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NBA Player Prop & Pick: Back Giannis in Bucks vs. Grizzlies (December 15)

NBA Player Prop & Pick: Back Giannis in Bucks vs. Grizzlies (December 15) article feature image
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Photo by Jeff Haynes/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)

Prop Bomb will be contributing to Action Network’s NBA coverage this season, also tracking all his bets in the Action Network app. Follow him on Twitter.


NBA Player Prop & Pick

Prop Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 5.5 Assists
Matchup Bucks vs. Grizzlies
Time 8 p.m. ET
Best Book DraftKings

The Greek Freak is set to see an increase in usage, time of possession and passes made tonight as Jrue Holiday (knee) will miss his second straight game. The guard is averaging 7.4 assists per game, leading the Bucks in passes made (52.9) and potential assists (14.4).

In his 12 games with Khris Middleton but without Jrue Holiday since 2021, Giannis is averaging 5.92 assists per game. His assists percentage rises from 30.5% to 38.5% during the two seasons, and he leads his team in potential assists (12.2).

Thanks to the power of StatMuse, I was able to track the said games and sort them by the minutes played.

Giannis >30.5 MIN w/ Jrue OFF Middleton ON

Date
Team
Final Score
Giannis MINS
Giannis ASTS
1/13/22 vs. GSW 118-99 39 11
1/17/22 vs. ATL 121-114 37 6
1/9/22 vs. CHA 114-106 37 3
10/27/21 vs. MIN 113-108 35 7
1/10/22 vs. CHA 103-99 35 8
1/15/22 vs. TOR 103-96 35 4 (16 potential)

Giannis <30.5 MIN w/ Jrue OFF Middleton ON

Date
Team
Final Score
Giannis MINS
Giannis ASTS
12/15/22 vs. GSW 128-111 30 5
3/26/22 vs. MEM 127-102 28 4
10/30/21 vs. SAS 102-93 28 3
1/7/22 vs. BKN 121-109 27 9
10/25/21 vs. IND 119-109 26 9
10/21/21 vs. MIA 137-95 23 2

He averages 6.5 assists per game when playing at least 31 or more minutes.

As for tonight’s matchup, Giannis is averaging 6.8 assists per game in his last five meetings vs. the Grizzlies, dropping seven or more dimes in four games.

Against Jaren Jackson Jr. and Steven Adams’ rim protection down low, Giannis will likely have difficulty driving in the lanes like normal, forcing him to pass out to his open perimeter shooters.

Over the last 15 games, the Grizzlies are permitting the third-fewest points in the paint while allowing the seventh most 3-pointers made on the third-most assists per game.

Oddsmakers suggest tonight will be a close one vs. the Grizzlies. Likely seeing full minutes, “Point Giannis” will need to step up and orchestrate the offense, making me love his chances of dropping six dimes.

Pick: Giannis Over 5.5 Assists (-130)

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