictured: Donovan Mitchell #45 of the Utah Jazz.
The NBA season is winding down and there is plenty of meaningful basketball left to play. Tonight is no exception. There are a few matchups with playoff seeding implications, especially in the East.
We'll be looking at three props from three of those important matchups using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks.
NBA Player Props & Picks
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 41.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)
|Bucks vs. 76ers||Sixers -1.5|
|Time | TV||7 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass|
The Bucks head to Philly to take on the Sixers in a pivotal Eastern Conference standings matchup. Giannis Antetokounmpo has filled up the stat box against the Sixers.
Over the last seven games against the Sixers, he is averaging 30.4 points, 15.6 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game and has gone over this prop line in six out of their seven meetings. Additionally, over the last 10 games, Giannis is averaging 31.6 points and 12 rebounds per contest going over this prop in six games over that span.
Like most teams in the NBA, the Sixers do not possess the length, athleticism, quickness and strength to consistently stay in front of Antetokounmpo, which has . I except this success to continue tonight for Antetokounmpo.
Nikola Vucevic, Over 10.5 Rebounds (+105)
|Bulls vs. Wizards||Bulls -4|
|Time | TV||7:30 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass|
The Bulls head to the nation’s capital tonight to take on the Wizards on the second night of a back-to-back after a loss last night in Madison Square Garden. I expect a motivated Bulls team tonight against the Wizards and Nikola Vucevic should be in for a big night.
This will be the third matchup this season between these two teams. In first two matchups, Vucevic grabbed 14 and 12 rebounds respectively. Despite the Wizards acquiring Porzingis at the trade deadline, they continue to struggle the center position. Due to the lack of size inside, the Wizards are allowing opposing centers to grab an average of 16.3 rebounds per game this season.
Furthermore, that number is only slightly improved over the last two weeks to 15.2 rebounds per game, according to Hashtag Basketball. At even odds, I will bank on Vucevic to get at least 11 rebounds tonight against the Washington Wizards.
Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 Points (-105)
|Jazz vs. Clippers||Jazz -1|
|Time | TV||10 p.m. ET | TNT|
The Jazz are in tight race in the West for playoff seeding and tonight, is a game where their All-Star guard Donovan Mitchell should shine against the Clippers.
The Clippers' defense, which had been great all season, has slipped significantly over the past five games. According to NBA Advanced Stats, the Clippers rank 27th in Defensive Efficiency, 21st in Opponent Field Goal Percentage, 24th in Opponent 3-point makes and 28th in Opponent 3-point percentage.
Mitchell should be able to take advantage of the lackluster defense of the Clippers– he is averaging 28.7 points per game over his last three matchups against them. He has also gone over 25.5 points in two out of his last three games.
Further, the Clippers are struggling to defend the shooting guard position. According to Hashtag Basketball, the Clippers are allowing the shooting guard position to shoot 55% from the field and allowing close to five 3-point makes per game. Look for Mitchell to have a big game tonight against the Clippers to snap their current slide.